Nets vs Bucks Game Breakdown

Get ready for some high-stakes hardwood action as the underdog Brooklyn Nets roll into the Cream City to face the formidable Milwaukee Bucks in a first-round playoff showdown that’s anything but predictable! Tonight’s clash at the Fiserv Forum, tipping off at 9 PM EST, promises to be a pivotal battle with both teams hungry to shake off the early playoff jitters and recent performance woes. As the Nets look to bounce back from a New Year’s Day stumble, and the Bucks aim to build on their victorious momentum, the stakes are sky-high and the betting lines are buzzing. Will the Nets weave through the Bucks’ defenses, or will Milwaukee’s herd prove too mighty? Tonight, it’s all about whether Brooklyn can bridge the gap or if Milwaukee will buck the trend!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 02, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee

Vegas Odds

	BRO ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+625	-1000	219.0	14.5/-14.5
Recent	+330	-440	219.5	13.5/-13.5
Difference	-295	+560	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

18W-38L

23.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

42W-15L

76.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
12/26/24	Brooklyn Nets BRO	27	24	25	35	00	111	Under
12/26/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	25	34	23	23	00	105	Under
12/08/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	27	24	35	32	00	118	Over
12/08/24	Brooklyn Nets BRO	25	27	34	27	00	113	Over
10/27/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	25	20	33	24	00	102	Under
10/27/24	Brooklyn Nets BRO	27	21	35	32	00	115	Under
03/21/24	Brooklyn Nets BRO	19	25	25	39	00	108	Over
03/21/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	26	34	21	34	00	115	Over
12/27/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	32	34	34	44	00	144	Over
12/27/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	31	28	33	30	00	122	Over
11/06/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	29	34	33	33	00	129	Over
11/06/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	32	35	27	31	00	125	Over
03/09/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	20	27	33	33	00	113	Over
03/09/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	37	27	23	31	00	118	Over
02/28/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	22	30	39	27	00	118	Over
02/28/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	34	28	23	19	00	104	Over
12/23/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	29	18	28	25	00	100	Under
12/23/22	Brooklyn Nets BRO	36	24	25	33	00	118	Under
10/26/22	Brooklyn Nets BRO	20	35	21	23	00	99	Under
10/26/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	25	18	35	32	00	110	Under
03/31/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	23	33	31	23	100	120	Over
03/31/22	Brooklyn Nets BRO	30	30	26	24	90	119	Over
02/26/22	Brooklyn Nets BRO	25	28	43	30	00	126	Over
02/26/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	32	27	34	30	00	123	Over
01/07/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	29	31	38	23	00	121	Over
01/07/22	Brooklyn Nets BRO	21	28	31	29	00	109	Over
10/19/21	Brooklyn Nets BRO	25	34	26	19	00	104	Over
10/19/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	37	29	31	30	00	127	Over

Nets Vs Over/Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Nets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/01	vs TOR	113-130L	32	28	11	87
12/29	vs ORL	101-102L	38	22	14	73
12/27	@ SAS	87-96L	45	22	16	90
12/26	vs MIL	111-105W	38	25	21	82
12/21	@ UTA	94-105L	50	24	17	94
12/19	vs TOR	101-94W	53	18	15	82
12/13	vs MEM	119-135L	41	30	16	92
12/08	@ MIL	113-118L	30	24	9	81
12/04	@ IND	99-90W	43	24	12	81
12/02	vs CHI	102-128L	41	24	10	95

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/31	vs IND	120-112W	51	27	12	97
12/28	vs CHI	111-116L	43	27	7	102
12/26	@ BRO	105-111L	39	23	22	83
12/21	@ WAS	112-101W	44	35	11	98
12/20	vs CLE	101-124L	45	23	20	85
12/14	@ ATL	110-102W	47	28	12	86
12/10	@ ORL	114-109W	37	27	16	77
12/08	vs BRO	118-113W	31	26	16	68
12/06	vs BOS	105-111L	51	16	9	94
12/04	@ ATL	104-119L	40	23	18	78

Starting Lineups

Brooklyn Nets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Nic Claxton C	32.0	26.8	26.4	73%	27.4
Noah Clowney PF	19.0	18.8	17.6	27%	20.2
Cameron Johnson SF	36.0	36.9	30.9	90%	33.0
D’Angelo Russell PG	29.0	27.6	25.0	40%	24.9
Cam Thomas SG	30.0	35.2	37.5	100%	36.4

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
G. Antetokounmpo PF	58.0	60.7	58.1	100%	58.5
Andre Jackson Jr. SG	9.0	9.7	10.8	70%	11.7
Damian Lillard PG	44.0	43.8	43.8	100%	44.1
Brook Lopez C	23.0	30.2	26.4	100%	26.8
Khris Middleton SF	28.0	32.9	33.7	83%	36.4

Nets Notable Injuries

Ben Simmons (PG): Avg: 5.7pts, 6.3reb, 6.3ast, 24.3 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 3.8
Maxwell Lewis (SF/PF): Avg: 0.4pts, 0.1reb, 0.2ast, 3.2 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 0.3

Bucks Notable Injuries

Pat Connaughton (SF/PF): Avg: 5.5pts, 3.1reb, 2.1ast, 21.3 minutes. Last game: 12/20/24. Impact: 2.0
Delon Wright (PG/SG): Avg: 4.1pts, 1.9reb, 2.3ast, 16.5 minutes. Last game: 12/26/24. Impact: 1.6
Stanley Umude (SG): Avg: 4.2pts, 1.8reb, 0.4ast, 10.7 minutes. Last game: 12/20/24. Impact: 0.9
Marjon Beauchamp (PG/SF): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.7reb, 0.6ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 0.6
Liam Robbins (C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 12/20/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Bobby Portis	MIL	Pts	11.5	16.0	+4.5	80%	60%	53%	53%	BRO	-0.0	#18
Cameron Johnson	BRO	Pts	16.5	19.5	+3.0	80%	70%	67%	67%	MIL	-1.4	#8
Nic Claxton	BRO	Reb	8.5	9.6	+1.1	40%	30%	20%	20%	MIL	-0.7	#7
Giannis Antetokounmpo	MIL	Ast	5.5	6.2	+0.7	20%	40%	53%	53%	BRO	-0.0	#14

View All Player Prop Projections

Nets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#9	#6	#16	#12	-0.9%
PF	#18	#26	#24	#21	2.8%
PG	#24	#14	#18	#15	1.2%
SF	#23	#11	#14	#23	4.4%
SG	#7	#2	#18	#14	-2.6%

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#4	#7	#18	#4	-10.0%
PF	#5	#7	#16	#8	-4.2%
PG	#26	#22	#8	#14	-0.2%
SF	#8	#2	#10	#6	-8.2%
SG	#22	#30	#14	#20	2.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

105.4

113.0

Rebounds per Game

38.6

42.7

Assists per Game

24.5

25.3

Steals per Game

6.7

8.3

Blocks per Game

3.9

5.5

Shots per Game

83.0

86.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.3

14.7

2-Pt Percentage per Game

51.9

54.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.8

39.6

Turnovers per Game

13.9

13.3

Fouls per Game

20.7

18.7

Recent Trends

Nic Claxton (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.6% to 31.5, 22.4 min average previous 3 games.
Pat Connaughton (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.1% to 13.3, 21.5 min average previous 3 games.
Keon Johnson (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.2% to 32.9, 22.5 min average previous 3 games.
De’Anthony Melton (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.1% to 23.7, 16.7 min average previous 3 games.
Khris Middleton (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.8% to 28.2, 21.6 min average previous 3 games.
Bobby Portis (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.7% to 33.4, 25.0 min average previous 3 games.
D’Angelo Russell (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.6% to 28.2, 20.1 min average previous 3 games.
Trendon Watford (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.8% to 12.5, 20.4 min average previous 3 games.
Ziaire Williams (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 64.0% to 26.6, 16.2 min average previous 3 games.
Delon Wright (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 45.6% to 17.5, 12.0 min average previous 3 games.