Celtics vs Warriors Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the Chase Center as the Boston Celtics, boasting a slick 29-13 record, gear up to clash with the Golden State Warriors, who are sitting on a precarious 21-20 ledge, in what promises to be a playoff spectacle unlike any other! With the majority of the first round games turning out to be no-contest blowouts, today’s 06:00 PM EST matchup is a breath of fresh air with the stakes sky-high and the betting lines buzzing. The Celtics, fresh off a nail-biter loss to Atlanta, are looking to rebound, while the Warriors, riding the high from their recent victory over Washington, aim to keep their momentum going. As the over/under teeters at an exhilarating 223.5, this game is set to be a showdown where only the bravest of the brave will survive. So, as the Celtics try to weave their magic and the Warriors draw their battle lines, let’s see who truly rules the court in this clash of the titans!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 20, 2025 06:00PM EST

Location: Chase Center, Golden State

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	GSW ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-300	+250	224.0	-7.0/7.0
Recent	-460	+340	223.5	-10.0/10.0
Difference	-160	+90	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

38W-17L

82.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

30W-27L

17.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
11/06/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	19	32	31	36	00	118	Over
11/06/24	Boston Celtics BOS	24	16	41	31	00	112	Over
03/03/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	22	16	24	26	00	88	Over
03/03/24	Boston Celtics BOS	44	38	33	25	00	140	Over
12/19/23	Boston Celtics BOS	40	25	32	24	50	126	Over
12/19/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	30	32	24	35	110	132	Over
01/19/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	26	29	34	17	120	118	Over
01/19/23	Boston Celtics BOS	25	29	28	24	150	121	Over
12/10/22	Boston Celtics BOS	25	38	20	24	00	107	Over
12/10/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	33	35	27	28	00	123	Over
03/16/22	Boston Celtics BOS	23	25	31	31	00	110	Under
03/16/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	17	15	37	19	00	88	Under
12/17/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	34	34	14	29	00	111	Under
12/17/21	Boston Celtics BOS	26	28	27	26	00	107	Under

Celtics Vs Over/Under

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Celtics Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/18	@ ATL	115-119L	53	23	14	104
01/17	@ ORL	121-94W	41	25	10	80
01/15	vs TOR	97-110L	45	24	9	91
01/12	@ NOP	120-119W	55	23	11	101
01/10	@ SAC	97-114L	43	22	15	84
01/07	vs DEN	118-106W	41	30	11	88
01/03	vs HOU	109-86W	41	20	14	77
01/02	vs MIN	118-115W	31	30	3	92
12/31	@ TOR	125-71W	49	29	13	87
12/29	@ IND	114-123L	41	26	8	93

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/18	@ WAS	122-114W	55	24	9	96
01/15	vs MIN	116-115W	45	26	12	82
01/13	vs TOR	101-104L	46	23	14	88
01/10	vs IND	96-108L	42	25	13	91
01/09	vs DET	107-104W	49	32	15	89
01/07	@ MIA	98-114L	52	28	10	98
01/04	@ MEM	121-113W	29	32	18	84
01/02	@ PHI	139-105W	43	41	11	87
12/30	@ CLE	95-113L	55	20	14	99
12/28	@ PHX	109-105W	49	26	11	98

Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jaylen Brown SF	41.0	39.1	40.0	100%	40.4
Jrue Holiday SG	26.0	22.9	25.9	100%	26.2
Kristaps Porzingis C	38.0	40.6	35.5	100%	35.8
Jayson Tatum PF	49.0	46.8	51.0	100%	51.3
Derrick White PG	27.0	20.4	31.9	100%	32.1

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Buddy Hield SG	31.0	26.6	18.3	30%	25.5
Trayce Jackson-Davis C	35.0	26.2	22.9	80%	25.4
Dennis Schroder PG	29.0	24.8	27.4	100%	27.8
Andrew Wiggins SF	33.0	36.7	30.8	100%	31.2

Celtics Notable Injuries

Xavier Tillman (PF/C): Avg: 3.7pts, 3.1reb, 1.0ast, 14.6 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 0.5
Jaden Springer (SG/SF): Avg: 2.7pts, 1.3reb, 0.7ast, 8.3 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 0.4
Baylor Scheierman (SG): Avg: 0.8pts, 1.4reb, 0.4ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 0.6

Warriors Notable Injuries

Draymond Green (PF/C): Avg: 8.4pts, 6.6reb, 5.9ast, 27.2 minutes. Last game: 01/18/25. Impact: 4.2
Kyle Anderson (PF): Avg: 5.8pts, 3.3reb, 3.6ast, 19.6 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 2.9
Quinten Post (C): Avg: 2.7pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 4.2 minutes. Last game: 01/10/25. Impact: 0.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Trayce Jackson-Davis	GSW	Pts	9.5	13.8	+4.3	20%	50%	53%	53%	BOS	+0.5	#21
Sam Hauser	BOS	Pts	5.5	7.5	+2.0	40%	60%	53%	53%	GSW	+1.0	#22
Andrew Wiggins	GSW	Reb	4.5	5.7	+1.2	60%	60%	47%	47%	BOS	+0.3	#20
Al Horford	BOS	Reb	4.5	5.1	+0.6	40%	60%	67%	67%	GSW	-0.4	#11
Jayson Tatum	BOS	Ast	4.5	5.0	+0.5	60%	70%	53%	53%	GSW	+0.2	#20
Jrue Holiday	BOS	Ast	3.5	4.0	+0.5	40%	50%	53%	53%	GSW	-0.4	#9
Jaylen Brown	BOS	3Pt	1.5	2.1	+0.6	20%	40%	40%	40%	GSW	-0.1	#15
Gui Santos	GSW	3Pt	0.5	1.1	+0.6	60%	30%	27%	27%	BOS	-0.3	#3

View All Player Prop Projections

Celtics Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#9	#13	#2	#3	-14.4%
PF	#21	#13	#11	#18	-0.4%
PG	#11	#30	#6	#8	-3.6%
SF	#3	#17	#3	#6	-9.1%
SG	#4	#20	#6	#7	-7.0%

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#6	#11	#14	#12	-2.7%
PF	#10	#11	#20	#8	-3.1%
PG	#2	#6	#9	#1	-10.2%
SF	#22	#18	#25	#24	5.2%
SG	#25	#18	#24	#26	7.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.6

107.8

Rebounds per Game

46.8

45.3

Assists per Game

25.8

27.4

Steals per Game

7.8

8.4

Blocks per Game

6.2

5.2

Shots per Game

91.7

90.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

17.7

14.7

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.8

50.7

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.1

35.6

Turnovers per Game

11.0

12.9

Fouls per Game

16.2

18.3

Recent Trends

Sam Hauser (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.3% to 18.1, 13.2 min average previous 3 games.
Kevon Looney (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 50.5% to 21.0, 14.0 min average previous 3 games.
Moses Moody (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.1% to 22.6, 15.7 min average previous 3 games.