Hawks vs Trail Blazers Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Mar 13th 2024

Alright, hoop heads, it’s time to get ready for another round of NBA action. Tonight, we’ve got the Atlanta Hawks, who’ve been flying a bit low with a 29-35 record, swooping into the Moda Center to ruffle the feathers of the Portland Trail Blazers, who’ve been feeling the heat at a scorching 18-46. Don’t let the 10:00PM EST tipoff fool you, this ain’t bedtime stories, it’s a showdown. While the Hawks are trailing by 7.5 games in the East, the Blazers are lagging 26.5 games behind in the West, making this a battle of the underdogs. The betting gods have set the over/under at 218.0, with the Hawks soaring at -2.0 and the Blazers burning at 2.0. Both teams are licking their wounds from recent losses; the Blazers got a cold shower from BOS on 03/11/24, and the Hawks had their wings clipped by NOP on 03/10/24. So, as we prepare for tonight’s game, let’s hope the Hawks can keep their talons sharp and the Blazers can keep the fire lit. We’re in for a night of feather-ruffling and fire-stoking action!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 13, 2024 10:00PM EST

Location: Moda Center, Portland

Vegas Odds

	ATL ML	POR ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-135	+115	219.5	-2.0/2.0
Recent	-145	+125	218.0	-3.5/3.5
Difference	-10	+10	-1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

13W-18L

59.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

9W-23L

40.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
03/03/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	19	30	27	35	111	Over
03/03/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	31	28	38	32	129	Over
01/30/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	23	37	32	33	125	Over
01/30/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	31	33	35	30	129	Over
03/14/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	34	33	17	29	113	Over
03/14/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	29	29	31	33	122	Over
01/03/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	32	33	40	26	131	Over
01/03/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	36	34	30	36	136	Over

Hawks Vs Over/Under

Trail Blazers Vs Over/Under

Hawks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/10	@ NOP	103-116L	41	28	11	92
03/08	vs MEM	99-92W	47	21	14	87
03/06	@ CLE	112-101W	42	27	9	86
03/05	vs NYK	116-100W	51	26	14	87
03/02	vs BRO	102-114L	42	23	11	87
02/29	vs BRO	97-124L	39	18	11	88
02/27	@ UTA	124-97W	55	27	17	94
02/25	@ ORL	109-92W	44	31	9	91
02/23	@ TOR	121-123L	54	27	9	107
02/14	vs CHA	99-122L	45	23	16	89

Trail Blazers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/11	@ BOS	99-118L	38	23	11	85
03/09	@ TOR	128-118W	52	31	14	103
03/08	@ HOU	107-123L	49	22	17	91
03/06	@ OKL	120-128L	32	27	17	81
03/04	vs MIN	114-119L	41	28	13	92
03/02	vs MEM	107-100W	50	23	22	92
03/01	vs MEM	122-92W	46	31	14	92
02/27	@ MIA	96-106L	40	24	17	86
02/25	@ CHA	80-93L	56	14	15	95
02/23	@ DEN	112-127L	45	25	10	101

Starting Lineups

Atlanta Hawks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bogdan Bogdanovic SF	39.2	31.0	28.2	47%	29.2
Clint Capela C	33.9	30.6	27.1	100%	27.5
De’Andre Hunter PF	35.3	23.4	23.5	47%	23.8
Vit Krejci SG	18.2	8.2	4.1	7%	15.1
Dejounte Murray PG	54.3	47.9	42.6	100%	43.0

Portland Trail Blazers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Deandre Ayton C	42.6	45.6	34.0	100%	34.4
Jerami Grant PF	33.7	26.4	30.6	100%	31.1
Scoot Henderson SG	29.7	28.4	25.4	37%	28.1
Kris Murray SF	16.6	21.9	13.1	37%	20.3
Anfernee Simons PG	38.6	41.6	34.8	100%	33.8

Hawks Notable Injuries

Jalen Johnson (PF/C): Avg: 15.9pts, 8.7reb, 3.4ast, 33.8 minutes. Last game: 03/06/24. Impact: 5.9
Saddiq Bey (PF): Avg: 13.7pts, 6.6reb, 1.5ast, 32.8 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 4.6
Kobe Bufkin (PG): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.6reb, 1.7ast, 9.9 minutes. Last game: 03/02/24. Impact: 1.9

Trail Blazers Notable Injuries

Jabari Walker (PF/C): Avg: 8.2pts, 6.4reb, 0.9ast, 21.9 minutes. Last game: 03/06/24. Impact: 3.4
Ashton Hagans (PG): Avg: 3.8pts, 2.2reb, 2.7ast, 16.1 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 2.1
Moses Brown (C): Avg: 2.4pts, 3.9reb, 0.3ast, 8.3 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 1.3
Ibou Badji (C): Avg: 1.6pts, 2.6reb, 0.7ast, 11.3 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 1.0
Rayan Rupert (SG/SF): Avg: 3.1pts, 1.7reb, 0.9ast, 9.6 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 1.4
Justin Minaya (SG/SF): Avg: 1.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.4ast, 7.7 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Dejounte Murray	ATL	Pts	25.5	28.6	+3.1	20%	20%	20%	20%	POR	-0.2	#14
Bogdan Bogdanovic	ATL	Pts	19.5	22.0	+2.5	40%	20%	20%	20%	POR	-0.2	#14
Deandre Ayton	POR	Reb	12.5	13.5	+1.0	60%	50%	40%	40%	ATL	+1.7	#24

View All Player Prop Projections

Hawks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#14	#24	#4	#16	0.3%
PF	#1	#12	#29	#9	-6.7%
PG	#16	#17	#12	#15	1.0%
SF	#27	#5	#18	#24	8.2%
SG	#21	#11	#27	#19	2.3%

Trail Blazers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#27	#14	#30	#26	9.2%
PF	#19	#1	#6	#10	-5.4%
PG	#11	#10	#26	#23	5.9%
SF	#9	#19	#8	#8	-8.7%
SG	#14	#10	#23	#23	4.6%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

109.8

107.1

Rebounds per Game

46.3

44.0

Assists per Game

25.8

24.3

Steals per Game

6.1

8.2

Blocks per Game

4.8

3.9

Shots per Game

91.1

90.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.9

11.3

2-Pt Percentage per Game

51.7

49.4

3-Pt Percentage per Game

34.0

35.1

Turnovers per Game

12.0

15.1

Fouls per Game

16.5

21.2

Recent Trends

Dalano Banton (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.0% to 34.1, 25.1 min average previous 3 games.
Garrison Mathews (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.3% to 17.4, 12.8 min average previous 3 games.
Duop Reath (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.0% to 19.3, 31.2 min average previous 3 games.
Shaedon Sharpe (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.0% to 27.8, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
Jabari Walker (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.5% to 26.1, 19.8 min average previous 3 games.