Celtics vs Hawks Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Mar 28th 2024

Hoops fans, grab your green jerseys and your lucky shamrocks, because the mighty Boston Celtics are swooping into the nest of the Atlanta Hawks tonight at State Farm Arena. With a stellar 57-15 record, the Celtics are practically breathing down the necks of the Eastern conference leaders, while the Hawks, with a 33-39 record, are still pecking away 9 games behind. The Celtics, smarting from a recent loss against these very Hawks, are ready to bring the heat, while the Hawks are riding high on their victory feathers after a solid win against Portland. The betting gurus have set the over/under at 226, with the Celtics at -16 and the Hawks at 16. So, whether you’re a Celtic druid or a Hawk on the hunt, it’s time to place your bets, folks! Remember, in this game of birds and clovers, it’s not just about who flies the highest, but also who’s got the luck of the Irish!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 28, 2024 07:30PM EST

Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-1900	+900	227.0	-16.0/16.0
Recent	-490	+355	226.0	-16.0/16.0
Difference	+1410	-545	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

9W-1L

AWAY

24W-12L

83.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

18W-16L

16.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
03/25/24	Boston Celtics BOS	44	30	22	22	118	Over
03/25/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	22	34	34	30	120	Over
02/07/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	37	30	23	27	117	Over
02/07/24	Boston Celtics BOS	35	36	24	30	125	Over
11/26/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	26	27	29	21	103	Under
11/26/23	Boston Celtics BOS	33	36	21	23	113	Under
04/09/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	31	33	26	24	114	Over
04/09/23	Boston Celtics BOS	29	32	39	20	120	Over
03/11/23	Boston Celtics BOS	37	34	30	33	134	Over
03/11/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	38	23	28	36	125	Over
11/16/22	Boston Celtics BOS	30	32	35	29	126	Over
11/16/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	18	35	25	23	101	Over
03/01/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	28	37	13	20	98	Under
03/01/22	Boston Celtics BOS	19	32	31	25	107	Under
02/13/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	28	27	23	17	95	Under
02/13/22	Boston Celtics BOS	17	28	42	18	105	Under
01/28/22	Boston Celtics BOS	20	27	30	15	92	Under
01/28/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	32	30	18	28	108	Under
11/17/21	Boston Celtics BOS	29	20	28	22	99	Under
11/17/21	Atlanta Hawks ATL	30	28	33	19	110	Under

Celtics Vs Over/Under

Hawks Vs Over/Under

Celtics Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/25	vs ATL	118-120L	38	21	7	95
03/23	vs CHI	124-113W	41	28	12	86
03/22	vs DET	129-102W	35	31	7	89
03/20	@ MIL	122-119W	37	25	9	85
03/18	@ DET	119-94W	53	30	9	95
03/17	vs WAS	130-104W	43	30	14	87
03/14	@ PHX	127-112W	33	31	8	89
03/12	vs UTA	123-107W	46	25	8	92
03/11	vs POR	121-97W	45	34	3	100
03/09	vs PHX	117-107W	43	29	12	95

Hawks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/27	@ POR	120-106W	41	23	16	85
03/25	@ BOS	120-118W	44	30	13	87
03/23	@ CHA	132-91W	43	40	8	90
03/21	vs PHX	115-131L	36	27	8	92
03/18	vs LAL	105-136L	42	32	9	98
03/17	vs LAC	110-93W	45	32	14	84
03/15	vs UTA	122-124L	41	32	9	92
03/13	vs POR	102-106L	38	19	14	88
03/10	@ NOP	103-116L	41	28	11	92
03/08	vs MEM	99-92W	47	21	14	87

Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jaylen Brown SF	39.6	43.4	39.6	100%	40.1
Jrue Holiday PG	31.2	29.2	28.8	100%	29.2
Kristaps Porzingis C	38.9	34.9	37.4	100%	37.8
Jayson Tatum PF	50.0	51.0	49.0	100%	49.4
Derrick White SG	37.2	44.5	34.0	100%	34.4

Atlanta Hawks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bogdan Bogdanovic SF	32.7	28.8	29.3	67%	29.6
Clint Capela C	35.7	32.2	28.4	100%	28.8
De’Andre Hunter PF	28.4	25.3	24.2	33%	25.9
Vit Krejci SG	19.4	20.7	8.1	33%	17.2
Dejounte Murray PG	49.6	55.2	47.3	100%	47.7

Celtics Notable Injuries

Neemias Queta (C): Avg: 4.2pts, 3.8reb, 0.4ast, 10.9 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 1.9
JD Davison (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 1.8 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 0.8

Hawks Notable Injuries

Jalen Johnson (PF): Avg: 16.3pts, 8.7reb, 3.5ast, 33.9 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 6.5
Onyeka Okongwu (PF/C): Avg: 10.2pts, 6.8reb, 1.3ast, 25.5 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 4.7

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Kristaps Porzingis	BOS	Pts	17.5	20.8	+3.3	60%	70%	73%	73%	ATL	-0.2	#12
Derrick White	BOS	Pts	13.5	16.6	+3.1	80%	50%	47%	47%	ATL	+1.0	#22
Clint Capela	ATL	Reb	10.5	12.4	+1.9	20%	60%	47%	47%	BOS	-0.3	#15
Jayson Tatum	BOS	Reb	7.5	8.2	+0.7	40%	40%	40%	40%	ATL	0.0	#17

View All Player Prop Projections

Celtics Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#27	#15	#22	#20	1.2%
PF	#13	#17	#5	#8	-5.9%
PG	#21	#13	#9	#11	-4.2%
SF	#2	#7	#15	#2	-29.5%
SG	#4	#13	#8	#2	-11.7%

Hawks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#12	#21	#2	#10	-2.3%
PF	#2	#7	#13	#7	-6.4%
PG	#17	#3	#22	#19	4.0%
SF	#26	#6	#16	#22	9.4%
SG	#22	#17	#29	#23	4.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

122.5

111.9

Rebounds per Game

44.5

43.1

Assists per Game

28.1

27.0

Steals per Game

7.2

7.7

Blocks per Game

6.4

5.3

Shots per Game

90.7

89.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

17.6

14.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.6

52.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

41.4

38.7

Turnovers per Game

9.6

11.9

Fouls per Game

14.5

17.3

Recent Trends

Bruno Fernando (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 84.5% to 21.9, 11.9 min average previous 3 games.
Svi Mykhailiuk (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.5% to 11.9, 17.1 min average previous 3 games.
Onyeka Okongwu (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.1% to 23.5, 34.1 min average previous 3 games.