Bulls vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Mar 31st 2024

Bulls
35W-39L

March 31, 2024
07:00PM EST
Odds: 213.0 o/u
Timberwolves
51W-22L


Roll up, roll up! We’ve got a primetime showdown that’s hotter than a jalapeño popper fresh out of the oven. The Windy City’s very own Bulls, sitting at a not-so-impressive 35-39, are packing their bags and hitting the road to the Land of 10,000 Lakes, where the Timberwolves are howling with a stellar 51-22 record. As the sun sets at 07:00PM EST, the Bulls will be charging into the Target Center, trailing by a dozen games in the East, while the T-Wolves are sitting pretty atop the Western conference, without a single team nipping at their heels. The bookies are expecting a high-scoring affair, setting the over/under at a spicy 213.0, with the Bulls as 8.5-point underdogs and the T-Wolves favored by the same margin. The Bulls are coming off a rough night against Brooklyn, while the Wolves are riding high after toppling Denver. So buckle up, folks, because tonight, it’s not just about the survival of the fittest, it’s a battle between the Bulls and the Wolves. And remember, in this game, it’s not the size of the Bull in the fight, it’s the size of the fight in the Wolf!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 31, 2024 07:00PM EST
Location: Target Center, Minnesota
Vegas Odds
CHI ML | MIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +275 | -350 | 212.5 | 8.5/-8.5 |
Recent | +210 | -250 | 213.0 | 8.5/-8.5 |
Difference | -65 | +100 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance

32.3% Win Probability

67.7% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02/06/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 33 | 36 | 23 | 23 | 8 | 123 | Over | ![]() |
Chicago Bulls CHI | 22 | 25 | 36 | 32 | 14 | 129 | |||
03/17/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 27 | 31 | 23 | 108 | 131 | Over | ![]() |
Chicago Bulls CHI | 28 | 26 | 26 | 33 | 1016 | 139 | |||
12/18/22 | Chicago Bulls CHI | 34 | 31 | 32 | 29 | 126 | Over | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 39 | 42 | 37 | 150 | ||||
04/10/22 | Chicago Bulls CHI | 33 | 37 | 27 | 27 | 124 | Over | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 21 | 26 | 40 | 33 | 120 | ||||
02/11/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 27 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 122 | Over | ![]() |
|
Chicago Bulls CHI | 27 | 33 | 32 | 42 | 134 |
Bulls Vs Over/Under
Timberwolves Vs Over/Under
Bulls Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/29 | vs BRO | 108-125L | 44 | 24 | 12 | 78 |
03/27 | @ IND | 125-99W | 54 | 28 | 7 | 98 |
03/25 | @ WAS | 105-107L | 46 | 27 | 11 | 87 |
03/23 | @ BOS | 113-124L | 29 | 36 | 7 | 83 |
03/21 | vs HOU | 117-127L | 43 | 23 | 11 | 94 |
03/18 | @ POR | 110-107W | 40 | 26 | 9 | 93 |
03/16 | @ WAS | 127-98W | 51 | 33 | 15 | 85 |
03/14 | @ LAC | 111-126L | 36 | 28 | 13 | 86 |
03/13 | vs IND | 132-129W | 48 | 22 | 11 | 92 |
03/11 | @ DAL | 92-127L | 43 | 19 | 13 | 90 |
Timberwolves Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/29 | vs DEN | 111-98W | 39 | 28 | 7 | 75 |
03/27 | @ DET | 106-91W | 40 | 28 | 12 | 82 |
03/24 | @ GSW | 114-110W | 44 | 30 | 15 | 84 |
03/22 | @ CLE | 104-89W | 45 | 27 | 11 | 84 |
03/19 | @ DEN | 112-115L | 37 | 25 | 7 | 88 |
03/18 | vs UTA | 114-104W | 35 | 27 | 9 | 91 |
03/16 | vs UTA | 119-100W | 44 | 31 | 8 | 93 |
03/12 | vs LAC | 118-100W | 48 | 26 | 9 | 94 |
03/10 | vs LAL | 109-120L | 38 | 27 | 11 | 97 |
03/08 | vs CLE | 104-114L | 45 | 25 | 12 | 94 |
Starting Lineups
Chicago Bulls | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
40.6 | 42.3 | 41.6 | 100% | 41.9 | |
Ayo Dosunmu
SG
|
25.3 | 29.7 | 30.4 | 90% | 31.8 |
23.9 | 25.5 | 23.0 | 10% | 43.4 | |
35.2 | 37.7 | 39.9 | 100% | 40.3 | |
Coby White
PG
|
31.2 | 31.7 | 36.7 | 100% | 36.4 |
Minnesota Timberwolves | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Conley
PG
|
27.2 | 33.0 | 26.7 | 100% | 27.1 |
48.3 | 40.6 | 45.4 | 93% | 45.9 | |
40.8 | 36.3 | 38.1 | 100% | 37.4 | |
23.4 | 27.8 | 20.1 | 100% | 19.7 | |
Naz Reid
PF
|
35.3 | 31.1 | 26.3 | 23% | 36.4 |
Bulls Notable Injuries
- Alex Caruso GTD (SG/SF): Avg: 9.9pts, 3.8reb, 3.3ast, 28.1 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 4.8
- Torrey Craig OUT (PF): Avg: 6.0pts, 4.0reb, 1.1ast, 19.7 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 2.4
- Onuralp Bitim (SG): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.7reb, 0.7ast, 12.5 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 1.2
- Adama Sanogo (C): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.8reb, 0.0ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.7
- Terry Taylor (C): Avg: 1.4pts, 1.2reb, 0.3ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.4
- Andrew Funk (SG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.3 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.0
Timberwolves Notable Injuries
- Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.2reb, 0.2ast, 5.1 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 1.3
- Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.5ast, 3.1 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.5
- Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.5reb, 0.2ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.5
- Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.4reb, 0.1ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.3
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Rudy Gobert | MIN | Pts | 13.5 | 15.0 | +1.5 | 40% | 50% | 40% | 40% | CHI | +1.9 | #25 |
Alex Caruso | CHI | Pts | 9.5 | 10.9 | +1.4 | 80% | 70% | 60% | 60% | MIN | +3.2 | #24 |
Anthony Edwards | MIN | Reb | 5.5 | 5.8 | +0.3 | 60% | 70% | 53% | 53% | CHI | +0.3 | #23 |
Nikola Vucevic | CHI | Ast | 2.5 | 2.9 | +0.4 | 80% | 60% | 53% | 53% | MIN | -1.0 | #5 |
Bulls Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #25 | #8 | #6 | #8 | -3.5% |
PF | #12 | #27 | #27 | #22 | 4.4% |
PG | #26 | #6 | #30 | #23 | 9.4% |
SF | #28 | #26 | #18 | #27 | 20.5% |
SG | #21 | #23 | #18 | #22 | 4.2% |
Timberwolves Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #28 | #26 | #5 | #24 | 5.7% |
PF | #2 | #19 | #7 | #2 | -12.8% |
PG | #2 | #30 | #18 | #13 | -6.0% |
SF | #24 | #3 | #1 | #8 | -14.6% |
SG | #5 | #12 | #14 | #5 | -8.7% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Jordan McLaughlin (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 33.5% to 13.1, 19.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Julian Phillips (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.2% to 14.9, 11.2 min average previous 3 games. The Timberwolves have a 3-game winning streak at home. Overall, they are on a 4-game winning streak.
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