Celtics vs Mavericks Game Breakdown

Get ready for a showdown that promises more twists and turns than a Texas tornado as the high-flying Boston Celtics, boasting an impressive 14-2 record, swoop into the American Airlines Center to challenge the Dallas Mavericks, who are not far behind with a solid 12-7. It’s playoff season, baby, and tonight’s 08:30 PM EST clash is anything but ordinary. With both teams neck and neck in their conference standings and the betting lines buzzing with a razor-thin margin, this game is set to light up the scoreboard. The Celtics are flying high after demolishing Charlotte, while the Mavs are itching to bounce back from a narrow defeat against Minnesota. So, as these two titans prepare to battle it out, expect a game where the Celtics try to weave their magic and the Mavericks look to corral them in what could only be called a classic showdown of clovers and lassos!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: June 12, 2024 08:30PM EST

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	DAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+125	-145	213.0	1.0/-1.0
Recent	+120	-140	213.5	2.5/-2.5
Difference	-5	+5	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

26W-14L

45.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

24W-17L

54.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
06/09/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	23	23	24	98	Under
06/09/24	Boston Celtics BOS	25	29	29	22	105	Under
06/06/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	20	22	24	23	89	Under
06/06/24	Boston Celtics BOS	37	26	23	21	107	Under
03/01/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	32	27	31	20	110	Over
03/01/24	Boston Celtics BOS	38	28	36	36	138	Over
01/22/24	Boston Celtics BOS	24	41	29	25	119	Over
01/22/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	33	24	27	110	Over
01/05/23	Boston Celtics BOS	29	35	25	35	124	Over
01/05/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	20	26	19	30	95	Over
11/23/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	26	36	27	112	Over
11/23/22	Boston Celtics BOS	34	36	31	24	125	Over
03/13/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	18	20	38	19	95	Under
03/13/22	Boston Celtics BOS	20	27	26	19	92	Under
11/06/21	Boston Celtics BOS	15	25	32	32	104	Under
11/06/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	29	28	22	28	107	Under

Celtics Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Celtics Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ CHA	131-98W	53	34	6	104
04/11	@ NYK	109-118L	36	25	12	86
04/09	vs MIL	91-104L	38	27	12	93
04/07	@ POR	124-107W	40	34	12	87
04/05	@ SAC	101-100W	51	25	7	90
04/03	@ OKL	135-100W	46	33	10	92
04/01	vs CHA	118-104W	51	28	10	89
03/30	vs NOP	104-92W	51	27	12	82
03/28	vs ATL	122-123L	43	28	12	94
03/25	vs ATL	118-120L	38	21	7	95

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
05/28	@ MIN	100-105L	38	23	13	81
04/12	@ DET	89-107L	49	20	20	83
04/10	vs MIA	111-92W	39	27	7	87
04/09	vs CHA	130-104W	55	35	14	93
04/07	@ HOU	147-136W	47	21	17	85
04/05	@ GSW	108-106W	41	30	17	84
04/04	@ ATL	109-95W	53	20	14	94
04/02	vs GSW	100-104L	42	27	15	89
03/31	vs HOU	125-107W	47	24	13	93
03/29	vs SAC	107-103W	42	24	10	76

Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jaylen Brown SF	41.0	42.8	39.9	100%	40.3
Jrue Holiday PG	33.0	36.0	28.4	100%	28.8
Al Horford C	24.0	36.0	24.6	70%	27.4
Jayson Tatum PF	55.0	56.5	48.1	100%	48.4
Derrick White SG	34.0	41.5	34.7	100%	35.1

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luka Doncic SG	69.0	62.0	59.1	100%	59.4
Daniel Gafford C	18.0	24.5	23.8	100%	24.2
Kyrie Irving PG	45.0	35.7	41.3	100%	41.7
Derrick Jones Jr. SF	21.0	21.1	17.6	100%	18.0
PJ Washington PF	30.0	23.6	28.3	100%	28.6

Celtics Notable Injuries

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 2.8pts, 3.0reb, 1.2ast, 11.9 minutes. Last game: 05/28/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Dereck Lively II	DAL	Pts	6.5	9.6	+3.1	80%	70%	73%	73%	BOS	0.0	#15
Jayson Tatum	BOS	Pts	26.5	29.5	+3.0	40%	40%	33%	33%	DAL	+0.7	#16
Kyrie Irving	DAL	Reb	3.5	4.9	+1.4	40%	30%	53%	53%	BOS	-0.4	#9
Maxi Kleber	DAL	Reb	1.5	2.9	+1.4	40%	70%	80%	80%	BOS	-1.0	#7
Luka Doncic	DAL	Ast	9.5	10.3	+0.8	60%	50%	53%	53%	BOS	-0.5	#8
Payton Pritchard	BOS	Ast	1.5	1.8	+0.3	60%	70%	73%	73%	DAL	-0.5	#9

View All Player Prop Projections

Celtics Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#15	#7	#14	#9	-8.9%
PF	#2	#15	#7	#2	-14.1%
PG	#25	#10	#11	#17	2.6%
SF	#15	#11	#17	#17	1.8%
SG	#9	#9	#8	#4	-8.8%

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#5	#2	#3	#1	-15.9%
PF	#7	#9	#11	#5	-5.3%
PG	#24	#1	#21	#26	17.5%
SF	#16	#10	#24	#19	3.3%
SG	#12	#27	#9	#14	-1.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

119.0

114.1

Rebounds per Game

43.1

45.8

Assists per Game

28.6

26.7

Steals per Game

7.9

7.0

Blocks per Game

5.9

5.7

Shots per Game

90.2

88.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

17.3

14.2

2-Pt Percentage per Game

58.0

56.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

39.4

37.1

Turnovers per Game

9.9

12.9

Fouls per Game

14.3

17.9

Recent Trends

Luka Doncic (PG) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 28.0 pts, 15.0 reb, 10.0 ast against MIN
Sam Hauser (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 47.3% to 16.7, 11.3 min average previous 3 games.
Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 42.6% to 12.5, 21.8 min average previous 3 games.
Payton Pritchard (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.8% to 14.2, 23.2 min average previous 3 games.