Celtics vs Pelicans Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Mar 30th 2024

Celtics
57W-16L

March 30, 2024
05:00PM EST
Odds: 223.5 o/u
Pelicans
45W-28L


Listen up, hoopheads! It’s time to break out the green and gold as we’re about to witness a clash of the titans at the Smoothie King Center. The mighty Boston Celtics, who’ve been tearing up the court with a 57W-16L record, are swooping down on the Big Easy to take on the fierce New Orleans Pelicans, who are no slouches themselves with a 45W-28L record. The clock’s set for a 05:00PM EST showdown, and it’s safe to say we’re in for a nail-biter. Despite both teams sitting pretty at 0.0 games back in their respective conferences, the bookies are stirring the pot with an over/under of 223.5, favoring the Celtics by -5.5. The Pelicans, fresh off a 107-100 victory against the Bucks, are looking to keep their momentum, while the Celtics are itching to bounce back from a 122-123 heartbreaker against the Hawks. So, buckle up, because tonight, it’s not just about who can fly higher or run faster – it’s a battle of Beantown’s pride against the spirit of NOLA. The only guarantee is that feathers will fly and shamrocks will shake!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 30, 2024 05:00PM EST
Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Vegas Odds
BOS ML | NOP ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -220 | +180 | 223.0 | -5.5/5.5 |
Recent | -185 | +160 | 223.5 | -6.0/6.0 |
Difference | +35 | -20 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance

64.9% Win Probability

35.1% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/29/24 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 36 | 24 | 27 | 25 | 112 | Over | ||
Boston Celtics BOS | 25 | 25 | 31 | 37 | 118 | ||||
01/11/23 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 32 | 26 | 27 | 29 | 114 | Over | ![]() |
|
Boston Celtics BOS | 35 | 29 | 33 | 28 | 125 | ||||
11/18/22 | Boston Celtics BOS | 40 | 27 | 22 | 28 | 117 | Over | ![]() |
|
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 25 | 32 | 21 | 31 | 109 | ||||
01/29/22 | Boston Celtics BOS | 27 | 25 | 26 | 29 | 107 | Under | ![]() |
|
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 15 | 19 | 36 | 27 | 97 | ||||
01/17/22 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 29 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 92 | Under | ![]() |
|
Boston Celtics BOS | 18 | 21 | 32 | 33 | 104 |
Celtics Vs Over/Under
Pelicans Vs Over/Under
Celtics Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/28 | vs ATL | 122-123L | 43 | 28 | 12 | 94 |
03/25 | vs ATL | 118-120L | 38 | 21 | 7 | 95 |
03/23 | vs CHI | 124-113W | 41 | 28 | 12 | 86 |
03/22 | vs DET | 129-102W | 35 | 31 | 7 | 89 |
03/20 | @ MIL | 122-119W | 37 | 25 | 9 | 85 |
03/18 | @ DET | 119-94W | 53 | 30 | 9 | 95 |
03/17 | vs WAS | 130-104W | 43 | 30 | 14 | 87 |
03/14 | @ PHX | 127-112W | 33 | 31 | 8 | 89 |
03/12 | vs UTA | 123-107W | 46 | 25 | 8 | 92 |
03/11 | vs POR | 121-97W | 45 | 34 | 3 | 100 |
Pelicans Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/28 | @ MIL | 107-100W | 48 | 22 | 6 | 91 |
03/26 | @ OKL | 112-119L | 37 | 26 | 9 | 86 |
03/24 | vs DET | 114-101W | 41 | 27 | 10 | 81 |
03/22 | vs MIA | 111-88W | 56 | 25 | 12 | 82 |
03/21 | vs ORL | 106-121L | 33 | 24 | 18 | 78 |
03/19 | vs BRO | 104-91W | 48 | 29 | 13 | 83 |
03/16 | @ POR | 126-109W | 39 | 36 | 9 | 99 |
03/15 | @ LAC | 112-104W | 40 | 28 | 8 | 88 |
03/13 | @ CLE | 95-116L | 43 | 22 | 11 | 80 |
03/10 | vs ATL | 116-103W | 43 | 32 | 12 | 75 |
Starting Lineups
Boston Celtics | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jaylen Brown
SF
|
37.6 | 39.0 | 38.7 | 100% | 39.1 |
Jrue Holiday
PG
|
28.0 | 32.1 | 29.1 | 100% | 29.6 |
36.7 | 33.5 | 37.0 | 100% | 37.4 | |
Jayson Tatum
PF
|
49.6 | 54.2 | 49.7 | 100% | 50.1 |
34.5 | 45.1 | 34.5 | 100% | 34.9 |
New Orleans Pelicans | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25.3 | 27.0 | 23.9 | 100% | 24.4 | |
CJ McCollum
PG
|
41.9 | 40.9 | 32.1 | 100% | 32.4 |
36.0 | 31.8 | 27.6 | 43% | 29.8 | |
24.7 | 21.4 | 24.7 | 100% | 25.1 | |
48.7 | 39.4 | 40.6 | 100% | 41.1 |
Celtics Notable Injuries
- Neemias Queta (C): Avg: 4.2pts, 3.8reb, 0.4ast, 10.9 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 1.9
- Oshae Brissett (PF): Avg: 3.5pts, 2.9reb, 0.8ast, 11.5 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 1.6
- Jaden Springer (SG/SF): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.5reb, 0.9ast, 10.0 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 0.7
- Svi Mykhailiuk (SG/SF): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.1reb, 0.7ast, 8.9 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 1.5
- Jordan Walsh (SF): Avg: 1.0pts, 2.2reb, 0.7ast, 6.7 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 0.9
- JD Davison (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 1.8 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 0.8
Pelicans Notable Injuries
- Brandon Ingram (PG): Avg: 20.9pts, 5.1reb, 5.8ast, 33.0 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 5.7
- Jose Alvarado (PG): Avg: 6.9pts, 2.3reb, 2.1ast, 18.0 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 2.8
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Trey Murphy III | NOP | Pts | 14.5 | 18.7 | +4.2 | 60% | 50% | 53% | 53% | BOS | -4.4 | #4 |
Derrick White | BOS | Pts | 13.5 | 15.4 | +1.9 | 100% | 60% | 47% | 47% | NOP | -1.0 | #10 |
Jayson Tatum | BOS | Reb | 7.5 | 8.2 | +0.7 | 60% | 40% | 47% | 47% | NOP | +7.9 | #30 |
Zion Williamson | NOP | Reb | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | 40% | 60% | 53% | 53% | BOS | -0.9 | #12 |
Kristaps Porzingis | BOS | Ast | 1.5 | 1.9 | +0.4 | 60% | 70% | 53% | 53% | NOP | -1.7 | #1 |
Jrue Holiday | BOS | 3Pt | 1.5 | 1.8 | +0.3 | 80% | 70% | 73% | 73% | NOP | +0.5 | #25 |
Celtics Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #22 | #16 | #23 | #18 | 0.5% |
PF | #12 | #21 | #4 | #8 | -5.6% |
PG | #14 | #14 | #6 | #7 | -14.8% |
SF | #4 | #12 | #19 | #6 | -19.1% |
SG | #7 | #17 | #6 | #7 | -8.1% |
Pelicans Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #10 | #19 | #1 | #7 | -4.4% |
PF | #8 | #11 | #22 | #7 | -6.3% |
PG | #10 | #19 | #4 | #11 | -8.9% |
SF | #6 | #30 | #11 | #29 | 21.0% |
SG | #10 | #1 | #9 | #4 | -9.1% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Jayson Tatum (SF/PF) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
- Svi Mykhailiuk (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.5% to 11.9, 17.1 min average previous 3 games. The Celtics have a 2-game losing streak on the road.
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