Nets vs Heat Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown as the Brooklyn Nets jet down to the Sunshine State to battle it out with the Miami Heat at the Kaseya Center tonight! With the playoffs heating up, both teams are desperate to claw back from recent stumbles and fan the flames of victory. The Nets, trailing in the conference, are looking to weave a tighter net and capture a much-needed win, while the Heat, sitting more comfortably, aim to extinguish their last performance’s smoldering defeat. With tipoff at 8:30 PM EST and the stakes sky-high, the odds-makers have set the bar with an over/under of 213.5. So, as the Heat hope to cook up a storm on their home court, let’s see if the Nets can entangle them in a web of defense. Tonight, it’s all about whether the Heat can handle the Nets or get caught in their own fiery trap!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 23, 2024 08:30PM EST

Location: Kaseya Center, Miami

Vegas Odds

	BRO ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+330	-440	213.5	9.5/-9.5
Recent	+330	-440	213.5	9.5/-9.5
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

17W-36L

23.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

29W-23L

76.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
01/15/24	Miami Heat MIA	16	15	37	20	80	96	Under
01/15/24	Brooklyn Nets BRO	22	23	24	19	70	95	Under
11/25/23	Miami Heat MIA	22	31	23	21	00	97	Under
11/25/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	26	37	27	22	00	112	Under
11/16/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	27	25	31	32	00	115	Over
11/16/23	Miami Heat MIA	30	30	35	27	00	122	Over
11/01/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	29	17	29	34	00	109	Over
11/01/23	Miami Heat MIA	32	24	27	22	00	105	Over
03/25/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	28	37	39	25	00	129	Over
03/25/23	Miami Heat MIA	36	33	18	13	00	100	Over
02/15/23	Miami Heat MIA	25	31	24	25	00	105	Over
02/15/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	26	26	31	33	00	116	Over
01/08/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	31	35	13	23	00	102	Under
01/08/23	Miami Heat MIA	30	34	18	19	00	101	Under
03/26/22	Brooklyn Nets BRO	27	40	29	14	00	110	Under
03/26/22	Miami Heat MIA	25	21	22	27	00	95	Under
03/03/22	Miami Heat MIA	23	37	28	25	00	113	Over
03/03/22	Brooklyn Nets BRO	35	32	17	23	00	107	Over
02/12/22	Brooklyn Nets BRO	26	32	18	35	00	111	Over
02/12/22	Miami Heat MIA	26	38	27	24	00	115	Over
10/27/21	Miami Heat MIA	29	20	32	25	00	106	Under
10/27/21	Brooklyn Nets BRO	22	29	23	19	00	93	Under

Nets Vs Over/Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

Nets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/21	@ UTA	94-105L	50	24	17	94
12/19	vs TOR	101-94W	53	18	15	82
12/13	vs MEM	119-135L	41	30	16	92
12/08	@ MIL	113-118L	30	24	9	81
12/04	@ IND	99-90W	43	24	12	81
12/02	vs CHI	102-128L	41	24	10	95
12/01	@ ORL	92-100L	33	19	16	79
11/29	@ ORL	100-123L	35	22	20	77
11/25	vs GSW	128-120W	42	23	11	83
11/24	vs SAC	108-103W	31	24	12	75

Heat Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/21	vs ORL	114-121L	38	16	14	75
12/20	@ OKL	97-104L	41	20	18	83
12/12	@ TOR	114-104W	52	21	15	83
12/08	@ CLE	122-113W	47	27	11	86
12/07	@ PHX	121-111W	41	30	11	86
12/04	@ LAL	134-93W	52	42	15	90
12/02	vs BOS	89-108L	44	24	10	87
12/01	vs TOR	116-119L	45	25	14	88
11/29	@ TOR	121-111W	33	32	8	94
11/26	@ MIL	103-106L	38	26	8	77

Starting Lineups

Brooklyn Nets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Nic Claxton C	31.0	27.9	27.3	73%	28.7
Dorian Finney-Smith PF	22.0	23.1	20.2	100%	20.3
Cameron Johnson SF	41.0	40.0	30.2	87%	32.8
Keon Johnson SG	14.0	13.4	13.9	20%	14.6
Ben Simmons PG	35.0	25.6	23.3	70%	23.6

Miami Heat	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bam Adebayo C	42.0	42.2	37.7	100%	38.1
Jimmy Butler SF	39.0	28.4	33.5	100%	33.9
Tyler Herro PG	41.0	44.7	39.1	100%	39.5
Nikola Jovic PF	13.0	10.7	20.1	73%	22.4
Duncan Robinson SG	23.0	25.1	15.7	50%	18.4

Nets Notable Injuries

Trendon Watford (PF): Avg: 6.9pts, 3.0reb, 1.2ast, 13.8 minutes. Last game: 12/13/24. Impact: 2.4
Reece Beekman (PG): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 2.5 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 0.2

Heat Notable Injuries

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jimmy Butler	MIA	Pts	16.5	20.9	+4.4	60%	80%	67%	67%	BRO	-1.5	#6
Duncan Robinson	MIA	Pts	10.5	12.5	+2.0	60%	40%	47%	47%	BRO	-1.5	#6
Ben Simmons	BRO	Reb	6.5	8.7	+2.2	20%	30%	27%	27%	MIA	+0.1	#18
Cameron Johnson	BRO	Reb	4.5	6.4	+1.9	60%	40%	47%	47%	MIA	-0.1	#16
Nic Claxton	BRO	Ast	1.5	2.0	+0.5	40%	50%	67%	67%	MIA	+0.8	#27

View All Player Prop Projections

Nets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#16	#1	#24	#18	1.9%
PF	#20	#20	#26	#20	3.5%
PG	#27	#15	#17	#22	3.1%
SF	#11	#8	#12	#13	-1.9%
SG	#6	#3	#11	#10	-5.9%

Heat Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#18	#11	#16	#12	-2.8%
PF	#5	#29	#27	#15	-1.2%
PG	#21	#18	#24	#21	3.0%
SF	#20	#16	#18	#15	0.1%
SG	#5	#19	#8	#7	-6.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

108.6

112.9

Rebounds per Game

39.1

43.0

Assists per Game

25.4

26.2

Steals per Game

6.9

9.1

Blocks per Game

4.2

3.1

Shots per Game

84.2

87.6

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.8

14.7

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.4

52.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.8

37.6

Turnovers per Game

13.3

12.0

Fouls per Game

22.5

17.0

Recent Trends

Josh Christopher (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.7% to 22.7, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
Noah Clowney (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 55.9% to 27.9, 17.9 min average previous 3 games.
Haywood Highsmith (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 40.1% to 16.4, 27.4 min average previous 3 games.
Nikola Jovic (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.4% to 20.9, 14.9 min average previous 3 games.
Tyrese Martin (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.8% to 23.4, 16.8 min average previous 3 games.
De’Anthony Melton (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.1% to 23.7, 16.7 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Richardson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.4% to 21.2, 16.2 min average previous 3 games.
Ben Simmons (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 65.9% to 27.6, 16.6 min average previous 3 games.
Dru Smith (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.6% to 30.0, 22.3 min average previous 3 games.
Trendon Watford (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.8% to 12.5, 20.4 min average previous 3 games.
Ziaire Williams (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 64.0% to 26.6, 16.2 min average previous 3 games.