Hornets vs Hawks Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Mar 23rd 2024

Hey, hoop heads! Brace yourselves for a buzz-worthy showdown tonight as our beloved underdogs, the Charlotte Hornets, fly south to the hive of the Atlanta Hawks at State Farm Arena. Despite the Hornets’ stinging 17W-52L record, they’re buzzing with determination to close the 24.5-game chasm in the Eastern conference. On the flip side, the Hawks, perched at 30W-39L, are flapping hard to rise 11.5 games in the same conference. With a juicy over/under of 213.5, and the Hornets and Hawks lines at 9.5 and -9.5 respectively, this game promises to be a high-stakes gamble. The Hawks, still smarting from their 115-131 tumble against the Suns, are keen on redemption. Meanwhile, the Hornets, nursing their wounds from a 92-112 defeat against the Magic, are itching for a comeback. So, buckle up, folks! It’s gonna be a night of Hawks and Hornets, where we’ll see if it’s the sting or the swoop that rules the roost!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 23, 2024 07:30PM EST

Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta

Vegas Odds

	CHA ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+350	-480	215.0	9.5/-9.5
Recent	+270	-340	213.5	8.0/-8.0
Difference	-80	+140	-1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

8W-28L

27.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

15W-16L

73.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
02/14/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	31	24	25	19	99	Over
02/14/24	Charlotte Hornets CHA	29	32	35	26	122	Over
10/25/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	29	23	21	37	110	Over
10/25/23	Charlotte Hornets CHA	25	26	27	38	116	Over
02/13/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	27	41	28	42	138	Over
02/13/23	Charlotte Hornets CHA	36	38	35	35	144	Over
01/21/23	Charlotte Hornets CHA	25	24	36	37	122	Over
01/21/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	31	34	28	25	118	Over
12/16/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	38	37	23	27	125	Over
12/16/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	24	35	33	14	106	Over
10/23/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	22	37	45	22	126	Over
10/23/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	30	25	29	25	109	Over
03/16/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	33	34	18	21	106	Over
03/16/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	29	33	23	31	116	Over
01/23/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	30	25	30	28	113	Under
01/23/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	22	22	22	25	91	Under
12/05/21	Charlotte Hornets CHA	30	38	31	31	130	Over
12/05/21	Atlanta Hawks ATL	30	31	31	35	127	Over
11/20/21	Charlotte Hornets CHA	21	27	29	28	105	Over
11/20/21	Atlanta Hawks ATL	25	35	29	26	115	Over

Hornets Vs Over/Under

Hawks Vs Over/Under

Hornets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/19	vs ORL	92-112L	30	19	17	79
03/16	vs PHI	98-109L	40	21	16	85
03/15	@ PHX	96-107L	48	20	4	94
03/13	vs MEM	110-98W	35	26	20	82
03/11	vs DET	97-114L	40	27	12	88
03/09	@ BRO	110-99W	45	26	16	82
03/08	vs WAS	100-114L	48	18	7	100
03/05	@ ORL	89-101L	31	19	19	72
03/03	vs TOR	106-111L	45	24	16	92
03/01	vs PHI	114-121L	32	24	5	84

Hawks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/21	vs PHX	115-131L	36	27	8	92
03/18	vs LAL	105-136L	42	32	9	98
03/17	vs LAC	110-93W	45	32	14	84
03/15	vs UTA	122-124L	41	32	9	92
03/13	vs POR	102-106L	38	19	14	88
03/10	@ NOP	103-116L	41	28	11	92
03/08	vs MEM	99-92W	47	21	14	87
03/06	@ CLE	112-101W	42	27	9	86
03/05	vs NYK	116-100W	51	26	14	87
03/02	vs BRO	102-114L	42	23	11	87

Starting Lineups

Charlotte Hornets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Miles Bridges PF	41.8	37.1	40.3	100%	39.5
Tre Mann SG	29.4	31.6	20.0	53%	30.9
Vasilije Micic PG	30.1	29.4	17.0	30%	28.9
Brandon Miller SF	32.6	28.6	33.3	100%	33.3
Nick Richards C	28.9	22.7	25.2	100%	24.6

Atlanta Hawks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bogdan Bogdanovic SF	36.6	30.4	28.0	60%	28.8
Clint Capela C	36.4	34.4	27.7	100%	28.1
De’Andre Hunter PF	32.3	26.3	24.7	33%	27.1
Vit Krejci SG	19.4	14.4	6.2	23%	14.6
Dejounte Murray PG	53.3	52.0	44.8	100%	45.3

Hornets Notable Injuries

Bryce McGowens (SG/SF): Avg: 5.1pts, 1.8reb, 1.0ast, 15.6 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 1.6

Hawks Notable Injuries

Jalen Johnson (PF): Avg: 16.3pts, 8.7reb, 3.5ast, 33.9 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 6.5
Saddiq Bey (PF): Avg: 13.7pts, 6.6reb, 1.5ast, 32.8 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 4.6
Onyeka Okongwu (PF/C): Avg: 10.2pts, 6.8reb, 1.3ast, 25.5 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 4.7
Dylan Windler (SG): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.4reb, 0.6ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Dejounte Murray	ATL	Pts	24.5	28.0	+3.5	60%	40%	40%	40%	CHA	-1.1	#9
Nick Richards	CHA	Pts	9.5	11.6	+2.1	40%	50%	53%	53%	ATL	-0.8	#12
Clint Capela	ATL	Reb	11.5	12.7	+1.2	60%	40%	40%	40%	CHA	-0.0	#16
De’Andre Hunter	ATL	Ast	1.5	1.8	+0.3	40%	50%	47%	47%	CHA	+1.5	#29

View All Player Prop Projections

Hornets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#16	#10	#9	-6.1%
PF	#4	#30	#21	#15	-1.3%
PG	#29	#29	#18	#25	9.5%
SF	#19	#27	#29	#22	7.4%
SG	#9	#23	#4	#13	-3.2%

Hawks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#12	#26	#6	#17	0.6%
PF	#6	#12	#27	#13	-1.8%
PG	#11	#17	#12	#17	0.5%
SF	#26	#5	#18	#21	6.5%
SG	#21	#18	#22	#21	3.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

99.2

109.8

Rebounds per Game

39.9

44.1

Assists per Game

23.0

26.4

Steals per Game

8.3

7.5

Blocks per Game

3.9

5.0

Shots per Game

85.1

90.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.1

12.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.0

50.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

31.8

36.6

Turnovers per Game

13.3

11.4

Fouls per Game

16.6

17.1

Recent Trends

Leaky Black (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.8% to 23.0, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
Bruno Fernando (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 40.1% to 11.9, 19.8 min average previous 3 games.
Onyeka Okongwu (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.1% to 23.5, 34.1 min average previous 3 games.
Aleksej Pokusevski (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.0% to 21.5, 15.0 min average previous 3 games.