Celtics vs Cavaliers Game Breakdown
Celtics
5W-2L
May 11, 2024
08:30PM EST
Odds: 211.5 o/u
Cavaliers
5W-4L
Get ready to rumble at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse tonight as the Boston Celtics, fresh off a dominating victory, bring their 5-2 record into the lion’s den of the Cleveland Cavaliers, who also just clinched a fiery win to boost their tally to 5-4. With both teams neck-and-neck in the Eastern Conference and the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs looking for a spark after a series of blowouts, tonight’s 08:30 PM EST showdown promises to deliver high stakes and even higher scores. The stakes are sky-high with a tight betting line and an over/under that suggests a scoreboard bonanza. As these two titans clash, it’s all set to be a battle where only the bravest will weave through the Celtics and emerge cavalier.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: May 11, 2024 08:30PM EST
Location: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland
Vegas Odds
| BOS ML | CLE ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -230 | +190 | 212.0 | -7.5/7.5 |
| Recent | -235 | +195 | 211.5 | -8.0/8.0 |
| Difference | -5 | +5 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
70.1% Win Probability
29.9% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/24 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 30 | 24 | 36 | 28 | 00 | 118 | Over | |
| Boston Celtics BOS | 24 | 30 | 24 | 16 | 00 | 94 | |||
| 05/07/24 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 34 | 15 | 28 | 18 | 00 | 95 | Over | |
| Boston Celtics BOS | 40 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 00 | 120 | |||
| 03/05/24 | Boston Celtics BOS | 33 | 22 | 32 | 17 | 00 | 104 | Under | |
| Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 25 | 20 | 26 | 34 | 00 | 105 | |||
| 12/14/23 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 24 | 30 | 33 | 20 | 00 | 107 | Over | |
| Boston Celtics BOS | 33 | 32 | 25 | 26 | 00 | 116 | |||
| 12/12/23 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 31 | 29 | 32 | 21 | 00 | 113 | Over | |
| Boston Celtics BOS | 21 | 38 | 35 | 26 | 00 | 120 | |||
| 03/06/23 | Boston Celtics BOS | 33 | 35 | 24 | 17 | 50 | 114 | Over | |
| Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 26 | 30 | 22 | 31 | 90 | 118 | |||
| 03/01/23 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 28 | 24 | 26 | 35 | 00 | 113 | Over | |
| Boston Celtics BOS | 26 | 29 | 41 | 21 | 00 | 117 | |||
| 11/02/22 | Boston Celtics BOS | 27 | 29 | 20 | 31 | 60 | 113 | Over | |
| Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 35 | 15 | 33 | 24 | 70 | 114 | |||
| 10/28/22 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 33 | 29 | 33 | 19 | 180 | 132 | Over | |
| Boston Celtics BOS | 34 | 41 | 24 | 15 | 90 | 123 | |||
| 12/22/21 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 26 | 22 | 25 | 28 | 00 | 101 | Over | |
| Boston Celtics BOS | 31 | 32 | 22 | 26 | 00 | 111 | |||
| 11/15/21 | Boston Celtics BOS | 19 | 18 | 28 | 33 | 00 | 98 | Under | |
| Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 22 | 17 | 25 | 28 | 00 | 92 | |||
| 11/13/21 | Boston Celtics BOS | 20 | 32 | 22 | 15 | 00 | 89 | Under | |
| Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 9 | 29 | 24 | 29 | 00 | 91 |
Celtics Vs Over/Under
Cavaliers Vs Over/Under
Celtics Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | @ CHA | 131-98W | 53 | 34 | 6 | 104 |
| 04/11 | @ NYK | 109-118L | 36 | 25 | 12 | 86 |
| 04/09 | vs MIL | 91-104L | 38 | 27 | 12 | 93 |
| 04/07 | @ POR | 124-107W | 40 | 34 | 12 | 87 |
| 04/05 | @ SAC | 101-100W | 51 | 25 | 7 | 90 |
| 04/03 | @ OKL | 135-100W | 46 | 33 | 10 | 92 |
| 04/01 | vs CHA | 118-104W | 51 | 28 | 10 | 89 |
| 03/30 | vs NOP | 104-92W | 51 | 27 | 12 | 82 |
| 03/28 | vs ATL | 122-123L | 43 | 28 | 12 | 94 |
| 03/25 | vs ATL | 118-120L | 38 | 21 | 7 | 95 |
Cavaliers Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | @ IND | 129-120W | 41 | 28 | 9 | 95 |
| 04/10 | @ MEM | 110-98W | 47 | 27 | 13 | 82 |
| 04/07 | vs LAC | 118-120L | 36 | 27 | 11 | 88 |
| 04/06 | vs LAL | 97-116L | 40 | 24 | 18 | 90 |
| 04/03 | vs PHX | 101-122L | 37 | 28 | 15 | 83 |
| 04/02 | vs UTA | 129-113W | 41 | 38 | 13 | 85 |
| 03/31 | vs DEN | 101-130L | 28 | 26 | 15 | 82 |
| 03/29 | @ PHI | 117-114W | 37 | 34 | 13 | 84 |
| 03/27 | vs CHA | 111-118L | 32 | 33 | 13 | 85 |
| 03/25 | @ CHA | 115-92W | 47 | 41 | 12 | 86 |
Starting Lineups
| Boston Celtics | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Jaylen Brown
SF
|
40.8 | 34.9 | 38.7 | 100% | 39.1 |
|
Jrue Holiday
PG
|
30.5 | 23.9 | 27.1 | 100% | 27.5 |
| 29.7 | 21.3 | 22.5 | 50% | 26.6 | |
|
Jayson Tatum
PF
|
53.1 | 43.4 | 45.5 | 100% | 45.9 |
| 38.5 | 37.0 | 34.9 | 100% | 35.3 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.9 | 33.0 | 32.9 | 100% | 33.3 | |
| 45.8 | 53.6 | 44.6 | 100% | 44.9 | |
| 33.0 | 38.5 | 35.2 | 100% | 35.5 | |
|
Isaac Okoro
PF
|
10.0 | 14.4 | 16.8 | 63% | 19.7 |
|
Max Strus
SF
|
23.3 | 21.9 | 22.7 | 100% | 23.1 |
Celtics Notable Injuries
- Kristaps Porzingis (PF/C): Avg: 19.6pts, 7.0reb, 2.0ast, 29.5 minutes. Last game: 04/29/24. Impact: 5.8
- Neemias Queta (C): Avg: 4.4pts, 3.7reb, 0.6ast, 10.7 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 2.0
- Jaden Springer (SG/SF): Avg: 3.3pts, 1.5reb, 0.9ast, 10.0 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 1.2
- Svi Mykhailiuk (SG/SF): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.1reb, 0.7ast, 9.1 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 1.2
- Jordan Walsh (SF): Avg: 1.8pts, 2.0reb, 0.4ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 1.0
Cavaliers Notable Injuries
- Marcus Morris Sr. (SF/PF): Avg: 6.0pts, 2.7reb, 0.7ast, 16.3 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 1.4
- Damian Jones (C): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.6reb, 0.4ast, 6.4 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 0.9
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Sam Hauser | BOS | Pts | 4.5 | 6.8 | +2.3 | 40% | 70% | 67% | 67% | CLE | -5.5 | #8 |
| Al Horford | BOS | Pts | 8.5 | 10.7 | +2.2 | 40% | 30% | 47% | 47% | CLE | -7.9 | #2 |
| Payton Pritchard | BOS | Reb | 2.5 | 2.9 | +0.4 | 60% | 60% | 67% | 67% | CLE | -0.2 | #15 |
| Derrick White | BOS | Reb | 4.5 | 4.7 | +0.2 | 40% | 20% | 27% | 27% | CLE | -0.2 | #15 |
| Jaylen Brown | BOS | Ast | 2.5 | 3.5 | +1.0 | 20% | 30% | 40% | 40% | CLE | +4.6 | #20 |
Celtics Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #18 | #13 | #23 | #13 | -6.3% |
| PF | #3 | #13 | #10 | #2 | -26.3% |
| PG | #11 | #12 | #6 | #11 | -1.1% |
| SF | #15 | #16 | #7 | #17 | 31.3% |
| SG | #10 | #10 | #6 | #5 | -19.9% |
Cavaliers Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #2 | #8 | #6 | #6 | -27.3% |
| PF | #28 | #23 | #24 | #29 | 14.2% |
| PG | #8 | #13 | #7 | #10 | -6.4% |
| SF | #8 | #13 | #20 | #12 | 13.0% |
| SG | #5 | #15 | #5 | #7 | -17.9% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Luke Kornet (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 55.2% to 17.2, 11.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Caris LeVert (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 58.0% to 27.6, 17.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Marcus Morris Sr. (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.1% to 10.6, 19.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Dean Wade (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 60.2% to 28.1, 17.5 min average previous 3 games. The Cavaliers have a 2-game winning streak at home.
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