Hornets vs Grizzlies Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Mar 13th 2024

Hey, hoop-heads! Tonight, we’re buzzing down to the FedEx Forum to witness a real hive of activity as the Charlotte Hornets, struggling with a 16W-49L record, aim to sting the Memphis Grizzlies in their own den. The Grizzlies, barely clawing their way through this season at 23W-43L, are looking to defend their turf and add another win to their tally. The clock’s ticking down to an 08:00PM EST tipoff, and let me tell ya, it’s gonna be a humdinger! Now, the Hornets may be trailing by 21 games in the East, but the Grizzlies aren’t exactly roaring in the West either, lagging by 17 games. As for the betting lines, they’re as tight as a drum with an over/under at 203.5. The Hornets are favored by a whisker at -1.5, while the Grizzlies are just a bear’s breath away at 1.5. Fresh off a 109-86 victory over WAS, the Grizzlies are hoping to keep that momentum, while the Hornets, smarting from a 97-114 defeat to DET, are looking to turn their luck around. So, buckle up folks, because when the hive meets the den, it’s not just about the honey, it’s about survival!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 13, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: FedEx Forum, Memphis

Vegas Odds

	CHA ML	MEM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-125	+105	205.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-120	+100	203.5	-1.0/1.0
Difference	+5	-5	-2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

7W-26L

54.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

8W-25L

45.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
02/10/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	28	21	27	30	106	Over
02/10/24	Charlotte Hornets CHA	25	33	27	30	115	Over
01/04/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	40	36	26	29	131	Over
01/04/23	Charlotte Hornets CHA	26	21	26	34	107	Over
11/04/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	24	23	22	30	99	Over
11/04/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	41	30	33	26	130	Over
02/12/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	36	38	25	26	125	Over
02/12/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	15	28	32	43	118	Over
11/10/21	Charlotte Hornets CHA	34	26	21	37	118	Over
11/10/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	36	16	26	30	108	Over

Hornets Vs Over/Under

Grizzlies Vs Over/Under

Hornets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/11	vs DET	97-114L	40	27	12	88
03/09	@ BRO	110-99W	45	26	16	82
03/08	vs WAS	100-114L	48	18	7	100
03/05	@ ORL	89-101L	31	19	19	72
03/03	vs TOR	106-111L	45	24	16	92
03/01	vs PHI	114-121L	32	24	5	84
02/29	@ MIL	99-111L	42	24	13	83
02/27	vs MIL	85-123L	37	24	13	81
02/25	vs POR	93-80W	41	24	14	75
02/23	vs GSW	84-97L	43	21	18	88

Grizzlies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/12	@ WAS	109-86W	53	27	17	89
03/10	vs OKL	93-124L	39	21	16	79
03/08	@ ATL	92-99L	38	21	13	74
03/06	vs PHI	115-109W	54	21	15	92
03/04	vs BRO	106-102W	50	26	18	82
03/02	@ POR	100-107L	45	21	22	83
03/01	@ POR	92-122L	30	15	21	80
02/28	vs MIN	101-110L	50	23	14	94
02/26	@ BRO	86-111L	40	16	14	75
02/23	@ LAC	95-101L	41	26	12	91

Starting Lineups

Charlotte Hornets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Miles Bridges PF	42.5	39.6	39.6	100%	38.8
Tre Mann SG	23.0	27.1	17.1	40%	31.0
Vasilije Micic PG	30.5	28.7	14.7	17%	28.7
Brandon Miller SF	35.4	37.5	32.0	100%	32.0
Nick Richards C	29.3	25.9	25.7	100%	25.0

Memphis Grizzlies	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Santi Aldama PF	24.7	27.5	23.6	70%	24.8
Jaren Jackson Jr. C	42.0	42.2	39.2	93%	39.8
Luke Kennard PG	22.6	23.9	21.0	53%	24.2
John Konchar SG	20.4	19.9	17.3	53%	21.6
Vince Williams Jr. SF	33.7	33.6	30.8	83%	33.1

Hornets Notable Injuries

Cody Martin (PG): Avg: 7.6pts, 4.0reb, 3.9ast, 27.3 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 3.9
Seth Curry (PG): Avg: 5.3pts, 1.6reb, 1.0ast, 14.3 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 2.3
Bryce McGowens (SG/SF): Avg: 5.1pts, 1.8reb, 1.0ast, 15.6 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 1.6
Marques Bolden (C): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.8reb, 0.0ast, 3.9 minutes. Last game: 03/03/24. Impact: 0.2

Grizzlies Notable Injuries

Ziaire Williams (SG): Avg: 8.1pts, 3.6reb, 1.5ast, 20.3 minutes. Last game: 03/02/24. Impact: 3.3
Derrick Rose (PG): Avg: 8.0pts, 1.9reb, 3.3ast, 16.7 minutes. Last game: 02/28/24. Impact: 2.2
Yuta Watanabe (SF/PF): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.6reb, 0.4ast, 13.7 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 0.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Vasilije Micic	CHA	Pts	10.5	12.3	+1.8	100%	70%	60%	60%	MEM	+0.3	#16
Nick Richards	CHA	Pts	10.5	12.0	+1.5	40%	40%	53%	53%	MEM	-1.2	#9

View All Player Prop Projections

Hornets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#11	#4	#13	#9	-6.7%
PF	#5	#29	#14	#14	-1.9%
PG	#18	#26	#25	#16	2.9%
SF	#16	#16	#19	#14	0.4%
SG	#8	#26	#1	#6	-8.0%

Grizzlies Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#9	#12	#14	#13	-5.5%
PF	#7	#5	#10	#7	-7.8%
PG	#5	#29	#6	#13	0.0%
SF	#21	#18	#27	#20	6.3%
SG	#16	#20	#20	#21	3.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

101.9

100.8

Rebounds per Game

41.4

43.2

Assists per Game

24.1

23.2

Steals per Game

7.6

8.2

Blocks per Game

3.8

7.0

Shots per Game

85.4

83.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.8

11.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.4

49.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

33.3

Turnovers per Game

13.1

15.8

Fouls per Game

17.0

17.5

Recent Trends

Leaky Black (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.8% to 23.0, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
Brandon Clarke (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 43.8% to 12.2, 21.7 min average previous 3 games.