Celtics vs Jazz Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Mar 12th 2024

Strap in, folks, because tonight we’ve got the Boston Celtics, hotter than a habanero, with a record of 50 wins and just 14 losses, swaggering into the Vivint Smart Home Arena to duke it out with the Utah Jazz, who are sporting a less-than-stellar 28W-36L record. We’re talking an epic East vs. West showdown, folks! The Celtics are breathing down the neck of the Eastern conference, while the Jazz are trying to find their rhythm, lagging 17 games behind in the West. The betting gods have spoken, setting the over/under at a sizzling 230.5, with the Celtics favored by 6.5. And let’s not forget, the Celtics are still savoring their recent victory over Portland, while the Jazz are looking to bounce back from a bruising defeat against Denver. So, tune in at 9PM EST for a showdown that promises to be more electrifying than a guitar solo at a jazz club. Will the Celtics continue to compose a symphony of wins, or will the Jazz manage to hit the high notes? Either way, it’s gonna be one hell of a jam session!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 12, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: Vivint Smart Home Arena, Utah

Vegas Odds

	BOS ML	UTA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-250	+210	234.5	-6.5/6.5
Recent	-235	+195	230.5	-6.0/6.0
Difference	+15	-15	-4.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

20W-11L

70.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

19W-13L

29.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/05/24	Utah Jazz UTA	15	25	35	22	97	Under
01/05/24	Boston Celtics BOS	30	41	36	19	126	Under
03/31/23	Utah Jazz UTA	29	22	27	36	114	Over
03/31/23	Boston Celtics BOS	27	30	36	29	122	Over
03/18/23	Boston Celtics BOS	34	30	27	26	117	Over
03/18/23	Utah Jazz UTA	24	33	31	30	118	Over
03/23/22	Utah Jazz UTA	24	21	23	29	97	Under
03/23/22	Boston Celtics BOS	39	29	25	32	125	Under
12/03/21	Boston Celtics BOS	25	31	41	33	130	Over
12/03/21	Utah Jazz UTA	38	21	41	37	137	Over

Celtics Vs Over/Under

Jazz Vs Over/Under

Celtics Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/11	vs POR	121-97W	45	34	3	100
03/09	vs PHX	117-107W	43	29	12	95
03/07	vs DEN	109-115L	47	24	12	91
03/05	vs CLE	104-105L	53	24	13	93
03/03	@ GSW	140-88W	51	35	7	96
03/01	@ DAL	138-110W	47	33	9	94
02/27	@ PHI	117-99W	56	21	14	74
02/24	vs NYK	116-102W	36	27	7	82
02/22	vs CHI	129-112W	36	27	13	84
02/14	@ BRO	136-86W	51	32	8	90

Jazz Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/09	vs DEN	121-142L	36	22	15	96
03/06	@ CHI	117-119L	45	28	10	96
03/04	@ WAS	127-115W	51	29	11	101
03/02	vs MIA	120-128L	42	24	10	89
02/29	vs ORL	107-115L	37	25	13	81
02/27	vs ATL	97-127L	43	24	17	94
02/25	@ SAS	128-104W	38	36	17	90
02/22	@ CHA	107-115L	54	26	19	86
02/15	@ GSW	137-140L	48	33	16	93
02/14	@ LAL	122-138L	44	29	13	101

Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Sam Hauser PF	14.8	17.8	14.2	7%	29.5
Jrue Holiday PG	30.2	27.2	28.3	100%	28.6
Luke Kornet C	15.7	13.3	14.4	7%	35.1
Jayson Tatum SF	51.0	45.0	48.4	100%	48.8
Derrick White SG	33.7	30.9	29.5	100%	29.9

Utah Jazz	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
John Collins PF	37.0	38.8	32.2	100%	31.3
Keyonte George PG	32.0	30.6	23.6	33%	30.1
Walker Kessler C	27.3	22.1	23.9	20%	27.2
Brice Sensabaugh SF	24.0	16.1	8.5	14%	29.2
Collin Sexton SG	38.8	35.0	34.7	100%	34.0

Celtics Notable Injuries

Al Horford (PF/C): Avg: 7.8pts, 6.5reb, 2.6ast, 26.6 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 3.7
Neemias Queta (C): Avg: 4.3pts, 4.0reb, 0.4ast, 11.4 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 2.0
Svi Mykhailiuk (SG/SF): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.0reb, 0.5ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 03/03/24. Impact: 1.3
JD Davison (PG): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.7reb, 0.0ast, 1.8 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 0.8

Jazz Notable Injuries

Lauri Markkanen (SF/PF): Avg: 22.9pts, 8.3reb, 2.0ast, 32.8 minutes. Last game: 03/02/24. Impact: 5.9
Taylor Hendricks (PF): Avg: 5.8pts, 4.0reb, 0.6ast, 17.4 minutes. Last game: 03/04/24. Impact: 2.9

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Brice Sensabaugh	UTA	Pts	9.5	13.2	+3.7	40%	20%	N/A	N/A	BOS	-4.6	#2
Collin Sexton	UTA	Pts	21.5	22.6	+1.1	40%	40%	40%	40%	BOS	-2.8	#2
Jrue Holiday	BOS	Reb	4.5	5.3	+0.8	20%	30%	40%	40%	UTA	+0.7	#25
John Collins	UTA	Reb	9.5	10.3	+0.8	60%	70%	60%	60%	BOS	-2.3	#2
Jordan Clarkson	UTA	Ast	4.5	5.5	+1.0	80%	70%	60%	60%	BOS	-0.5	#7
Walker Kessler	UTA	Ast	0.5	0.9	+0.4	60%	80%	60%	60%	BOS	-0.4	#10
Keyonte George	UTA	3Pt	2.5	2.6	+0.1	60%	50%	47%	47%	BOS	-0.7	#3

View All Player Prop Projections

Celtics Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#30	#16	#10	#18	2.4%
PF	#3	#11	#3	#3	-13.3%
PG	#16	#8	#12	#8	-7.1%
SF	#2	#2	#9	#1	-30.4%
SG	#2	#14	#7	#1	-14.4%

Jazz Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#19	#7	#18	#16	-0.9%
PF	#30	#19	#30	#30	16.5%
PG	#9	#13	#29	#13	0.2%
SF	#26	#10	#5	#19	3.1%
SG	#30	#25	#29	#30	14.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

121.2

117.3

Rebounds per Game

45.5

43.8

Assists per Game

28.7

27.2

Steals per Game

6.5

7.1

Blocks per Game

6.5

5.0

Shots per Game

88.7

92.6

3-Pointers Made per Game

16.5

13.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

58.7

52.9

3-Pt Percentage per Game

42.0

36.2

Turnovers per Game

10.0

14.4

Fouls per Game

15.5

18.1

Recent Trends

Kris Dunn (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 52.4% to 24.1, 15.8 min average previous 3 games.
Talen Horton-Tucker (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.4% to 16.2, 11.8 min average previous 3 games.
Luke Kornet (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 81.2% to 18.8, 10.4 min average previous 3 games.
Brice Sensabaugh (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 88.8% to 27.5, 14.6 min average previous 3 games.