Cavaliers vs Nuggets Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Mar 31st 2024

Cavaliers
44W-30L

March 31, 2024
03:30PM EST
Odds: 216.0 o/u
Nuggets
51W-23L


Hoops fans, buckle up! It’s time to dig into today’s NBA showdown, where the Cleveland Cavaliers, fresh off their recent victory over the 76ers, are saddling up and heading west to the Mile-High City. They’re set to take on the Denver Nuggets, who are keen to bounce back after their recent tumble against the Timberwolves. The Cavs, with their 44-30 record, are hot on the heels of the Eastern conference leaders, while the Nuggets, boasting a solid 51-23 record, are just a half-game back in the wild, wild West. The bookies are expecting a close battle, with the Cavs at 5.5 and the Nuggets favored at -5.5, and the over/under is pegged at a tantalizing 216.0. So, as the clock ticks down to the 03:30 PM EST tipoff at the Ball Arena, you can feel the anticipation building. Will the Cavs strike gold or will the Nuggets prove too hard to crack? Only time will tell, but one thing’s for sure – it’s going to be a real slam-dunk of a game!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 31, 2024 03:30PM EST
Location: Ball Arena, Denver
Vegas Odds
CLE ML | DEN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +180 | -220 | 212.0 | 5.5/-5.5 |
Recent | +145 | -170 | 216.0 | 5.0/-5.0 |
Difference | -35 | +50 | +4.0 | – |
Team Performance

40.8% Win Probability

59.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/19/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 27 | 31 | 17 | 34 | 109 | Over | ![]() |
|
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 29 | 34 | 23 | 24 | 110 | ||||
02/23/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 31 | 25 | 33 | 26 | 115 | Over | ![]() |
|
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 26 | 31 | 34 | 18 | 109 | ||||
01/06/23 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 28 | 30 | 24 | 26 | 108 | Over | ![]() |
|
Denver Nuggets DEN | 26 | 36 | 32 | 27 | 121 | ||||
03/18/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 29 | 34 | 24 | 20 | 9 | 116 | Over | ![]() |
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 31 | 21 | 26 | 29 | 12 | 119 | |||
10/25/21 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 29 | 21 | 25 | 24 | 99 | Under | ![]() |
|
Denver Nuggets DEN | 24 | 22 | 24 | 17 | 87 |
Cavaliers Vs Over/Under
Nuggets Vs Over/Under
Cavaliers Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/29 | @ PHI | 117-114W | 37 | 34 | 13 | 84 |
03/27 | vs CHA | 111-118L | 32 | 33 | 13 | 85 |
03/25 | @ CHA | 115-92W | 47 | 41 | 12 | 86 |
03/24 | vs MIA | 84-121L | 30 | 24 | 17 | 72 |
03/22 | vs MIN | 91-104L | 41 | 22 | 12 | 80 |
03/20 | @ MIA | 104-107L | 37 | 30 | 11 | 75 |
03/18 | vs IND | 108-103W | 39 | 27 | 14 | 80 |
03/16 | vs HOU | 103-117L | 45 | 22 | 15 | 82 |
03/13 | vs NOP | 116-95W | 46 | 38 | 9 | 92 |
03/11 | @ PHX | 111-117L | 37 | 30 | 12 | 86 |
Nuggets Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/29 | @ MIN | 98-111L | 46 | 29 | 12 | 88 |
03/27 | @ PHX | 97-104L | 38 | 24 | 8 | 88 |
03/25 | @ MEM | 128-103W | 50 | 38 | 15 | 90 |
03/23 | vs POR | 114-111W | 49 | 25 | 13 | 92 |
03/21 | @ NYK | 113-100W | 42 | 31 | 9 | 85 |
03/19 | vs MIN | 115-112W | 49 | 26 | 17 | 81 |
03/17 | vs DAL | 105-107L | 37 | 26 | 7 | 84 |
03/15 | vs SAS | 117-106W | 40 | 37 | 12 | 90 |
03/13 | vs MIA | 100-88W | 41 | 24 | 9 | 82 |
03/11 | @ TOR | 125-119W | 42 | 36 | 9 | 95 |
Starting Lineups
Cleveland Cavaliers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
40.4 | 33.6 | 35.7 | 100% | 36.1 | |
36.3 | 30.9 | 30.6 | 100% | 30.9 | |
37.6 | 32.7 | 47.5 | 100% | 46.0 | |
Evan Mobley
PF
|
39.3 | 30.9 | 35.6 | 100% | 36.0 |
Max Strus
SF
|
19.0 | 23.9 | 22.7 | 100% | 22.1 |
Denver Nuggets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23.0 | 21.9 | 19.5 | 100% | 19.9 | |
Aaron Gordon
PF
|
32.6 | 32.7 | 29.1 | 100% | 29.5 |
55.6 | 59.0 | 59.1 | 100% | 59.4 | |
Jamal Murray
PG
|
41.4 | 39.8 | 39.5 | 100% | 40.0 |
31.0 | 30.8 | 31.3 | 100% | 31.6 |
Cavaliers Notable Injuries
- Marcus Morris Sr. (SF/PF): Avg: 6.5pts, 3.0reb, 0.7ast, 17.3 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 2.3
- Craig Porter Jr. (PG): Avg: 5.3pts, 2.1reb, 2.2ast, 12.2 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 1.7
- Damian Jones (C): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.7reb, 0.4ast, 7.1 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 1.7
- Emoni Bates (SG): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.5ast, 7.0 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 0.8
- Pete Nance (PF): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.0ast, 2.6 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 0.1
Nuggets Notable Injuries
- Julian Strawther (SG/SF): Avg: 4.9pts, 1.2reb, 1.0ast, 11.7 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.7
- Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 3.3pts, 2.1reb, 0.5ast, 9.8 minutes. Last game: 03/17/24. Impact: 1.3
- Collin Gillespie (PG): Avg: 3.7pts, 0.9reb, 1.2ast, 9.7 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 1.9
- Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.3
- Braxton Key (PF): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.8reb, 0.5ast, 3.1 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.5
- Jay Huff (C): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.7reb, 0.1ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.4
- Hunter Tyson (PF): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.7reb, 0.2ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.5
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Darius Garland | CLE | Pts | 15.5 | 18.9 | +3.4 | 20% | 40% | 47% | 47% | DEN | +0.2 | #17 |
Jarrett Allen | CLE | Pts | 14.5 | 17.6 | +3.1 | 60% | 70% | 80% | 80% | DEN | +1.5 | #22 |
Evan Mobley | CLE | Reb | 8.5 | 10.2 | +1.7 | 20% | 50% | 53% | 53% | DEN | -0.9 | #11 |
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | DEN | Reb | 2.5 | 2.6 | +0.1 | 80% | 50% | 47% | 47% | CLE | 0.0 | #18 |
Cavaliers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #8 | #17 | #3 | #7 | -4.3% |
PF | #27 | #8 | #14 | #19 | 3.5% |
PG | #9 | #4 | #7 | #4 | -19.2% |
SF | #10 | #27 | #10 | #12 | -2.1% |
SG | #4 | #18 | #28 | #13 | -1.2% |
Nuggets Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #22 | #4 | #15 | #18 | 0.2% |
PF | #6 | #21 | #13 | #9 | -4.7% |
PG | #1 | #24 | #19 | #1 | -30.1% |
SF | #25 | #11 | #27 | #25 | 9.6% |
SG | #17 | #10 | #15 | #12 | -2.4% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Collin Gillespie (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.8% to 14.1, 20.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Reggie Jackson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 53.5% to 30.0, 19.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Dean Wade (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 60.2% to 28.1, 17.5 min average previous 3 games. The Nuggets have a 2-game losing streak at home.
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