Hornets vs Pistons Game Analysis & Predictions – Mon, Mar 11th 2024

Hornets
16W-48L

March 11, 2024
07:00PM EST
Odds: 217.5 o/u
Pistons
11W-52L


Alright, sports junkies, buckle up because this is going to be one wild ride! Tonight, we’ve got the Charlotte Hornets, standing tall (well, as tall as a 16W-48L record can get you) ready to buzz into the Little Caesars Arena to face off against the Detroit Pistons, who are somehow managing to look up from an even deeper hole with an 11W-52L record. Tipoff’s at 07:00PM EST, so you’ve got just enough time to grab your favorite snack and settle down for the showdown. The Hornets are trailing 20.5 games in the Eastern conference, while the Pistons are a whopping 30.0 games back. The over/under’s been set at a tantalizing 217.5, with the Hornets line at 4.0 and the Pistons at -4.0. Now, the Pistons are still licking their wounds from a 124-142 spanking they received from DAL on 03/09/24, but the Hornets are riding high on their 110-99 win against BRO on the same day. So, are we looking at a potential upset or a predictable outcome? Only time will tell, my friends!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 11, 2024 07:00PM EST
Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Vegas Odds
CHA ML | DET ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +150 | -175 | 218.0 | 4.0/-4.0 |
Recent | +110 | -145 | 217.5 | 5.0/-5.0 |
Difference | -40 | +30 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance

47.6% Win Probability

52.4% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/24/24 | Charlotte Hornets CHA | 31 | 21 | 40 | 14 | 106 | Over | ![]() |
|
Detroit Pistons DET | 28 | 24 | 37 | 24 | 113 | ||||
10/27/23 | Detroit Pistons DET | 32 | 22 | 29 | 28 | 111 | Under | ![]() |
|
Charlotte Hornets CHA | 21 | 26 | 28 | 24 | 99 | ||||
03/09/23 | Charlotte Hornets CHA | 31 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 113 | Under | ![]() |
|
Detroit Pistons DET | 23 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 103 | ||||
02/27/23 | Detroit Pistons DET | 21 | 25 | 30 | 30 | 106 | Over | ![]() |
|
Charlotte Hornets CHA | 41 | 24 | 27 | 25 | 117 | ||||
02/03/23 | Charlotte Hornets CHA | 30 | 38 | 26 | 18 | 112 | Over | ![]() |
|
Detroit Pistons DET | 29 | 40 | 23 | 26 | 118 | ||||
12/14/22 | Detroit Pistons DET | 35 | 38 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 141 | Over | ![]() |
Charlotte Hornets CHA | 33 | 36 | 28 | 30 | 7 | 134 | |||
02/27/22 | Detroit Pistons DET | 31 | 27 | 24 | 34 | 11 | 127 | Over | ![]() |
Charlotte Hornets CHA | 28 | 26 | 30 | 32 | 10 | 126 | |||
02/11/22 | Charlotte Hornets CHA | 36 | 43 | 31 | 31 | 141 | Over | ![]() |
|
Detroit Pistons DET | 29 | 26 | 32 | 32 | 119 | ||||
01/05/22 | Detroit Pistons DET | 19 | 32 | 24 | 36 | 111 | Over | ![]() |
|
Charlotte Hornets CHA | 37 | 28 | 35 | 40 | 140 |
Hornets Vs Over/Under
Pistons Vs Over/Under
Starting Lineups
Charlotte Hornets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
44.5 | 40.9 | 39.8 | 100% | 38.9 | |
33.6 | 28.1 | 14.1 | 13% | 28.3 | |
37.3 | 35.5 | 31.4 | 100% | 31.4 | |
29.0 | 23.9 | 25.7 | 100% | 25.1 | |
26.9 | 26.0 | 19.2 | 30% | 21.7 |
Detroit Pistons | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
47.8 | 44.2 | 42.0 | 93% | 42.7 | |
39.0 | 27.6 | 33.8 | 93% | 34.3 | |
Jaden Ivey
SG
|
31.1 | 29.8 | 30.0 | 93% | 30.3 |
24.9 | 23.9 | 23.1 | 93% | 22.7 | |
27.4 | 26.8 | 21.5 | 47% | 25.6 |
Hornets Notable Injuries
- Cody Martin (PG): Avg: 7.6pts, 4.0reb, 3.9ast, 27.3 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 3.9
- Tre Mann (PG/SG): Avg: 7.4pts, 3.4reb, 3.0ast, 18.9 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 4.4
- Seth Curry (PG): Avg: 5.3pts, 1.6reb, 1.0ast, 14.3 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 2.3
- Bryce McGowens (SG/SF): Avg: 5.1pts, 1.8reb, 1.0ast, 15.6 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 1.6
- Marques Bolden (C): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.8reb, 0.0ast, 3.9 minutes. Last game: 03/03/24. Impact: 0.2
Pistons Notable Injuries
- Stanley Umude (SG): Avg: 5.1pts, 1.8reb, 0.5ast, 11.3 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 1.8
- Malachi Flynn (PG): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.4reb, 1.6ast, 11.0 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 1.0
- Tosan Evbuomwan (PF): Avg: 2.8pts, 2.7reb, 1.0ast, 15.0 minutes. Last game: 02/26/24. Impact: 1.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Davis Bertans | CHA | Pts | 11.5 | 15.1 | +3.6 | 60% | 40% | 27% | 27% | DET | -0.5 | #16 |
Jalen Duren | DET | Pts | 13.5 | 15.3 | +1.8 | 40% | 50% | 53% | 53% | CHA | -2.4 | #7 |
Ausar Thompson | DET | Reb | 6.5 | 7.3 | +0.8 | 40% | 50% | 47% | 47% | CHA | +0.2 | #17 |
Vasilije Micic | CHA | Reb | 2.5 | 3.1 | +0.6 | 60% | 30% | 27% | 27% | DET | -1.0 | #3 |
Hornets Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #7 | #1 | #20 | #6 | -10.5% |
PF | #10 | #26 | #16 | #13 | -0.3% |
PG | #18 | #27 | #28 | #22 | 4.1% |
SF | #14 | #17 | #20 | #15 | -0.6% |
SG | #2 | #27 | #1 | #4 | -9.7% |
Pistons Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #20 | #23 | #12 | #22 | 7.0% |
PF | #16 | #14 | #20 | #24 | 6.2% |
PG | #16 | #18 | #14 | #21 | 3.6% |
SF | #20 | #7 | #22 | #12 | -1.1% |
SG | #26 | #3 | #14 | #19 | 2.3% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Cade Cunningham (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
- Davis Bertans (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.3% to 28.4, 20.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Leaky Black (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.8% to 23.0, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Quentin Grimes (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 33.6% to 17.4, 26.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Marcus Sasser (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.5% to 12.8, 19.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Nick Smith Jr. (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 40.4% to 11.3, 18.9 min average previous 3 games.
- James Wiseman (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.9% to 19.4, 14.7 min average previous 3 games. The Hornets have a 1-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 1-game winning streak. The Pistons have a 1-game losing streak at home. Overall, they are on a 1-game losing streak.
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