Celtics vs Mavericks Game Breakdown

Get ready for some high-flying, court-crashing action as the Boston Celtics swoop into the American Airlines Center to clash with the Dallas Mavericks in what promises to be a nail-biter of a playoff game! With the Celtics boasting a strong season and looking to rebound from a recent stumble against the Lakers, and the Mavericks riding the high of a victory over OKL, the stage is set for a showdown. Tipoff is at 6:30 PM EST, and with the betting lines buzzing and the over/under tantalizingly set at 222.5, fans are in for a treat. As both teams look to tighten their grips on their respective conference standings, tonight’s game is all about proving who can truly “run the court” and who’s just “shooting in the dark.”

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 25, 2025 06:30PM EST

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	DAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-320	+260	223.0	-8.0/8.0
Recent	-320	+260	222.5	-8.0/8.0
Difference	0	0	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

40W-18L

76.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

35W-25L

23.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
03/01/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	32	27	31	20	110	Over
03/01/24	Boston Celtics BOS	38	28	36	36	138	Over
01/22/24	Boston Celtics BOS	24	41	29	25	119	Over
01/22/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	33	24	27	110	Over
01/05/23	Boston Celtics BOS	29	35	25	35	124	Under
01/05/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	20	26	19	30	95	Under
11/23/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	26	36	27	112	Over
11/23/22	Boston Celtics BOS	34	36	31	24	125	Over
03/13/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	18	20	38	19	95	Under
03/13/22	Boston Celtics BOS	20	27	26	19	92	Under
11/06/21	Boston Celtics BOS	15	25	32	32	104	Under
11/06/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	29	28	22	28	107	Under

Celtics Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Celtics Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/23	vs LAL	96-117L	42	23	7	91
01/22	vs LAC	117-113W	32	24	19	90
01/20	vs GSW	125-85W	50	33	9	92
01/18	@ ATL	115-119L	53	23	14	104
01/17	@ ORL	121-94W	41	25	10	80
01/15	vs TOR	97-110L	45	24	9	91
01/12	@ NOP	120-119W	55	23	11	101
01/10	@ SAC	97-114L	43	22	15	84
01/07	vs DEN	118-106W	41	30	11	88
01/03	vs HOU	109-86W	41	20	14	77

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/23	vs OKL	121-115W	43	25	20	74
01/22	@ MIN	114-115L	38	24	13	90
01/20	vs CHA	105-110L	51	19	14	88
01/17	@ OKL	106-98W	43	25	17	75
01/15	vs NOP	116-119L	45	27	15	90
01/14	@ DEN	99-118L	30	27	12	90
01/12	@ DEN	101-112L	37	27	12	85
01/09	@ POR	117-111W	53	26	14	88
01/07	@ LAL	118-97W	44	29	10	86
01/06	vs MEM	104-119L	50	25	15	98

Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jaylen Brown SF	38.0	39.4	39.0	100%	39.4
Jrue Holiday SG	24.0	19.4	25.1	100%	25.4
Kristaps Porzingis C	36.0	36.5	35.8	100%	36.2
Jayson Tatum PF	48.0	46.6	50.1	100%	50.5
Derrick White PG	28.0	27.6	30.7	100%	31.0

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Spencer Dinwiddie SG	27.0	28.9	24.8	43%	31.8
Daniel Gafford C	42.0	40.8	25.5	30%	35.9
Kyrie Irving PG	42.0	42.2	41.5	100%	41.9
Klay Thompson SF	25.0	21.8	23.7	100%	24.0
PJ Washington PF	40.0	39.4	31.3	100%	31.4

Celtics Notable Injuries

Xavier Tillman (PF/C): Avg: 3.7pts, 3.1reb, 1.0ast, 14.5 minutes. Last game: 01/20/25. Impact: 0.4
Jaden Springer (SG/SF): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.3reb, 0.7ast, 8.4 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.9
Baylor Scheierman (SG): Avg: 1.1pts, 1.2reb, 0.5ast, 5.7 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.7

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Dereck Lively II (C): Avg: 8.9pts, 7.2reb, 1.6ast, 23.4 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 4.8
Naji Marshall (SF/PF): Avg: 8.2pts, 3.6reb, 2.1ast, 20.9 minutes. Last game: 01/20/25. Impact: 3.9
Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 2.4pts, 2.7reb, 1.1ast, 10.6 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 0.9
Brandon Williams (PG): Avg: 2.4pts, 0.6reb, 0.9ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 1.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Daniel Gafford	DAL	Pts	13.5	17.2	+3.7	60%	30%	33%	33%	BOS	+0.5	#20
PJ Washington	DAL	Pts	15.5	18.3	+2.8	60%	60%	47%	47%	BOS	-0.6	#9

View All Player Prop Projections

Celtics Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#2	#4	#2	-18.5%
PF	#20	#19	#18	#22	3.2%
PG	#13	#30	#10	#14	-1.1%
SF	#9	#23	#7	#11	-1.5%
SG	#3	#17	#2	#3	-10.1%

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#22	#20	#19	#19	4.6%
PF	#17	#7	#17	#12	-1.6%
PG	#27	#17	#11	#26	4.8%
SF	#18	#18	#29	#24	5.7%
SG	#10	#22	#11	#13	-3.0%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.5

112.9

Rebounds per Game

46.6

44.0

Assists per Game

25.8

24.8

Steals per Game

7.7

8.6

Blocks per Game

6.0

6.2

Shots per Game

92.2

85.6

3-Pointers Made per Game

17.6

13.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.2

53.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.4

37.8

Turnovers per Game

11.2

15.0

Fouls per Game

15.6

18.0

Recent Trends

Quentin Grimes (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.4% to 28.3, 21.3 min average previous 3 games.
Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 92.6% to 21.9, 11.4 min average previous 3 games.