Hawks vs Thunder Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble as the unbeaten Atlanta Hawks swoop into the Paycom Center, ready to clash talons with the equally undefeated Oklahoma City Thunder tonight at 7 PM EST! It’s a high-flying face-off in the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs, where both teams are soaring high with zero losses and the same hunger for victory. With a hefty over/under of 229 and the lines drawn tight, this matchup promises to be anything but a blowout like we’ve seen so far. The Thunder rolled over Chicago with a thunderous 114-95 victory, while the Hawks narrowly escaped Charlotte’s talons with a 125-120 win. Tonight, it’s a battle of the skies as Hawks and Thunder collide, ensuring that feathers and sparks will fly!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: October 27, 2024 07:00PM EST

Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	OKL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+340	-460	232.5	9.0/-9.0
Recent	+230	-280	229.0	10.0/-10.0
Difference	-110	+180	-3.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

15W-25L

30.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

31W-7L

69.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/03/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	25	34	44	35	138	Over
01/03/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	39	37	40	25	141	Over
11/06/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	28	22	27	40	117	Over
11/06/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	29	29	38	30	126	Over
01/25/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	39	38	32	28	137	Over
01/25/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	43	34	27	28	132	Over
12/05/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	27	30	37	121	Over
12/05/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	29	30	29	26	114	Over
03/30/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	42	43	30	21	136	Over
03/30/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	24	34	31	29	118	Over
11/22/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	33	11	30	101	Under
11/22/21	Atlanta Hawks ATL	32	34	27	20	113	Under

Hawks Vs Over/Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Hawks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
10/25	@ CHA	125-120W	39	25	13	81
10/23	@ BRO	120-116W	45	25	16	80
04/12	vs MIN	106-109L	40	23	14	90
04/10	@ CHA	114-115L	38	35	16	82
04/09	@ MIA	111-117L	59	28	15	113
04/06	vs DEN	110-142L	38	30	16	87
04/04	vs DAL	95-109L	56	21	21	85
04/03	@ DET	121-113W	48	36	16	90
04/01	vs CHI	113-101W	45	29	14	82
03/30	@ MIL	113-122L	39	24	11	92

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
10/26	vs CHI	114-95W	54	21	10	107
10/24	vs DEN	102-87W	49	23	12	101
04/12	@ MIL	125-107W	38	29	10	89
04/10	@ SAS	127-89W	62	33	12	101
04/09	@ SAC	112-105W	42	21	13	82
04/07	vs CHA	121-118W	36	33	16	87
04/05	vs IND	112-126L	39	24	15	88
04/03	vs BOS	100-135L	31	21	13	81
04/02	vs PHI	105-109L	43	30	14	87
03/31	vs NYK	113-112W	43	29	12	82

Starting Lineups

Atlanta Hawks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Clint Capela C	27.0	24.5	29.6	100%	30.0
Dyson Daniels SG	26.0	16.1	18.0	17%	27.6
De’Andre Hunter SF	26.0	31.6	26.9	47%	29.3
Jalen Johnson PF	38.0	32.8	38.0	100%	37.6
Trae Young PG	51.0	39.6	44.5	100%	44.9

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	19.0	21.9	21.2	100%	21.6
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	52.0	55.1	48.9	100%	49.3
Chet Holmgren C	40.0	39.5	34.0	100%	34.3
Cason Wallace SG	19.0	11.7	14.7	17%	20.8
Jalen Williams PF	40.0	39.1	36.6	100%	36.9

Hawks Notable Injuries

Bogdan Bogdanovic (SG): Avg: 16.8pts, 3.4reb, 3.1ast, 30.4 minutes. Last game: 10/23/24. Impact: 4.9

Thunder Notable Injuries

Alex Caruso GTD (SG/SF): Avg: 9.7pts, 3.8reb, 3.5ast, 28.3 minutes. Last game: 10/26/24. Impact: 4.3
Adam Flagler (PG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.0reb, 1.0ast, 4.6 minutes. Last game: 10/26/24. Impact: 0.7
Alex Ducas (SF): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 2.2 minutes. Last game: 10/26/24. Impact: 0.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Zaccharie Risacher	ATL	Pts	7.5	12.2	+4.7	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	OKL	-0.6	#12
Onyeka Okongwu	ATL	Pts	10.5	12.4	+1.9	60%	80%	67%	67%	OKL	+0.4	#15
Clint Capela	ATL	Reb	8.5	9.3	+0.8	40%	60%	73%	73%	OKL	+0.5	#20

View All Player Prop Projections

Hawks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#6	#23	#13	#12	-2.4%
PF	#11	#12	#20	#12	-1.4%
PG	#30	#24	#7	#29	13.0%
SF	#29	#3	#17	#27	7.5%
SG	#21	#21	#23	#24	2.9%

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#15	#20	#23	#15	0.9%
PF	#16	#27	#15	#21	2.5%
PG	#1	#21	#2	#2	-16.2%
SF	#12	#4	#24	#14	-3.4%
SG	#11	#19	#16	#11	-2.0%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.7

117.8

Rebounds per Game

44.7

43.1

Assists per Game

27.5

26.6

Steals per Game

7.2

8.9

Blocks per Game

4.9

6.9

Shots per Game

91.2

88.7

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.8

13.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.5

55.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.8

37.8

Turnovers per Game

12.4

11.9

Fouls per Game

18.6

17.5

Recent Trends

Dyson Daniels (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 79.2% to 21.8, 12.2 min average previous 3 games.
Vit Krejci (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 62.7% to 11.3, 30.3 min average previous 3 games.
Garrison Mathews (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.1% to 24.1, 18.5 min average previous 3 games.
Trae Young (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 88.6% to 35.2, 18.7 min average previous 3 games.