Celtics vs Hawks Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Mar 25th 2024

Celtics
57W-14L

March 25, 2024
07:30PM EST
Odds: 225.0 o/u
Hawks
31W-39L


Well, well, well, if it isn’t our beloved Boston Celtics, boasting a spectacular 57W-14L record, gearing up to swoop into the Hawks’ nest, the good ol’ State Farm Arena. The Hawks, fluttering at a 31W-39L, are ready to defend their turf like there’s no tomorrow. Tonight’s face-off is set to light up your screens at 07:30 PM EST, so make sure you’ve got your favorite brew and a comfy seat! In the Eastern conference, the Celtics are chilling at the top, while the Hawks are trailing 10.5 games behind – but hey, it’s the NBA, and we all know that anything can happen! The betting buffs are buzzing with the over/under set at 225.0. The Celtics are favored at -11.0, but the Hawks are no pushovers at 11.0. Both teams are riding high on their recent victories – the Hawks soared high against CHA with a 132-91 win, while the Celtics painted the town green against CHI with a 124-113 victory. So, as we gear up for tonight’s clash, remember, it’s not just a game of hoops, it’s a battle of Birds versus the Irish. Let’s see if the Hawks can ruffle the Celtics’ feathers or if Boston will be shamrocking Atlanta’s world!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 25, 2024 07:30PM EST
Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta
Vegas Odds
BOS ML | ATL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -675 | +460 | 226.5 | -11.0/11.0 |
Recent | -585 | +410 | 225.0 | -10.5/10.5 |
Difference | +90 | -50 | -1.5 | – |
Team Performance

85.4% Win Probability

14.6% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02/07/24 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 37 | 30 | 23 | 27 | 117 | Over | ![]() |
|
Boston Celtics BOS | 35 | 36 | 24 | 30 | 125 | ||||
11/26/23 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 26 | 27 | 29 | 21 | 103 | Under | ![]() |
|
Boston Celtics BOS | 33 | 36 | 21 | 23 | 113 | ||||
04/09/23 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 31 | 33 | 26 | 24 | 114 | Over | ![]() |
|
Boston Celtics BOS | 29 | 32 | 39 | 20 | 120 | ||||
03/11/23 | Boston Celtics BOS | 37 | 34 | 30 | 33 | 134 | Over | ![]() |
|
Atlanta Hawks ATL | 38 | 23 | 28 | 36 | 125 | ||||
11/16/22 | Boston Celtics BOS | 30 | 32 | 35 | 29 | 126 | Over | ![]() |
|
Atlanta Hawks ATL | 18 | 35 | 25 | 23 | 101 | ||||
03/01/22 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 28 | 37 | 13 | 20 | 98 | Under | ![]() |
|
Boston Celtics BOS | 19 | 32 | 31 | 25 | 107 | ||||
02/13/22 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 28 | 27 | 23 | 17 | 95 | Under | ![]() |
|
Boston Celtics BOS | 17 | 28 | 42 | 18 | 105 | ||||
01/28/22 | Boston Celtics BOS | 20 | 27 | 30 | 15 | 92 | Under | ![]() |
|
Atlanta Hawks ATL | 32 | 30 | 18 | 28 | 108 | ||||
11/17/21 | Boston Celtics BOS | 29 | 20 | 28 | 22 | 99 | Under | ![]() |
|
Atlanta Hawks ATL | 30 | 28 | 33 | 19 | 110 |
Celtics Vs Over/Under
Hawks Vs Over/Under
Celtics Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/23 | vs CHI | 124-113W | 41 | 28 | 12 | 86 |
03/22 | vs DET | 129-102W | 35 | 31 | 7 | 89 |
03/20 | @ MIL | 122-119W | 37 | 25 | 9 | 85 |
03/18 | @ DET | 119-94W | 53 | 30 | 9 | 95 |
03/17 | vs WAS | 130-104W | 43 | 30 | 14 | 87 |
03/14 | @ PHX | 127-112W | 33 | 31 | 8 | 89 |
03/12 | vs UTA | 123-107W | 46 | 25 | 8 | 92 |
03/11 | vs POR | 121-97W | 45 | 34 | 3 | 100 |
03/09 | vs PHX | 117-107W | 43 | 29 | 12 | 95 |
03/07 | vs DEN | 109-115L | 47 | 24 | 12 | 91 |
Hawks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/23 | @ CHA | 132-91W | 43 | 40 | 8 | 90 |
03/21 | vs PHX | 115-131L | 36 | 27 | 8 | 92 |
03/18 | vs LAL | 105-136L | 42 | 32 | 9 | 98 |
03/17 | vs LAC | 110-93W | 45 | 32 | 14 | 84 |
03/15 | vs UTA | 122-124L | 41 | 32 | 9 | 92 |
03/13 | vs POR | 102-106L | 38 | 19 | 14 | 88 |
03/10 | @ NOP | 103-116L | 41 | 28 | 11 | 92 |
03/08 | vs MEM | 99-92W | 47 | 21 | 14 | 87 |
03/06 | @ CLE | 112-101W | 42 | 27 | 9 | 86 |
03/05 | vs NYK | 116-100W | 51 | 26 | 14 | 87 |
Starting Lineups
Boston Celtics | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jaylen Brown
SG
|
38.8 | 45.3 | 40.1 | 100% | 40.5 |
Al Horford
PF
|
19.9 | 31.1 | 24.1 | 57% | 27.5 |
38.4 | 38.8 | 38.1 | 100% | 38.4 | |
Jayson Tatum
SF
|
48.5 | 49.1 | 48.6 | 100% | 49.0 |
41.0 | 44.5 | 34.0 | 100% | 34.4 |
Atlanta Hawks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
31.5 | 26.8 | 28.5 | 63% | 28.6 | |
35.6 | 33.0 | 27.5 | 100% | 27.8 | |
27.7 | 26.2 | 24.0 | 33% | 25.1 | |
Vit Krejci
SG
|
15.5 | 15.1 | 6.9 | 27% | 15.3 |
52.1 | 54.0 | 45.5 | 100% | 45.9 |
Celtics Notable Injuries
- Jrue Holiday (PG): Avg: 12.8pts, 5.3reb, 4.9ast, 33.1 minutes. Last game: 03/17/24. Impact: 4.8
- Neemias Queta (C): Avg: 4.2pts, 3.8reb, 0.4ast, 10.9 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 1.9
- Jordan Walsh (SF): Avg: 1.0pts, 2.2reb, 0.7ast, 6.7 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 0.9
- JD Davison (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 1.8 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 0.8
Hawks Notable Injuries
- Jalen Johnson (PF): Avg: 16.3pts, 8.7reb, 3.5ast, 33.9 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 6.5
- Saddiq Bey (PF): Avg: 13.7pts, 6.6reb, 1.5ast, 32.8 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 4.6
- Onyeka Okongwu (PF/C): Avg: 10.2pts, 6.8reb, 1.3ast, 25.5 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 4.7
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Derrick White | BOS | Pts | 14.5 | 18.3 | +3.8 | 80% | 50% | 40% | 40% | ATL | +0.2 | #20 |
Clint Capela | ATL | Pts | 10.5 | 13.3 | +2.8 | 60% | 70% | 53% | 53% | BOS | +1.9 | #27 |
Dejounte Murray | ATL | Reb | 5.5 | 6.4 | +0.9 | 60% | 50% | 60% | 60% | BOS | -0.2 | #13 |
Kristaps Porzingis | BOS | Reb | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | 60% | 40% | 53% | 53% | ATL | +1.6 | #28 |
Celtics Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #27 | #11 | #23 | #14 | -0.9% |
PF | #11 | #22 | #5 | #7 | -7.8% |
PG | #29 | #8 | #8 | #16 | 1.2% |
SF | #2 | #4 | #8 | #1 | -42.1% |
SG | #4 | #13 | #4 | #1 | -14.1% |
Hawks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #9 | #28 | #2 | #13 | -1.2% |
PF | #6 | #10 | #17 | #11 | -4.7% |
PG | #9 | #11 | #13 | #15 | -2.4% |
SF | #26 | #5 | #16 | #20 | 6.2% |
SG | #20 | #18 | #30 | #20 | 3.4% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Bruno Fernando (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.2% to 13.0, 19.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Onyeka Okongwu (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.1% to 23.5, 34.1 min average previous 3 games. The Celtics have a 2-game winning streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 9-game winning streak.
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