Hawks vs Suns Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Mar 21st 2024

Listen up, hoop heads, we’ve got a sizzler on our hands tonight! The Atlanta Hawks, sporting a record that’s seen better days at 30-38, are swooping into the desert to face off against the 40-29 Phoenix Suns at the Footprint Center. Now, don’t let the time difference throw you off – the action tips off at 10:30 PM EST, so get your coffee brewing. Our feathery friends from the East are trailing by a whopping 10.5 games, while the Suns are just 3.5 games short of top-dog status in the West. Betting lines? We’ve got ’em. The over/under’s dialed in at 225.5, with the Hawks perched at 9.5 and the Suns shining brightly at -9.5. Recent performances have seen the Suns scorch the 76ers 115-102, while the Hawks got their wings clipped by the Lakers 136-105. As we prepare for this showdown, remember, when Hawks meet Suns, it’s bound to be a sky-high battle, so let’s hope they brought their SPF 50!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 21, 2024 10:30PM EST

Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	PHX ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+330	-440	227.5	9.5/-9.5
Recent	+165	-220	225.5	9.5/-9.5
Difference	-165	+220	-2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

14W-21L

37.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

21W-14L

62.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
02/02/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	30	33	32	25	120	Over
02/02/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	33	33	34	29	129	Over
02/09/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	22	25	28	32	107	Under
02/09/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	36	20	37	23	116	Under
02/01/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	26	40	36	30	132	Over
02/01/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	23	24	20	33	100	Over
02/03/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	30	31	30	24	115	Over
02/03/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	32	32	36	24	124	Over
11/06/21	Atlanta Hawks ATL	26	32	40	19	117	Over
11/06/21	Phoenix Suns PHX	25	34	27	35	121	Over

Hawks Vs Over/Under

Suns Vs Over/Under

Hawks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/18	vs LAL	105-136L	42	32	9	98
03/17	vs LAC	110-93W	45	32	14	84
03/15	vs UTA	122-124L	41	32	9	92
03/13	vs POR	102-106L	38	19	14	88
03/10	@ NOP	103-116L	41	28	11	92
03/08	vs MEM	99-92W	47	21	14	87
03/06	@ CLE	112-101W	42	27	9	86
03/05	vs NYK	116-100W	51	26	14	87
03/02	vs BRO	102-114L	42	23	11	87
02/29	vs BRO	97-124L	39	18	11	88

Suns Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/20	@ PHI	115-102W	55	34	23	90
03/17	vs MIL	129-140L	39	36	12	87
03/15	vs CHA	107-96W	57	31	10	88
03/14	vs BOS	112-127L	51	27	13	99
03/11	vs CLE	117-111W	42	23	14	84
03/09	@ BOS	107-117L	41	21	14	87
03/07	@ TOR	120-113W	49	29	14	87
03/05	vs DEN	117-107W	52	32	9	96
03/03	@ OKL	110-0W	50	26	21	39
03/02	@ HOU	109-120L	47	23	19	87

Starting Lineups

Atlanta Hawks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bogdan Bogdanovic SF	38.3	31.7	28.0	57%	28.9
Clint Capela C	35.3	35.1	27.9	100%	28.3
De’Andre Hunter PF	29.9	24.1	24.5	33%	26.7
Vit Krejci SG	18.4	13.2	5.7	20%	14.0
Dejounte Murray PG	52.4	48.1	44.2	100%	44.6

Phoenix Suns	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Grayson Allen SF	26.5	35.4	27.2	93%	27.9
Bradley Beal SG	38.1	37.3	34.7	93%	35.4
Devin Booker PG	47.5	45.4	44.8	93%	43.6
Kevin Durant PF	48.4	39.6	46.3	100%	45.3
Jusuf Nurkic C	39.3	33.3	33.5	93%	34.3

Hawks Notable Injuries

Jalen Johnson (PF): Avg: 16.3pts, 8.7reb, 3.5ast, 33.9 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 6.5
Saddiq Bey (PF): Avg: 13.7pts, 6.6reb, 1.5ast, 32.8 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 4.6
Dylan Windler (SG): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.4reb, 0.6ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.4

Suns Notable Injuries

David Roddy (SF/PF): Avg: 7.1pts, 3.4reb, 1.3ast, 19.2 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.5
Thaddeus Young (C): Avg: 4.5pts, 3.2reb, 1.9ast, 14.2 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 2.2
Saben Lee (PG): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.5reb, 1.4ast, 8.5 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 1.4
Nassir Little (SF/PF): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.8reb, 0.4ast, 11.0 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Bogdan Bogdanovic	ATL	Pts	16.5	21.2	+4.7	40%	40%	40%	40%	PHX	+0.4	#20
Bradley Beal	PHX	Pts	17.5	20.4	+2.9	60%	60%	60%	60%	ATL	+0.3	#19
Clint Capela	ATL	Reb	10.5	12.3	+1.8	80%	50%	47%	47%	PHX	-1.5	#4
Dejounte Murray	ATL	Reb	5.5	6.5	+1.0	20%	50%	53%	53%	PHX	-0.6	#5
Kevin Durant	PHX	Ast	4.5	5.3	+0.8	40%	40%	53%	53%	ATL	+0.3	#18
Jusuf Nurkic	PHX	Ast	3.5	4.3	+0.8	40%	70%	60%	60%	ATL	-0.7	#5

View All Player Prop Projections

Hawks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#14	#27	#5	#20	2.9%
PF	#3	#17	#27	#10	-3.2%
PG	#11	#18	#12	#17	0.5%
SF	#26	#5	#18	#21	6.1%
SG	#19	#21	#19	#21	2.3%

Suns Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#7	#4	#12	#5	-10.0%
PF	#24	#21	#6	#22	4.6%
PG	#30	#28	#8	#29	12.8%
SF	#6	#15	#12	#5	-10.8%
SG	#20	#5	#28	#24	5.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

109.4

114.2

Rebounds per Game

44.7

48.9

Assists per Game

26.4

26.9

Steals per Game

7.2

6.2

Blocks per Game

5.2

5.9

Shots per Game

90.8

86.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

50.3

53.9

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.8

37.3

Turnovers per Game

11.6

14.4

Fouls per Game

16.6

17.2

Recent Trends

Royce O’Neale (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.1% to 17.1, 31.2 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Okogie (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.9% to 11.0, 16.1 min average previous 3 games.