Hawks vs Nuggets Game Breakdown

Get ready to ruffle some feathers and strike gold tonight! The Atlanta Hawks are swooping into the Mile High City to challenge the Denver Nuggets at the electrifying Ball Arena. With both teams neck-and-neck in their respective conferences and fresh off resounding victories, tonight’s 10:00 PM EST showdown promises to be anything but a first-round fizzle. As the numbers hover around a sky-high over/under of 246.5, fans are buzzing about which team will tip the scales. Will the Hawks soar to new heights, or will the Nuggets dig deep and unearth another win? Tonight, it’s all about whether Atlanta can hawk their way to victory or if Denver will continue to be pure gold!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 01, 2025 10:00PM EST

Location: Ball Arena, Denver

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	DEN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+195	-235	245.5	5.5/-5.5
Recent	+190	-230	246.5	5.0/-5.0
Difference	-5	+5	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

22W-33L

34.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

39W-13L

65.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/08/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	38	33	35	35	141	Over
12/08/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	23	25	36	27	111	Over
04/06/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	26	30	30	24	110	Over
04/06/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	33	36	42	31	142	Over
12/11/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	37	38	26	129	Over
12/11/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	36	26	24	36	122	Over
02/04/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	30	22	34	22	108	Under
02/04/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	35	35	27	31	128	Under
12/02/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	25	21	35	28	109	Under
12/02/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	28	32	30	27	117	Under
12/17/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	43	34	27	133	Over
12/17/21	Atlanta Hawks ATL	26	28	33	28	115	Over
11/12/21	Atlanta Hawks ATL	25	21	23	27	96	Under
11/12/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	32	17	30	26	105	Under

Hawks Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Hawks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/29	vs TOR	136-107W	40	30	14	95
12/28	@ MIA	120-110W	47	34	11	86
12/26	@ CHI	141-133W	44	32	12	89
12/21	@ MEM	112-128L	41	29	25	80
12/19	vs SAS	126-133L	53	32	22	97
12/14	vs MIL	102-110L	44	23	13	82
12/11	vs NYK	108-100W	58	27	10	104
12/08	@ DEN	111-141L	45	26	12	101
12/06	@ LAL	134-132W	48	40	17	100
12/04	vs MIL	119-104W	55	29	11	103

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/30	vs UTA	132-121W	51	38	7	105
12/28	@ DET	134-121W	40	29	13	82
12/27	@ CLE	135-149L	38	39	13	94
12/25	vs PHX	100-110L	46	20	16	78
12/22	vs NOP	132-129W	54	34	22	97
12/19	vs POR	124-126L	40	35	11	87
12/13	@ LAC	120-98W	46	23	21	77
12/08	vs ATL	141-111W	43	43	18	89
12/07	vs WAS	113-122L	48	34	15	94
12/05	vs CLE	114-126L	49	25	15	96

Starting Lineups

Atlanta Hawks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Clint Capela C	27.0	22.6	26.6	100%	26.8
Dyson Daniels SG	29.0	28.9	29.1	87%	32.4
Jalen Johnson PF	44.0	48.1	43.9	100%	44.3
Zaccharie Risacher SF	17.0	21.7	19.7	93%	20.8
Trae Young PG	46.0	52.1	46.8	100%	47.1

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Christian Braun SF	26.0	25.1	25.1	87%	26.8
Nikola Jokic C	60.0	66.3	64.7	100%	65.0
Jamal Murray SG	39.0	45.8	36.8	100%	37.1
Michael Porter Jr. PF	29.0	28.6	31.2	100%	31.6
Russell Westbrook PG	35.0	35.9	27.7	20%	39.2

Hawks Notable Injuries

Bogdan Bogdanovic (SG/SF): Avg: 16.0pts, 3.4reb, 3.0ast, 29.7 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 3.5
Larry Nance Jr. (PF/C): Avg: 6.4pts, 5.1reb, 1.8ast, 19.8 minutes. Last game: 12/28/24. Impact: 3.9
David Roddy (PF): Avg: 6.1pts, 3.0reb, 1.2ast, 16.8 minutes. Last game: 12/29/24. Impact: 1.0

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Aaron Gordon (PF): Avg: 13.9pts, 6.6reb, 3.7ast, 32.1 minutes. Last game: 12/25/24. Impact: 4.3
Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 2.7pts, 1.8reb, 0.4ast, 8.5 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 0.2
Jalen Pickett (PG/SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.6reb, 0.9ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 0.8
Spencer Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.6 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 0.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Clint Capela	ATL	Pts	9.5	10.1	+0.6	40%	30%	33%	33%	DEN	-0.4	#13
Russell Westbrook	DEN	Pts	13.5	13.8	+0.3	60%	40%	47%	47%	ATL	0.0	#13
Christian Braun	DEN	Reb	4.5	5.4	+0.9	40%	30%	40%	40%	ATL	-0.1	#13
Michael Porter Jr.	DEN	Reb	5.5	6.3	+0.8	20%	40%	53%	53%	ATL	+0.7	#25
Dyson Daniels	ATL	Ast	3.5	3.7	+0.2	60%	60%	60%	60%	DEN	+1.0	#28

View All Player Prop Projections

Hawks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#28	#5	#6	#22	3.7%
PF	#14	#17	#29	#22	4.0%
PG	#13	#13	#25	#22	2.4%
SF	#28	#25	#23	#29	10.9%
SG	#22	#13	#18	#20	2.7%

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#13	#17	#28	#19	1.9%
PF	#9	#2	#15	#15	-2.2%
PG	#27	#5	#28	#27	6.5%
SF	#16	#12	#26	#22	3.2%
SG	#30	#23	#30	#30	12.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

118.4

120.9

Rebounds per Game

47.1

44.0

Assists per Game

30.5

31.7

Steals per Game

10.5

8.7

Blocks per Game

5.2

4.3

Shots per Game

93.7

88.6

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.6

11.7

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.2

58.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.0

38.7

Turnovers per Game

15.4

14.5

Fouls per Game

18.1

18.2

Recent Trends

Nikola Jokic (C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Nikola Jokic (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 36.0 pts, 22.0 reb, 11.0 ast against UTA
Russell Westbrook (PG) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 16.0 pts, 10.0 reb, 10.0 ast against UTA
Vit Krejci (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 43.8% to 21.3, 14.8 min average previous 3 games.
Garrison Mathews (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 72.5% to 22.9, 13.3 min average previous 3 games.
Julian Strawther (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.1% to 21.2, 15.8 min average previous 3 games.