Celtics vs Bucks Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 9th 2024
Celtics
62W-16L
April 09, 2024
07:30PM EST
Odds: 227.5 o/u
Bucks
47W-31L
Hold onto your shamrocks, folks, because the Boston Celtics, fresh off a sizzling 124-107 victory over Portland, are storming into Fiserv Forum tonight, ready to take on the Milwaukee Bucks. Boston, boasting a whopping 62W-16L record, is riding high, while Milwaukee, at 47W-31L, is looking to rebound from a 109-122 stumble against the Knicks. The Eastern conference is a tightrope walk with both teams on the precipice, but tonight’s clash at 07:30PM EST will certainly tilt the scales. The betting lines are drawn with the Celtics at -1.5 and the Bucks at 1.5, and the over/under is sitting pretty at 227.5. So, whether you’re a Beantown believer or a Buck booster, get ready for a game that promises more excitement than a leprechaun riding a deer – it’s sure to be a ‘Boston Tea Party’ versus a ‘Milwaukee Block Party’!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 09, 2024 07:30PM EST
Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee
Vegas Odds
BOS ML | MIL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -115 | -105 | 227.0 | -1.5/1.5 |
Recent | -125 | -105 | 227.5 | -2.0/2.0 |
Difference | -10 | 0 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance
55.6% Win Probability
44.4% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/20/24 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 28 | 28 | 27 | 36 | 119 | Over | ||
Boston Celtics BOS | 33 | 36 | 32 | 21 | 122 | ||||
01/11/24 | Boston Celtics BOS | 23 | 15 | 32 | 32 | 102 | Over | ||
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 41 | 34 | 36 | 24 | 135 | ||||
11/22/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 17 | 36 | 26 | 37 | 116 | Over | ||
Boston Celtics BOS | 29 | 38 | 27 | 25 | 119 | ||||
03/30/23 | Boston Celtics BOS | 34 | 41 | 39 | 26 | 140 | Over | ||
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 26 | 21 | 27 | 25 | 99 | ||||
02/14/23 | Boston Celtics BOS | 35 | 28 | 32 | 21 | 9 | 125 | Over | |
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 27 | 37 | 26 | 26 | 15 | 131 | |||
12/25/22 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 28 | 33 | 25 | 32 | 118 | Over | ||
Boston Celtics BOS | 36 | 26 | 38 | 39 | 139 | ||||
04/07/22 | Boston Celtics BOS | 29 | 30 | 38 | 24 | 121 | Over | ||
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 36 | 33 | 33 | 25 | 127 | ||||
12/25/21 | Boston Celtics BOS | 35 | 27 | 32 | 19 | 113 | Over | ||
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 22 | 25 | 43 | 27 | 117 | ||||
12/13/21 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 30 | 20 | 24 | 29 | 103 | Under | ||
Boston Celtics BOS | 21 | 30 | 34 | 32 | 117 | ||||
11/12/21 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 30 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 5 | 113 | Over | |
Boston Celtics BOS | 30 | 21 | 37 | 20 | 14 | 122 |
Celtics Vs Over/Under
Bucks Vs Over/Under
Celtics Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/07 | @ POR | 124-107W | 40 | 34 | 12 | 87 |
04/05 | @ SAC | 101-100W | 51 | 25 | 7 | 90 |
04/03 | @ OKL | 135-100W | 46 | 33 | 10 | 92 |
04/01 | vs CHA | 118-104W | 51 | 28 | 10 | 89 |
03/30 | vs NOP | 104-92W | 51 | 27 | 12 | 82 |
03/28 | vs ATL | 122-123L | 43 | 28 | 12 | 94 |
03/25 | vs ATL | 118-120L | 38 | 21 | 7 | 95 |
03/23 | vs CHI | 124-113W | 41 | 28 | 12 | 86 |
03/22 | vs DET | 129-102W | 35 | 31 | 7 | 89 |
03/20 | @ MIL | 122-119W | 37 | 25 | 9 | 85 |
Bucks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/07 | @ NYK | 109-122L | 38 | 27 | 14 | 75 |
04/05 | @ TOR | 111-97W | 45 | 21 | 13 | 88 |
04/03 | @ MEM | 101-111L | 44 | 26 | 11 | 95 |
04/02 | vs WAS | 113-117L | 57 | 31 | 12 | 103 |
03/30 | vs ATL | 122-113W | 40 | 27 | 10 | 78 |
03/28 | vs NOP | 100-107L | 46 | 21 | 14 | 82 |
03/26 | @ LAL | 124-128L | 61 | 37 | 14 | 119 |
03/24 | @ OKL | 118-93W | 57 | 33 | 16 | 92 |
03/21 | @ BRO | 115-108W | 40 | 27 | 10 | 91 |
03/20 | vs BOS | 119-122L | 41 | 20 | 14 | 84 |
Starting Lineups
Boston Celtics | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jaylen Brown
PF
|
36.8 | 37.5 | 38.9 | 100% | 39.4 |
Jrue Holiday
PG
|
27.1 | 24.1 | 28.0 | 100% | 28.4 |
37.8 | 46.7 | 38.9 | 100% | 39.2 | |
Jayson Tatum
SF
|
46.8 | 43.4 | 48.8 | 100% | 49.1 |
32.1 | 32.5 | 33.8 | 100% | 34.2 |
Milwaukee Bucks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
58.1 | 63.0 | 56.7 | 100% | 55.4 | |
17.5 | 15.1 | 21.0 | 100% | 21.3 | |
45.2 | 41.0 | 42.2 | 100% | 41.5 | |
24.7 | 25.7 | 24.8 | 100% | 25.3 | |
33.1 | 33.9 | 33.2 | 100% | 32.4 |
Celtics Notable Injuries
- Xavier Tillman (C): Avg: 5.3pts, 4.2reb, 1.5ast, 18.7 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 1.9
- Oshae Brissett (PF): Avg: 3.4pts, 2.8reb, 0.8ast, 11.3 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 1.4
- Jaden Springer (SG/SF): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.5reb, 0.9ast, 9.8 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 0.6
- Svi Mykhailiuk (SG/SF): Avg: 3.1pts, 1.1reb, 0.7ast, 8.7 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 1.3
- Jordan Walsh (SF): Avg: 0.9pts, 2.0reb, 0.6ast, 6.6 minutes. Last game: 04/05/24. Impact: 0.8
Bucks Notable Injuries
- Danilo Gallinari (PF/C): Avg: 5.7pts, 2.1reb, 1.1ast, 12.7 minutes. Last game: 04/05/24. Impact: 0.9
- Ryan Rollins (PG): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.0reb, 1.0ast, 6.1 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 1.1
- Andre Jackson Jr. (PG/SF): Avg: 2.2pts, 2.0reb, 0.9ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 0.8
- Chris Livingston (SF): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 0.3
- Thanasis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 4.2 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 0.4
- TyTy Washington Jr. (PG): Avg: 0.9pts, 0.4reb, 0.1ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 0.7
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Kristaps Porzingis | BOS | Pts | 16.5 | 19.7 | +3.2 | 80% | 90% | 93% | 93% | MIL | -1.4 | #7 |
Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIL | Pts | 27.5 | 29.9 | +2.4 | 80% | 80% | 73% | 73% | BOS | +0.3 | #15 |
Derrick White | BOS | Reb | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | 40% | 60% | 73% | 73% | MIL | +1.7 | #30 |
Jayson Tatum | BOS | Reb | 7.5 | 7.8 | +0.3 | 60% | 50% | 47% | 47% | MIL | +0.6 | #19 |
Celtics Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #11 | #20 | #12 | #7 | -7.0% |
PF | #7 | #23 | #4 | #5 | -10.5% |
PG | #24 | #7 | #23 | #21 | 8.0% |
SF | #15 | #9 | #17 | #11 | -6.2% |
SG | #18 | #10 | #7 | #11 | -4.5% |
Bucks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #7 | #4 | #3 | #3 | -11.6% |
PF | #5 | #19 | #13 | #8 | -5.7% |
PG | #29 | #24 | #11 | #30 | 38.3% |
SF | #23 | #19 | #9 | #20 | 8.3% |
SG | #28 | #30 | #17 | #29 | 11.1% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Pat Connaughton (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 47.0% to 33.1, 22.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Sam Hauser (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.8% to 28.3, 20.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Bobby Portis (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.3% to 28.3, 20.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Payton Pritchard (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.4% to 29.0, 21.2 min average previous 3 games. The Celtics have a 2-game winning streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 5-game winning streak. The Bucks have a 3-game losing streak at home. Overall, they are on a 4-game losing streak.
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