Hornets vs Grizzlies Game Breakdown

Get ready to buzz into action as the underdog Charlotte Hornets swarm into the FedEx Forum, looking to sting the high-flying Memphis Grizzlies in a playoff showdown that’s anything but predictable. With the Hornets desperately trying to climb their way up from the bottom of the Eastern hive, and the Grizzlies roaring to assert dominance atop the Western jungle, tonight’s clash at 09:00 PM EST promises to be a spectacle. Both teams are fresh off narrow victories, setting the stage for a battle that could shift the playoff momentum. As the odds stack up and the points pile high with an over/under of 240, fans are in for a thrilling display of basketball bravado. So, will the Grizzlies bear the weight of expectation, or will the Hornets prove that even the smallest can leave a lasting sting?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 22, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: FedEx Forum, Memphis

Vegas Odds

	CHA ML	MEM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+475	-700	239.0	12.0/-12.0
Recent	+475	-700	240.0	12.0/-12.0
Difference	0	0	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

13W-44L

17.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

24W-35L

82.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
03/13/24	Charlotte Hornets CHA	31	25	24	30	110	Under
03/13/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	19	27	24	28	98	Under
02/10/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	28	21	27	30	106	Under
02/10/24	Charlotte Hornets CHA	25	33	27	30	115	Under
01/04/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	40	36	26	29	131	Under
01/04/23	Charlotte Hornets CHA	26	21	26	34	107	Under
11/04/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	24	23	22	30	99	Under
11/04/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	41	30	33	26	130	Under
02/12/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	36	38	25	26	125	Over
02/12/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	15	28	32	43	118	Over
11/10/21	Charlotte Hornets CHA	34	26	21	37	118	Under
11/10/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	36	16	26	30	108	Under

Hornets Vs Over/Under

Grizzlies Vs Over/Under

Hornets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/20	@ DAL	110-105W	49	28	13	98
01/17	vs CHI	125-123W	44	26	12	96
01/15	vs UTA	117-112W	45	27	18	85
01/12	vs PHX	113-120L	52	30	16	92
01/07	@ PHX	115-104W	59	23	11	98
01/03	vs DET	94-98L	45	25	17	80
12/30	@ CHI	108-115L	56	23	14	101
12/28	@ OKL	94-106L	44	17	18	80
12/26	vs WAS	110-113L	50	31	18	94
12/20	vs PHI	98-108L	44	22	17	78

Grizzlies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/20	@ MIN	108-106W	47	19	13	86
01/17	vs SAS	140-112W	41	39	7	97
01/15	vs SAS	129-115W	52	28	8	103
01/13	vs HOU	118-120L	31	15	17	85
01/11	vs MIN	127-125W	46	25	13	108
01/09	@ HOU	115-119L	43	20	19	84
01/06	@ DAL	119-104W	55	24	13	88
01/04	vs GSW	113-121L	43	29	22	88
01/03	vs SAC	133-138L	51	31	17	89
12/31	vs PHX	117-112W	51	27	17	94

Starting Lineups

Charlotte Hornets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
LaMelo Ball PG	54.0	53.9	49.2	100%	48.5
Miles Bridges PF	40.0	38.0	36.1	100%	36.5
Josh Green SF	19.0	15.4	15.8	100%	16.2
Nick Smith Jr. SG	22.0	18.2	7.6	7%	26.0
Mark Williams C	41.0	44.6	31.7	87%	34.0

Memphis Grizzlies	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Desmond Bane SG	38.0	41.8	35.5	100%	34.8
Zach Edey C	18.0	14.9	20.6	73%	18.6
Jaren Jackson Jr. PF	42.0	37.0	41.1	100%	41.5
Ja Morant PG	37.0	37.5	40.7	100%	41.0
Jaylen Wells SF	18.0	20.3	20.2	100%	20.5

Hornets Notable Injuries

Brandon Miller (PF): Avg: 18.6pts, 4.6reb, 2.7ast, 33.1 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 6.3
Tidjane Salaun (PF): Avg: 4.7pts, 4.2reb, 1.1ast, 17.5 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 2.0
Taj Gibson (C): Avg: 1.9pts, 2.2reb, 0.6ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 1.1

Grizzlies Notable Injuries

Jake LaRavia (SF/PF): Avg: 8.8pts, 4.1reb, 2.4ast, 21.9 minutes. Last game: 01/20/25. Impact: 2.6
John Konchar (SG/SF): Avg: 4.0pts, 4.5reb, 1.8ast, 19.5 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 2.4
Yuki Kawamura (PG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.4reb, 0.8ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 0.7

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Josh Green	CHA	Pts	5.5	8.2	+2.7	20%	40%	47%	47%	MEM	+2.5	#26
Miles Bridges	CHA	Pts	18.5	21.2	+2.7	100%	90%	80%	80%	MEM	+0.2	#17
Mark Williams	CHA	Reb	11.5	12.3	+0.8	80%	50%	33%	33%	MEM	+0.6	#23
Nick Smith Jr.	CHA	Reb	2.5	3.1	+0.6	80%	50%	33%	33%	MEM	+0.2	#20
LaMelo Ball	CHA	Ast	7.5	8.3	+0.8	80%	70%	60%	60%	MEM	-0.9	#5
Cody Martin	CHA	Ast	2.5	2.8	+0.3	40%	30%	40%	40%	MEM	+0.6	#27

View All Player Prop Projections

Hornets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#28	#19	#17	#26	6.3%
PF	#19	#29	#13	#28	9.4%
PG	#7	#24	#6	#8	-3.1%
SF	#5	#3	#10	#6	-9.1%
SG	#14	#13	#29	#19	2.1%

Grizzlies Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#20	#15	#12	#19	4.7%
PF	#26	#23	#27	#27	8.8%
PG	#3	#20	#5	#6	-6.3%
SF	#17	#9	#27	#21	4.3%
SG	#26	#5	#18	#22	3.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

105.9

125.9

Rebounds per Game

47.4

48.0

Assists per Game

24.1

29.7

Steals per Game

8.0

9.9

Blocks per Game

4.6

5.2

Shots per Game

89.7

93.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.8

14.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

50.4

56.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

32.6

38.6

Turnovers per Game

15.0

15.6

Fouls per Game

19.4

22.1

Recent Trends

Seth Curry (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 56.9% to 11.4, 26.4 min average previous 3 games.
DaQuan Jeffries (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.7% to 13.9, 25.1 min average previous 3 games.
Luke Kennard (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.2% to 25.3, 19.1 min average previous 3 games.
John Konchar (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 48.3% to 13.1, 25.3 min average previous 3 games.
Nick Smith Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 57.3% to 24.1, 15.3 min average previous 3 games.
Vince Williams Jr. (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 58.3% to 14.9, 35.8 min average previous 3 games.