Cavaliers vs Warriors Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the Chase Center tonight as the red-hot Cleveland Cavaliers, boasting an impressive 27 wins, charge into the arena to face the gritty Golden State Warriors, who are balancing on a seesaw with a 16-15 record. As the clock ticks down to an 11:00 PM EST tipoff, the stakes are high in this electrifying first-round playoff matchup. With the Cavs riding a tidal wave of momentum after their scoring spree against Denver and the Warriors sharpening their swords following a close victory over Phoenix, tonight’s clash promises edge-of-your-seat action. The odds makers have the line drawn with Cavaliers as slight favorites, but in a game where warriors battle cavaliers, expect nothing less than a showdown that’s straight out of a history book!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 30, 2024 11:00PM EST

Location: Chase Center, Golden State

Vegas Odds

	CLE ML	GSW ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-195	+165	231.5	-4.5/4.5
Recent	-160	+135	230.0	-4.5/4.5
Difference	+35	-30	-1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

29W-22L

61.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

27W-25L

38.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
11/08/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	22	20	41	34	117	Over
11/08/24	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	39	44	29	24	136	Over
11/11/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	30	38	16	34	118	Under
11/11/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	31	21	31	27	110	Under
11/05/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	30	15	32	27	104	Under
11/05/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	29	28	29	29	115	Under
01/20/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	33	31	34	22	120	Over
01/20/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	28	31	27	28	114	Over
11/11/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	25	27	25	24	101	Under
11/11/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	25	23	26	32	106	Under
01/09/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	21	25	14	22	82	Under
01/09/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	24	27	28	17	96	Under
11/18/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	24	17	36	104	Under
11/18/21	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	29	25	27	8	89	Under

Cavaliers Vs Over/Under

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Cavaliers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/27	vs DEN	149-135W	38	40	10	96
12/21	@ PHI	126-99W	49	31	13	90
12/20	@ MIL	124-101W	48	30	15	91
12/13	@ WAS	115-105W	50	27	11	91
12/08	vs MIA	113-122L	36	25	9	86
12/07	vs CHA	116-102W	47	28	11	84
12/05	@ DEN	126-114W	47	32	15	94
12/03	@ WAS	118-87W	45	31	11	89
12/01	@ BOS	115-111W	44	22	17	80
11/29	vs ATL	101-117L	40	21	13	93

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/28	@ PHX	109-105W	49	26	11	98
12/27	vs LAC	92-102L	47	24	14	95
12/25	@ LAL	113-115L	44	26	12	89
12/21	vs MIN	113-103W	45	30	10	87
12/19	vs MEM	93-144L	36	20	17	90
12/15	@ DAL	133-143L	37	39	10	103
12/11	vs HOU	90-91L	39	22	15	84
12/08	@ MIN	114-106W	45	28	11	90
12/06	@ MIN	90-107L	41	21	22	82
12/05	@ HOU	99-93W	54	19	10	86

Starting Lineups

Cleveland Cavaliers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jarrett Allen C	32.0	29.6	32.3	100%	32.7
Darius Garland PG	35.0	40.4	35.4	100%	35.8
Donovan Mitchell SG	42.0	38.7	43.0	100%	43.4
Evan Mobley PF	38.0	40.7	38.5	100%	38.9
Dean Wade SF	16.0	23.1	16.3	50%	18.8

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Stephen Curry PG	47.0	41.4	43.3	100%	43.7
Draymond Green PF	31.0	26.6	28.8	93%	28.7
Trayce Jackson-Davis C	29.0	32.4	21.7	80%	23.9
Dennis Schroder SG	31.0	17.7	31.4	100%	31.8
Andrew Wiggins SF	33.0	25.7	29.4	100%	29.8

Cavaliers Notable Injuries

Craig Porter Jr. (PG): Avg: 4.6pts, 1.8reb, 2.0ast, 11.2 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 1.3
Tristan Thompson (C): Avg: 2.8pts, 3.1reb, 1.0ast, 10.2 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 1.2

Warriors Notable Injuries

Brandin Podziemski (PG/SG): Avg: 8.8pts, 5.3reb, 3.5ast, 25.9 minutes. Last game: 12/28/24. Impact: 3.3
Gary Payton II (SF): Avg: 5.2pts, 2.7reb, 1.2ast, 14.7 minutes. Last game: 12/25/24. Impact: 2.3
Gui Santos (SG): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.8reb, 0.5ast, 6.8 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 0.4
Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.2reb, 0.9ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 12/15/24. Impact: 0.7
Quinten Post (C): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 1.0ast, 0.8 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 0.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Dennis Schroder	GSW	Pts	11.5	14.8	+3.3	0%	40%	47%	47%	CLE	-0.8	#11
Jonathan Kuminga	GSW	Pts	18.5	21.1	+2.6	40%	60%	47%	47%	CLE	-0.0	#17
Evan Mobley	CLE	Reb	8.5	9.3	+0.8	40%	70%	67%	67%	GSW	+0.1	#15
Draymond Green	GSW	Ast	5.5	6.1	+0.6	40%	70%	73%	73%	CLE	+0.2	#18

View All Player Prop Projections

Cavaliers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#21	#29	#21	#28	8.4%
PF	#10	#14	#18	#15	-1.1%
PG	#16	#17	#6	#11	-3.4%
SF	#17	#24	#17	#19	1.9%
SG	#11	#1	#12	#4	-8.2%

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#9	#15	#19	#14	-0.0%
PF	#7	#7	#20	#9	-4.7%
PG	#2	#11	#2	#1	-15.0%
SF	#23	#30	#16	#26	8.2%
SG	#27	#27	#28	#29	11.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

122.2

109.8

Rebounds per Game

44.5

46.2

Assists per Game

28.5

28.2

Steals per Game

8.4

8.9

Blocks per Game

4.2

4.9

Shots per Game

89.1

91.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

16.4

14.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

57.6

51.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

41.1

35.7

Turnovers per Game

12.6

13.6

Fouls per Game

17.4

19.3

Recent Trends

Jonathan Kuminga (PF) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Trayce Jackson-Davis (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.6% to 26.7, 20.0 min average previous 3 games.
Gary Payton II (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.0% to 10.6, 18.9 min average previous 3 games.