Celtics vs. Nuggets: High-Octane Showdown on the Hardwood!
Celtics
48W-13L
March 07, 2024
11:00PM EST
Odds: 220.0 o/u
Nuggets
42W-20L
Alright, hoop heads, grab your popcorn and strap in for some late-night NBA action as the 48W-13L Boston Celtics, fresh off a heartbreaking one-point loss to the Cavs, are about to invade the Ball Arena and clash with the 42W-20L Denver Nuggets, who are still nursing a ten-point wound from the Suns. Tip-off is at 11:00PM EST, so you might want to get that espresso machine ready. The Celtics are breathing down the necks of the top spot in the Eastern conference, while the Nuggets are trailing by just a single game in the Wild West. The bookies have set the over/under at a tantalizing 220.0, with the Celtics slightly favored at -1.0, and the Nuggets at 1.0. So, will the Celtics continue their Eastern dominance, or will the Nuggets strike gold at home? Let’s dive into this showdown and see what our fantasy picks should look like.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 07, 2024 11:00PM EST
Location: Ball Arena, Denver
Vegas Odds
| BOS ML | DEN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -115 | -105 | 221.5 | -1.0/1.0 |
| Recent | -115 | -105 | 220.0 | -1.0/1.0 |
| Difference | 0 | 0 | -1.5 | – |
Team Performance
53.5% Win Probability
46.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/19/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 31 | 24 | 26 | 21 | 102 | Under | |
|
| Boston Celtics BOS | 32 | 29 | 21 | 18 | 100 | ||||
| 01/01/23 | Boston Celtics BOS | 28 | 26 | 31 | 26 | 111 | Over | |
|
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 37 | 25 | 36 | 25 | 123 | ||||
| 11/11/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 25 | 32 | 34 | 21 | 112 | Over | |
|
| Boston Celtics BOS | 33 | 33 | 31 | 34 | 131 | ||||
| 03/20/22 | Boston Celtics BOS | 33 | 35 | 30 | 26 | 124 | Over | |
|
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 27 | 16 | 32 | 29 | 104 | ||||
| 02/11/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 32 | 28 | 19 | 23 | 102 | Under | |
|
| Boston Celtics BOS | 30 | 21 | 25 | 32 | 108 |
Starting Lineups
| Boston Celtics | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Jaylen Brown
SF
|
37.4 | 41.1 | 37.6 | 100% | 38.0 |
|
Jrue Holiday
PG
|
29.3 | 28.6 | 28.9 | 100% | 29.2 |
| 38.9 | 39.5 | 37.8 | 100% | 38.1 | |
|
Jayson Tatum
PF
|
47.3 | 47.0 | 49.4 | 100% | 49.8 |
| 33.2 | 33.0 | 30.3 | 100% | 30.7 |
| Denver Nuggets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aaron Gordon
PF
|
30.5 | 31.9 | 28.6 | 100% | 29.0 |
| 0.7 | 7.8 | 9.4 | 27% | 18.3 | |
| 62.5 | 59.5 | 57.3 | 100% | 57.6 | |
|
Jamal Murray
PG
|
44.2 | 39.6 | 39.9 | 100% | 40.4 |
| 35.9 | 36.7 | 30.1 | 100% | 30.5 |
Celtics Notable Injuries
- Jaden Springer (SG/SF): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.6reb, 1.0ast, 10.8 minutes. Last game: 03/03/24. Impact: 1.5
- Svi Mykhailiuk (SG/SF): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.0reb, 0.5ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 03/03/24. Impact: 1.3
Nuggets Notable Injuries
- Julian Strawther (SG/SF): Avg: 5.1pts, 1.3reb, 1.0ast, 12.5 minutes. Last game: 02/28/24. Impact: 0.9
- Collin Gillespie (PG): Avg: 3.3pts, 0.7reb, 0.8ast, 8.5 minutes. Last game: 02/23/24. Impact: 1.4
- Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.5reb, 0.7ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 02/28/24. Impact: 0.4
- Braxton Key (PF): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.8reb, 0.5ast, 3.2 minutes. Last game: 02/25/24. Impact: 0.5
- Jay Huff (C): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 3.1 minutes. Last game: 02/28/24. Impact: 0.9
- Hunter Tyson (PF): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 3.0 minutes. Last game: 02/28/24. Impact: 0.3
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Derrick White | BOS | Pts | 12.5 | 15.1 | +2.6 | 40% | 30% | 20% | 20% | DEN | -1.7 | #6 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | DEN | Pts | 16.5 | 18.7 | +2.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | BOS | -2.0 | #7 |
| Jrue Holiday | BOS | Reb | 4.5 | 5.2 | +0.7 | 40% | 50% | 60% | 60% | DEN | -0.8 | #6 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | DEN | Reb | 2.5 | 2.7 | +0.2 | 40% | 30% | 47% | 47% | BOS | +0.5 | #21 |
| Nikola Jokic | DEN | Ast | 8.5 | 9.5 | +1.0 | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% | BOS | -1.7 | #1 |
| Jamal Murray | DEN | Ast | 6.5 | 7.3 | +0.8 | 0% | 20% | 27% | 27% | BOS | -0.3 | #12 |
Celtics Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #24 | #14 | #1 | #9 | -6.7% |
| PF | #1 | #13 | #7 | #5 | -12.6% |
| PG | #13 | #4 | #17 | #6 | -9.9% |
| SF | #7 | #5 | #7 | #3 | -14.1% |
| SG | #11 | #21 | #12 | #6 | -5.0% |
Nuggets Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #2 | #13 | #20 | #15 | -2.3% |
| PF | #20 | #23 | #18 | #21 | 3.2% |
| PG | #12 | #10 | #30 | #16 | 0.7% |
| SF | #16 | #17 | #20 | #20 | 2.3% |
| SG | #6 | #6 | #20 | #5 | -5.5% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Xavier Tillman (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 46.7% to 11.8, 22.2 min average previous 3 games. The Celtics have a 1-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 1-game losing streak. The Nuggets have a 1-game losing streak at home. Overall, they are on a 1-game losing streak.
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