Nets vs Bucks Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Mar 21st 2024

thefield
Brooklyn Nets

Nets

26W-43L

Brooklyn Nets

March 21, 2024

08:00PM EST

Odds: 220.0 o/u

Bucks

44W-25L

Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks

Get ready folks, because tonight, we’ve got a real David vs. Goliath showdown on our hands. The underdog Brooklyn Nets, who’ve been playing like they’re trying to win a lottery instead of a championship, are making the trek to the Fiserv Forum to square off against the mighty Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks, sitting pretty at the top of the Eastern conference, are looking to bounce back from a recent stumble against the Celtics. Meanwhile, the Nets, who are so far back in the conference they need a telescope to see the playoffs, are hoping to shake off their loss against the Pelicans. The bookies have set the over/under at 220.0, and it’s clear they’re expecting the Bucks to do most of the heavy lifting with a line at -9.0. With the Nets’ line at 9.0, it’s clear they’re the long shot in this game. So, as we gear up for this 8 PM face-off, remember – it’s not always about the size of the ‘Net’, but how you ‘Buck’ the odds.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 21, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee

Vegas Odds

BRO ML MIL ML Over/Under Line
Open +310 -415 222.5 9.0/-9.0
Recent +160 -215 220.0 9.5/-9.5
Difference -150 +200 -2.5

Team Performance

bro Team Logo
LAST 10
3W-7L
AWAY
10W-23L

38.5% Win Probability

mil Team Logo
LAST 10
6W-4L
HOME
27W-7L

61.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Final O/U ATS
12/27/23 Milwaukee Bucks MIL 32 34 34 44 144 Over
Brooklyn Nets BRO 31 28 33 30 122
11/06/23 Milwaukee Bucks MIL 29 34 33 33 129 Over
Brooklyn Nets BRO 32 35 27 31 125
03/09/23 Brooklyn Nets BRO 20 27 33 33 113 Over
Milwaukee Bucks MIL 37 27 23 31 118
02/28/23 Milwaukee Bucks MIL 22 30 39 27 118 Over
Brooklyn Nets BRO 34 28 23 19 104
12/23/22 Milwaukee Bucks MIL 29 18 28 25 100 Under
Brooklyn Nets BRO 36 24 25 33 118
10/26/22 Brooklyn Nets BRO 20 35 21 23 99 Under
Milwaukee Bucks MIL 25 18 35 32 110
03/31/22 Milwaukee Bucks MIL 23 33 31 23 10 120 Over
Brooklyn Nets BRO 30 30 26 24 9 119
02/26/22 Brooklyn Nets BRO 25 28 43 30 126 Over
Milwaukee Bucks MIL 32 27 34 30 123
01/07/22 Milwaukee Bucks MIL 29 31 38 23 121 Over
Brooklyn Nets BRO 21 28 31 29 109
10/19/21 Brooklyn Nets BRO 25 34 26 19 104 Over
Milwaukee Bucks MIL 37 29 31 30 127

Nets Vs Over/Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Nets Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
03/19 @ NOP 91-104L 42 19 13 84
03/17 vs SAS 115-122L 48 29 12 102
03/16 vs IND 100-121L 45 18 20 78
03/13 vs ORL 106-114L 32 21 13 81
03/10 vs CLE 120-101W 40 33 12 80
03/09 vs CHA 99-110L 41 22 15 91
03/07 vs DET 112-118L 28 24 14 84
03/05 @ PHI 112-107W 44 25 12 84
03/04 @ MEM 102-106L 33 27 13 82
03/02 @ ATL 114-102W 45 28 10 89

Bucks Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
03/20 vs BOS 119-122L 41 20 14 84
03/17 @ PHX 140-129W 35 35 10 94
03/14 @ PHI 114-105W 37 29 14 72
03/12 vs SAC 94-129L 44 23 13 84
03/10 vs LAC 124-117W 41 28 7 88
03/08 vs LAL 122-123L 43 28 6 94
03/06 vs GSW 90-125L 36 19 15 89
03/04 @ LAC 113-106W 46 20 11 78
03/01 vs CHI 113-97W 49 22 7 86
02/29 vs CHA 111-99W 44 21 7 86

Starting Lineups

Nets Notable Injuries

  • Dorian Finney-Smith (PF/C): Avg: 8.8pts, 4.6reb, 1.6ast, 28.3 minutes. Last game: 03/19/24. Impact: 3.6
  • Noah Clowney (C): Avg: 2.9pts, 1.6reb, 0.8ast, 8.6 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.8

Bucks Notable Injuries

  • Khris Middleton (SF): Avg: 15.1pts, 4.3reb, 5.0ast, 26.2 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 5.5
  • Marjon Beauchamp (SG/SF): Avg: 4.4pts, 2.1reb, 0.7ast, 13.2 minutes. Last game: 03/06/24. Impact: 0.7
  • Andre Jackson Jr. (PG/SF): Avg: 2.3pts, 2.0reb, 0.9ast, 10.5 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 0.8
  • Thanasis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Nets Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #21 #12 #7 #17 1.1%
PF #16 #13 #11 #14 -1.4%
PG #18 #20 #7 #20 4.6%
SF #11 #17 #11 #11 -5.9%
SG #4 #18 #8 #3 -10.5%

Bucks Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #6 #7 #23 #4 -13.1%
PF #2 #7 #26 #11 -2.7%
PG #7 #7 #3 #3 -14.4%
SF #13 #9 #6 #10 -6.7%
SG #30 #28 #27 #29 12.2%
Team Logo

Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points per Game
104.4
114.9
Rebounds per Game
41.1
43.2
Assists per Game
24.3
25.4
Steals per Game
7.5
6.6
Blocks per Game
4.0
4.2
Shots per Game
86.7
85.6
3-Pointers Made per Game
12.7
15.5
2-Pt Percentage per Game
50.1
54.6
3-Pt Percentage per Game
35.5
39.6
Turnovers per Game
13.4
10.8
Fouls per Game
18.6
16.8

Recent Trends

  • Damian Lillard (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
  • Patrick Beverley (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.8% to 25.8, 19.6 min average previous 3 games.
  • Jacob Gilyard (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 39.3% to 18.8, 30.9 min average previous 3 games.
  • Keon Johnson (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 58.9% to 10.0, 24.5 min average previous 3 games.
  • Khris Middleton (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.4% to 22.0, 34.2 min average previous 3 games.
  • Day’Ron Sharpe (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.3% to 18.8, 13.7 min average previous 3 games.
  • The Nets have a 3-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 4-game losing streak. The Bucks have a 2-game winning streak at home.
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