Hornets vs Hawks Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying showdown as the Charlotte Hornets buzz into the State Farm Arena, ready to sting the Atlanta Hawks in a battle of the undefeateds tonight at 7:30 PM EST. Both teams kicked off their playoff campaigns with a win, setting the stage for a high-octane clash that promises to light up the scoreboard. With the over/under tantalizingly set at 226.5, and the Hawks favored to clip the Hornets’ wings by 5 points, this game is shaping up to be anything but a typical first-round snoozer. As these two Eastern conference titans lock horns—or rather, wings and stingers—it’s bound to be a hive of activity where only the sharpest will soar to victory.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: October 25, 2024 07:30PM EST

Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta

Vegas Odds

	CHA ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+175	-210	230.5	5.0/-5.0
Recent	+175	-210	226.5	5.0/-5.0
Difference	0	0	-4.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

10W-31L

36.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

21W-19L

63.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
04/10/24	Charlotte Hornets CHA	30	25	22	38	115	Over
04/10/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	35	26	31	22	114	Over
03/23/24	Charlotte Hornets CHA	28	20	26	17	91	Under
03/23/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	30	36	33	33	132	Under
02/14/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	31	24	25	19	99	Under
02/14/24	Charlotte Hornets CHA	29	32	35	26	122	Under
10/25/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	29	23	21	37	110	Under
10/25/23	Charlotte Hornets CHA	25	26	27	38	116	Under
02/13/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	27	41	28	42	138	Over
02/13/23	Charlotte Hornets CHA	36	38	35	35	144	Over
01/21/23	Charlotte Hornets CHA	25	24	36	37	122	Over
01/21/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	31	34	28	25	118	Over
12/16/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	38	37	23	27	125	Over
12/16/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	24	35	33	14	106	Over
10/23/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	22	37	45	22	126	Over
10/23/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	30	25	29	25	109	Over
03/16/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	33	34	18	21	106	Under
03/16/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	29	33	23	31	116	Under
01/23/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	30	25	30	28	113	Under
01/23/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	22	22	22	25	91	Under
12/05/21	Charlotte Hornets CHA	30	38	31	31	130	Over
12/05/21	Atlanta Hawks ATL	30	31	31	35	127	Over
11/20/21	Charlotte Hornets CHA	21	27	29	28	105	Under
11/20/21	Atlanta Hawks ATL	25	35	29	26	115	Under

Hornets Vs Over/Under

Hawks Vs Over/Under

Hornets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
10/23	vs HOU	110-105W	56	20	16	85
04/12	vs BOS	98-131L	33	20	19	76
04/10	vs ATL	115-114W	33	25	13	79
04/09	@ DAL	104-130L	39	24	11	89
04/07	@ OKL	118-121L	36	29	18	83
04/05	@ ORL	124-115W	36	29	18	72
04/03	@ POR	86-89L	36	22	9	78
04/01	@ BOS	104-118L	40	28	6	91
03/31	@ LAC	118-130L	31	32	9	88
03/29	@ GSW	97-115L	41	23	11	84

Hawks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
10/23	@ BRO	120-116W	45	25	16	80
04/12	vs MIN	106-109L	40	23	14	90
04/10	@ CHA	114-115L	38	35	16	82
04/09	@ MIA	111-117L	59	28	15	113
04/06	vs DEN	110-142L	38	30	16	87
04/04	vs DAL	95-109L	56	21	21	85
04/03	@ DET	121-113W	48	36	16	90
04/01	vs CHI	113-101W	45	29	14	82
03/30	@ MIL	113-122L	39	24	11	92
03/28	@ BOS	123-122W	53	24	11	106

Starting Lineups

Charlotte Hornets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
LaMelo Ball PG	55.0	45.9	46.5	93%	46.6
Miles Bridges SF	38.0	26.9	36.5	100%	36.9
Seth Curry SG	16.0	16.4	10.6	7%	10.5
Cody Martin PF	19.0	24.7	21.2	73%	22.7
Nick Richards C	24.0	16.6	22.9	90%	24.1

Atlanta Hawks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Clint Capela C	26.0	28.2	30.0	100%	30.4
Dyson Daniels SG	26.0	15.9	17.5	13%	26.0
De’Andre Hunter SF	26.0	27.9	25.9	43%	28.5
Jalen Johnson PF	38.0	39.7	38.1	100%	37.7
Trae Young PG	52.0	30.5	44.1	100%	44.5

Hornets Notable Injuries

Brandon Miller (SG/SF): Avg: 17.3pts, 4.3reb, 2.3ast, 32.2 minutes. Last game: 10/23/24. Impact: 4.9

Hawks Notable Injuries

Bogdan Bogdanovic (SG): Avg: 16.8pts, 3.4reb, 3.1ast, 30.4 minutes. Last game: 10/23/24. Impact: 4.9

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Zaccharie Risacher	ATL	Pts	9.5	16.8	+7.3	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	CHA	-0.3	#14
LaMelo Ball	CHA	Pts	25.5	27.5	+2.0	40%	50%	60%	60%	ATL	+0.9	#22
Miles Bridges	CHA	Reb	6.5	7.2	+0.7	40%	50%	47%	47%	ATL	-1.0	#5
Jalen Johnson	ATL	Reb	8.5	9.0	+0.5	60%	50%	60%	60%	CHA	+0.6	#26

View All Player Prop Projections

Hornets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#27	#27	#8	#24	5.3%
PF	#20	#25	#27	#22	3.1%
PG	#24	#24	#29	#26	6.5%
SF	#14	#26	#21	#18	1.0%
SG	#6	#27	#21	#15	-0.6%

Hawks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#6	#23	#12	#14	-1.4%
PF	#8	#12	#22	#10	-1.7%
PG	#30	#25	#8	#29	12.4%
SF	#27	#5	#20	#26	7.5%
SG	#22	#20	#27	#23	2.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

103.6

116.1

Rebounds per Game

39.6

44.9

Assists per Game

24.1

27.7

Steals per Game

7.1

7.2

Blocks per Game

4.1

4.7

Shots per Game

84.7

91.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.2

13.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.9

53.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

34.6

37.0

Turnovers per Game

13.0

12.4

Fouls per Game

16.5

18.3

Recent Trends

Miles Bridges (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.4% to 25.7, 39.1 min average previous 3 games.
Clint Capela (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.6% to 22.1, 31.9 min average previous 3 games.
Garrison Mathews (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.5% to 25.0, 17.9 min average previous 3 games.
Vasilije Micic (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 40.7% to 18.2, 30.7 min average previous 3 games.
Brandon Miller (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.4% to 19.3, 36.6 min average previous 3 games.
Onyeka Okongwu (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.8% to 22.1, 32.9 min average previous 3 games.