Celtics vs Hawks Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Mar 28th 2024

Celtics
57W-15L

March 28, 2024
07:30PM EST
Odds: 226.0 o/u
Hawks
33W-39L


Hoops fans, grab your green jerseys and your lucky shamrocks, because the mighty Boston Celtics are swooping into the nest of the Atlanta Hawks tonight at State Farm Arena. With a stellar 57-15 record, the Celtics are practically breathing down the necks of the Eastern conference leaders, while the Hawks, with a 33-39 record, are still pecking away 9 games behind. The Celtics, smarting from a recent loss against these very Hawks, are ready to bring the heat, while the Hawks are riding high on their victory feathers after a solid win against Portland. The betting gurus have set the over/under at 226, with the Celtics at -16 and the Hawks at 16. So, whether you’re a Celtic druid or a Hawk on the hunt, it’s time to place your bets, folks! Remember, in this game of birds and clovers, it’s not just about who flies the highest, but also who’s got the luck of the Irish!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 28, 2024 07:30PM EST
Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta
Vegas Odds
BOS ML | ATL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -1900 | +900 | 227.0 | -16.0/16.0 |
Recent | -490 | +355 | 226.0 | -16.0/16.0 |
Difference | +1410 | -545 | -1.0 | – |
Team Performance

83.1% Win Probability

16.9% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/25/24 | Boston Celtics BOS | 44 | 30 | 22 | 22 | 118 | Over | ![]() |
|
Atlanta Hawks ATL | 22 | 34 | 34 | 30 | 120 | ||||
02/07/24 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 37 | 30 | 23 | 27 | 117 | Over | ![]() |
|
Boston Celtics BOS | 35 | 36 | 24 | 30 | 125 | ||||
11/26/23 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 26 | 27 | 29 | 21 | 103 | Under | ![]() |
|
Boston Celtics BOS | 33 | 36 | 21 | 23 | 113 | ||||
04/09/23 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 31 | 33 | 26 | 24 | 114 | Over | ![]() |
|
Boston Celtics BOS | 29 | 32 | 39 | 20 | 120 | ||||
03/11/23 | Boston Celtics BOS | 37 | 34 | 30 | 33 | 134 | Over | ![]() |
|
Atlanta Hawks ATL | 38 | 23 | 28 | 36 | 125 | ||||
11/16/22 | Boston Celtics BOS | 30 | 32 | 35 | 29 | 126 | Over | ![]() |
|
Atlanta Hawks ATL | 18 | 35 | 25 | 23 | 101 | ||||
03/01/22 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 28 | 37 | 13 | 20 | 98 | Under | ![]() |
|
Boston Celtics BOS | 19 | 32 | 31 | 25 | 107 | ||||
02/13/22 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 28 | 27 | 23 | 17 | 95 | Under | ![]() |
|
Boston Celtics BOS | 17 | 28 | 42 | 18 | 105 | ||||
01/28/22 | Boston Celtics BOS | 20 | 27 | 30 | 15 | 92 | Under | ![]() |
|
Atlanta Hawks ATL | 32 | 30 | 18 | 28 | 108 | ||||
11/17/21 | Boston Celtics BOS | 29 | 20 | 28 | 22 | 99 | Under | ![]() |
|
Atlanta Hawks ATL | 30 | 28 | 33 | 19 | 110 |
Celtics Vs Over/Under
Hawks Vs Over/Under
Celtics Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/25 | vs ATL | 118-120L | 38 | 21 | 7 | 95 |
03/23 | vs CHI | 124-113W | 41 | 28 | 12 | 86 |
03/22 | vs DET | 129-102W | 35 | 31 | 7 | 89 |
03/20 | @ MIL | 122-119W | 37 | 25 | 9 | 85 |
03/18 | @ DET | 119-94W | 53 | 30 | 9 | 95 |
03/17 | vs WAS | 130-104W | 43 | 30 | 14 | 87 |
03/14 | @ PHX | 127-112W | 33 | 31 | 8 | 89 |
03/12 | vs UTA | 123-107W | 46 | 25 | 8 | 92 |
03/11 | vs POR | 121-97W | 45 | 34 | 3 | 100 |
03/09 | vs PHX | 117-107W | 43 | 29 | 12 | 95 |
Hawks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/27 | @ POR | 120-106W | 41 | 23 | 16 | 85 |
03/25 | @ BOS | 120-118W | 44 | 30 | 13 | 87 |
03/23 | @ CHA | 132-91W | 43 | 40 | 8 | 90 |
03/21 | vs PHX | 115-131L | 36 | 27 | 8 | 92 |
03/18 | vs LAL | 105-136L | 42 | 32 | 9 | 98 |
03/17 | vs LAC | 110-93W | 45 | 32 | 14 | 84 |
03/15 | vs UTA | 122-124L | 41 | 32 | 9 | 92 |
03/13 | vs POR | 102-106L | 38 | 19 | 14 | 88 |
03/10 | @ NOP | 103-116L | 41 | 28 | 11 | 92 |
03/08 | vs MEM | 99-92W | 47 | 21 | 14 | 87 |
Starting Lineups
Boston Celtics | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jaylen Brown
SF
|
39.6 | 43.4 | 39.6 | 100% | 40.1 |
Jrue Holiday
PG
|
31.2 | 29.2 | 28.8 | 100% | 29.2 |
38.9 | 34.9 | 37.4 | 100% | 37.8 | |
Jayson Tatum
PF
|
50.0 | 51.0 | 49.0 | 100% | 49.4 |
37.2 | 44.5 | 34.0 | 100% | 34.4 |
Atlanta Hawks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
32.7 | 28.8 | 29.3 | 67% | 29.6 | |
35.7 | 32.2 | 28.4 | 100% | 28.8 | |
28.4 | 25.3 | 24.2 | 33% | 25.9 | |
Vit Krejci
SG
|
19.4 | 20.7 | 8.1 | 33% | 17.2 |
49.6 | 55.2 | 47.3 | 100% | 47.7 |
Celtics Notable Injuries
- Neemias Queta (C): Avg: 4.2pts, 3.8reb, 0.4ast, 10.9 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 1.9
- JD Davison (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 1.8 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 0.8
Hawks Notable Injuries
- Jalen Johnson (PF): Avg: 16.3pts, 8.7reb, 3.5ast, 33.9 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 6.5
- Onyeka Okongwu (PF/C): Avg: 10.2pts, 6.8reb, 1.3ast, 25.5 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 4.7
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Kristaps Porzingis | BOS | Pts | 17.5 | 20.8 | +3.3 | 60% | 70% | 73% | 73% | ATL | -0.2 | #12 |
Derrick White | BOS | Pts | 13.5 | 16.6 | +3.1 | 80% | 50% | 47% | 47% | ATL | +1.0 | #22 |
Clint Capela | ATL | Reb | 10.5 | 12.4 | +1.9 | 20% | 60% | 47% | 47% | BOS | -0.3 | #15 |
Jayson Tatum | BOS | Reb | 7.5 | 8.2 | +0.7 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | ATL | 0.0 | #17 |
Celtics Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #27 | #15 | #22 | #20 | 1.2% |
PF | #13 | #17 | #5 | #8 | -5.9% |
PG | #21 | #13 | #9 | #11 | -4.2% |
SF | #2 | #7 | #15 | #2 | -29.5% |
SG | #4 | #13 | #8 | #2 | -11.7% |
Hawks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #12 | #21 | #2 | #10 | -2.3% |
PF | #2 | #7 | #13 | #7 | -6.4% |
PG | #17 | #3 | #22 | #19 | 4.0% |
SF | #26 | #6 | #16 | #22 | 9.4% |
SG | #22 | #17 | #29 | #23 | 4.7% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Bruno Fernando (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 84.5% to 21.9, 11.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Svi Mykhailiuk (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.5% to 11.9, 17.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Onyeka Okongwu (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.1% to 23.5, 34.1 min average previous 3 games. The Hawks have a 3-game winning streak at home.
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