Celtics vs Trail Blazers Game Analysis & Predictions – Mon, Mar 11th 2024

Celtics
49W-14L

March 11, 2024
10:30PM EST
Odds: 218.5 o/u
Trail Blazers
18W-45L


Hey hoop-heads! Grab your popcorn and your lucky socks because tonight’s NBA showdown is one for the books! The mighty Boston Celtics, boasting a formidable 49W-14L record, are packing up their shamrocks and heading west to the Moda Center, ready to paint the town green against the Portland Trail Blazers, currently standing at 18W-45L. Now, we all know the Blazers are a whopping 26.5 games back in the Western conference, but don’t let that fool you. They’re coming off a hot win against Toronto, and they’re ready to bring the heat. On the other side of the court, the Celtics are sitting pretty at 0.0 games back in the Eastern conference, fresh off a victory against Phoenix. Tipoff is at 10:30PM EST, so make sure your lineups are set and your bets are in. Speaking of bets, the over/under is set at a tantalizing 218.5, with the Celtics line at -7.5 and the Trail Blazers at 7.5. So buckle up, sports fans, because tonight’s game is about to be a wild ride!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 11, 2024 10:30PM EST
Location: Moda Center, Portland
Vegas Odds
BOS ML | POR ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -330 | +265 | 217.0 | -7.5/7.5 |
Recent | -260 | +190 | 218.5 | -11.5/11.5 |
Difference | +70 | -75 | +1.5 | – |
Team Performance

72.2% Win Probability

27.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/17/23 | Boston Celtics BOS | 32 | 31 | 26 | 37 | 126 | Over | ![]() |
|
Portland Trail Blazers POR | 24 | 24 | 22 | 42 | 112 | ||||
03/08/23 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 28 | 17 | 27 | 21 | 93 | Under | ![]() |
|
Boston Celtics BOS | 35 | 25 | 34 | 21 | 115 | ||||
01/21/22 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 30 | 24 | 29 | 26 | 109 | Under | ![]() |
|
Boston Celtics BOS | 25 | 33 | 24 | 23 | 105 | ||||
12/04/21 | Boston Celtics BOS | 38 | 26 | 39 | 42 | 145 | Over | ![]() |
|
Portland Trail Blazers POR | 23 | 35 | 26 | 33 | 117 |
Celtics Vs Over/Under
Trail Blazers Vs Over/Under
Starting Lineups
Boston Celtics | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jaylen Brown
SF
|
41.6 | 45.1 | 38.6 | 100% | 39.1 |
Jrue Holiday
PG
|
32.0 | 27.2 | 28.3 | 100% | 28.6 |
27.2 | 20.9 | 23.2 | 50% | 26.4 | |
Jayson Tatum
PF
|
53.0 | 45.4 | 48.9 | 100% | 49.3 |
37.5 | 31.7 | 29.6 | 100% | 30.0 |
Portland Trail Blazers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
43.0 | 41.1 | 33.0 | 100% | 33.4 | |
19.2 | 26.9 | 18.7 | 60% | 22.7 | |
Jerami Grant
PF
|
31.3 | 27.2 | 30.9 | 100% | 31.4 |
Kris Murray
SG
|
14.2 | 22.0 | 13.6 | 33% | 21.2 |
39.8 | 46.0 | 35.3 | 100% | 34.2 |
Celtics Notable Injuries
- Kristaps Porzingis (PF/C): Avg: 20.4pts, 7.1reb, 2.0ast, 29.9 minutes. Last game: 03/07/24. Impact: 6.8
- Svi Mykhailiuk (SG/SF): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.0reb, 0.5ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 03/03/24. Impact: 1.3
- JD Davison (PG): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.0ast, 1.7 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.8
Trail Blazers Notable Injuries
- Jabari Walker (PF/C): Avg: 8.2pts, 6.4reb, 0.9ast, 21.9 minutes. Last game: 03/06/24. Impact: 3.4
- Ashton Hagans (PG): Avg: 3.8pts, 2.2reb, 2.7ast, 16.1 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 2.1
- Moses Brown (C): Avg: 2.4pts, 4.2reb, 0.3ast, 8.8 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 1.4
- Ibou Badji (C): Avg: 1.6pts, 2.6reb, 0.7ast, 11.3 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 1.0
- Rayan Rupert (SG/SF): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.8reb, 0.9ast, 9.9 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 1.6
- Justin Minaya (SG/SF): Avg: 1.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.4ast, 7.7 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 0.5
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Deandre Ayton | POR | Pts | 15.5 | 18.4 | +2.9 | 60% | 70% | 73% | 73% | BOS | +4.7 | #28 |
Anfernee Simons | POR | Pts | 21.5 | 23.5 | +2.0 | 100% | 60% | 67% | 67% | BOS | -2.5 | #3 |
Celtics Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #28 | #15 | #16 | #19 | 3.8% |
PF | #5 | #17 | #4 | #5 | -9.6% |
PG | #13 | #7 | #12 | #7 | -7.9% |
SF | #2 | #2 | #7 | #2 | -30.5% |
SG | #3 | #14 | #8 | #2 | -14.3% |
Trail Blazers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #29 | #13 | #26 | #27 | 10.4% |
PF | #6 | #1 | #3 | #3 | -14.1% |
PG | #6 | #2 | #13 | #12 | -1.3% |
SF | #12 | #15 | #14 | #8 | -7.2% |
SG | #17 | #10 | #21 | #23 | 4.3% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Dalano Banton (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 65.8% to 36.6, 22.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Toumani Camara (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.0% to 32.8, 23.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Luke Kornet (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.3% to 15.3, 11.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Rayan Rupert (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.7% to 17.8, 12.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Shaedon Sharpe (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.0% to 27.8, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Jabari Walker (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.5% to 26.1, 19.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Derrick White (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.1% to 35.6, 27.3 min average previous 3 games. The Celtics have a 1-game winning streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 1-game winning streak. The Trail Blazers have a 1-game winning streak at home. Overall, they are on a 1-game winning streak.
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