Bulls vs Heat Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 19th 2024
Bulls
1W-0L
April 19, 2024
07:00PM EST
Odds: 206.5 o/u
Heat
0W-1L
Get ready to turn up the heat and charge with the Bulls as we dive into a sizzling NBA play-in showdown that’s set to light up the Kaseya Center tonight at 7 PM EST! Fresh off their nail-biting victories, the Chicago Bulls, boasting an unblemished record, are all set to lock horns with the Miami Heat, who are looking to bounce back and turn up the temperature in this critical Eastern Conference clash. With both teams sitting neck and neck in the conference standings and the betting lines drawing a close call at an over/under of 206.5, tonight’s matchup promises to deliver all the high-stakes drama you’d expect from a playoff calibre battle. So, as the Bulls aim to gore their way through the Heat’s defenses, let’s see if Miami can turn the court into their own sizzling grill and cook up a victory!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 19, 2024 07:00PM EST
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami
Vegas Odds
CHI ML | MIA ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +110 | -130 | 208.0 | 2.0/-2.0 |
Recent | -105 | -115 | 206.5 | 2.0/-2.0 |
Difference | -215 | +15 | -1.5 | – |
Team Performance
51.2% Win Probability
48.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/16/23 | Chicago Bulls CHI | 24 | 33 | 23 | 36 | 00 | 116 | Over | |
Miami Heat MIA | 36 | 22 | 33 | 27 | 00 | 118 | |||
12/14/23 | Chicago Bulls CHI | 36 | 24 | 33 | 31 | 00 | 124 | Over | |
Miami Heat MIA | 22 | 34 | 32 | 28 | 00 | 116 | |||
11/20/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 33 | 32 | 28 | 25 | 00 | 118 | Over | |
Chicago Bulls CHI | 27 | 26 | 28 | 19 | 00 | 100 | |||
11/18/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 26 | 24 | 26 | 21 | 00 | 97 | Under | |
Chicago Bulls CHI | 14 | 26 | 28 | 34 | 00 | 102 | |||
03/18/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 19 | 26 | 32 | 22 | 00 | 99 | Over | |
Chicago Bulls CHI | 33 | 37 | 20 | 23 | 00 | 113 | |||
12/20/22 | Chicago Bulls CHI | 31 | 21 | 36 | 25 | 00 | 113 | Over | |
Miami Heat MIA | 21 | 36 | 20 | 26 | 00 | 103 | |||
10/19/22 | Chicago Bulls CHI | 28 | 31 | 37 | 20 | 00 | 116 | Over | |
Miami Heat MIA | 33 | 26 | 27 | 22 | 00 | 108 | |||
04/02/22 | Miami Heat MIA | 31 | 35 | 32 | 29 | 00 | 127 | Over | |
Chicago Bulls CHI | 30 | 27 | 22 | 30 | 00 | 109 | |||
02/28/22 | Chicago Bulls CHI | 21 | 25 | 21 | 32 | 00 | 99 | Over | |
Miami Heat MIA | 30 | 25 | 36 | 21 | 00 | 112 | |||
12/11/21 | Chicago Bulls CHI | 25 | 27 | 18 | 22 | 00 | 92 | Over | |
Miami Heat MIA | 39 | 26 | 21 | 32 | 00 | 118 | |||
11/27/21 | Miami Heat MIA | 27 | 22 | 23 | 35 | 00 | 107 | Over | |
Chicago Bulls CHI | 20 | 26 | 28 | 30 | 00 | 104 |
Bulls Vs Over/Under
Heat Vs Over/Under
Bulls Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/12 | vs WAS | 129-127W | 56 | 28 | 13 | 98 |
04/11 | vs DET | 127-105W | 42 | 28 | 8 | 96 |
04/09 | @ NYK | 117-128L | 39 | 20 | 9 | 88 |
04/07 | vs ORL | 98-113L | 37 | 20 | 21 | 75 |
04/05 | @ NYK | 108-100W | 57 | 27 | 16 | 94 |
04/01 | @ ATL | 101-113L | 51 | 17 | 8 | 94 |
03/31 | vs MIN | 109-101W | 43 | 30 | 16 | 80 |
03/29 | vs BRO | 108-125L | 44 | 24 | 12 | 78 |
03/27 | @ IND | 125-99W | 54 | 28 | 7 | 98 |
03/25 | @ WAS | 105-107L | 46 | 27 | 11 | 87 |
Heat Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/12 | @ TOR | 125-103W | 37 | 37 | 4 | 86 |
04/10 | @ DAL | 92-111L | 46 | 22 | 15 | 81 |
04/09 | vs ATL | 117-111W | 46 | 29 | 18 | 88 |
04/07 | vs IND | 115-117L | 39 | 21 | 7 | 84 |
04/05 | vs HOU | 119-96W | 48 | 27 | 9 | 81 |
04/04 | @ PHI | 105-109L | 51 | 24 | 15 | 94 |
04/02 | @ NYK | 109-99W | 39 | 24 | 17 | 74 |
03/31 | vs WAS | 119-107W | 42 | 22 | 13 | 81 |
03/29 | @ POR | 142-82W | 44 | 41 | 8 | 93 |
03/26 | @ GSW | 92-113L | 39 | 24 | 8 | 92 |
Starting Lineups
Chicago Bulls | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
23.7 | 30.8 | 27.6 | 93% | 28.0 |
44.9 | 46.5 | 42.6 | 100% | 42.9 | |
Ayo Dosunmu
SG
|
27.7 | 30.4 | 31.1 | 100% | 30.9 |
40.8 | 35.8 | 39.1 | 100% | 39.5 | |
Coby White
PG
|
37.6 | 26.4 | 34.4 | 100% | 34.2 |
Miami Heat | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
47.9 | 33.2 | 37.8 | 100% | 38.2 | |
Tyler Herro
PG
|
44.3 | 35.0 | 34.4 | 90% | 35.3 |
28.7 | 18.8 | 19.9 | 17% | 24.9 | |
Nikola Jovic
PF
|
18.3 | 26.0 | 16.7 | 90% | 18.9 |
Caleb Martin
SG
|
23.9 | 21.4 | 20.7 | 33% | 20.7 |
Bulls Notable Injuries
- Alex Caruso GTD (SG/SF): Avg: 10.0pts, 3.8reb, 3.5ast, 28.5 minutes. Last game: 04/11/24. Impact: 5.0
- Torrey Craig OUT (PF): Avg: 5.7pts, 3.9reb, 1.1ast, 19.2 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 2.1
- Adama Sanogo (C): Avg: 4.0pts, 4.0reb, 0.0ast, 7.3 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 2.2
- Henri Drell (PF): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.0reb, 1.0ast, 7.5 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 1.5
- Onuralp Bitim (SG): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.4reb, 0.6ast, 11.7 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.7
- Andrew Funk (SG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.2
Heat Notable Injuries
- Jimmy Butler (SF): Avg: 20.6pts, 5.2reb, 4.9ast, 33.6 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 5.8
- Terry Rozier (PG/SG): Avg: 19.6pts, 3.9reb, 5.5ast, 33.0 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 5.2
- Patty Mills (PG/SG): Avg: 4.1pts, 1.1reb, 1.1ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 2.0
- Jamal Cain (SG): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.5reb, 0.4ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.6
- Orlando Robinson (C): Avg: 2.4pts, 2.1reb, 0.9ast, 7.8 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.6
- Cole Swider (PF): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.4reb, 0.3ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.5
- Alondes Williams (PG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.2reb, 0.0ast, 2.3 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.1
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Nikola Vucevic | CHI | Pts | 17.5 | 18.5 | +1.0 | 40% | 40% | 47% | 47% | MIA | -2.4 | #5 |
Jaime Jaquez Jr. | MIA | Pts | 13.5 | 14.4 | +0.9 | 20% | 10% | 13% | 13% | CHI | +3.6 | #21 |
Tyler Herro | MIA | Reb | 5.5 | 6.3 | +0.8 | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% | CHI | +0.5 | #25 |
Coby White | CHI | Reb | 4.5 | 4.9 | +0.4 | 0% | 20% | 27% | 27% | MIA | +0.3 | #21 |
DeMar DeRozan | CHI | 3Pt | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | 40% | 50% | 53% | 53% | MIA | +1.4 | #25 |
Bulls Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #8 | #10 | #5 | #8 | -10.1% |
PF | #8 | #3 | #24 | #6 | -6.6% |
PG | #15 | #6 | #30 | #24 | 14.2% |
SF | #21 | #8 | #23 | #22 | 10.1% |
SG | #28 | #25 | #19 | #26 | 8.2% |
Heat Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #5 | #7 | #8 | #5 | -14.4% |
PF | #2 | #8 | #2 | #1 | -16.3% |
PG | #19 | #13 | #27 | #16 | 4.0% |
SF | #30 | #17 | #1 | #28 | 21.8% |
SG | #8 | #21 | #23 | #12 | -4.0% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- DeMar DeRozan (SF/PF) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
- Torrey Craig (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 50.6% to 19.6, 13.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.0% to 24.2, 17.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Nikola Jovic (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 51.6% to 30.0, 19.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Julian Phillips (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.2% to 14.9, 11.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.4% to 17.5, 27.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Dalen Terry (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 71.6% to 20.9, 12.2 min average previous 3 games. The Bulls have a 2-game winning streak on the road.
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