Cavaliers vs Pacers Game Breakdown
Cavaliers
33W-5L
January 14, 2025
08:00PM EST
Odds: 232.0 o/u
Pacers
22W-18L
Buckle up, sports fans, because tonight’s NBA playoff face-off at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is anything but ordinary! The high-flying Cleveland Cavaliers, boasting a stellar 33-5 record, are storming into Indianapolis to challenge the gritty 22-18 Indiana Pacers. With the first round of the playoffs delivering more blowouts than a bad hair day, this 8:00 PM EST showdown promises to dial up the intensity. The odds-makers have the over/under tantalizingly set at 232, and with the Cavs favored to win by 7.5 points, all eyes will be on whether the Pacers can flip the script from their last victorious encounter. As the Pacers aim to “pace” themselves against the Cavaliers’ gallop, tonight’s game is set to be a true battle of speed and strategy!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: January 14, 2025 08:00PM EST
Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana
Vegas Odds
| CLE ML | IND ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -300 | +250 | 229.0 | -7.5/7.5 |
| Recent | -235 | +195 | 232.0 | -8.0/8.0 |
| Difference | +65 | -55 | +3.0 | – |
Team Performance
70.1% Win Probability
29.9% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/25 | Indiana Pacers IND | 21 | 19 | 37 | 31 | 00 | 108 | Under | |
| Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 19 | 34 | 18 | 22 | 00 | 93 | |||
| 04/12/24 | Indiana Pacers IND | 26 | 33 | 35 | 26 | 00 | 120 | Over | |
| Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 35 | 35 | 27 | 32 | 00 | 129 | |||
| 03/18/24 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 25 | 29 | 36 | 18 | 00 | 108 | Under | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 34 | 20 | 29 | 20 | 00 | 103 | |||
| 11/03/23 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 26 | 27 | 34 | 29 | 00 | 116 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 36 | 34 | 18 | 33 | 00 | 121 | |||
| 10/28/23 | Indiana Pacers IND | 31 | 29 | 31 | 34 | 00 | 125 | Over | |
| Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 37 | 9 | 38 | 26 | 00 | 110 | |||
| 04/02/23 | Indiana Pacers IND | 28 | 33 | 26 | 18 | 00 | 105 | Under | |
| Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 28 | 31 | 27 | 29 | 00 | 115 | |||
| 02/05/23 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 27 | 35 | 36 | 24 | 00 | 122 | Under | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 25 | 21 | 38 | 19 | 00 | 103 | |||
| 12/29/22 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 34 | 34 | 28 | 30 | 00 | 126 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 29 | 35 | 35 | 36 | 00 | 135 | |||
| 12/16/22 | Indiana Pacers IND | 31 | 30 | 33 | 18 | 00 | 112 | Under | |
| Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 29 | 25 | 29 | 35 | 00 | 118 | |||
| 03/08/22 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 32 | 31 | 27 | 37 | 00 | 127 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 24 | 39 | 35 | 26 | 00 | 124 | |||
| 02/11/22 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 28 | 35 | 25 | 32 | 00 | 120 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 47 | 27 | 22 | 17 | 00 | 113 | |||
| 02/06/22 | Indiana Pacers IND | 27 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 00 | 85 | Under | |
| Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 12 | 24 | 25 | 37 | 00 | 98 | |||
| 01/02/22 | Indiana Pacers IND | 30 | 26 | 28 | 20 | 00 | 104 | Under | |
| Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 30 | 28 | 30 | 20 | 00 | 108 |
Cavaliers Vs Over/Under
Pacers Vs Over/Under
Cavaliers Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12 | @ IND | 93-108L | 44 | 24 | 13 | 83 |
| 01/09 | @ TOR | 132-126W | 42 | 31 | 11 | 89 |
| 01/08 | @ OKL | 129-122W | 40 | 36 | 15 | 90 |
| 01/03 | vs DAL | 134-122W | 46 | 38 | 7 | 98 |
| 12/31 | vs LAL | 122-110W | 48 | 32 | 11 | 93 |
| 12/30 | vs GSW | 113-95W | 54 | 25 | 16 | 96 |
| 12/27 | vs DEN | 149-135W | 38 | 40 | 10 | 96 |
| 12/21 | @ PHI | 126-99W | 49 | 31 | 13 | 90 |
| 12/20 | @ MIL | 124-101W | 48 | 30 | 15 | 91 |
| 12/13 | @ WAS | 115-105W | 50 | 27 | 11 | 91 |
Pacers Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12 | vs CLE | 108-93W | 50 | 30 | 10 | 92 |
| 01/10 | @ GSW | 108-96W | 48 | 27 | 15 | 82 |
| 01/08 | @ CHI | 129-113W | 46 | 37 | 8 | 100 |
| 01/06 | vs BRO | 113-99W | 35 | 22 | 10 | 79 |
| 01/04 | @ PHX | 126-108W | 47 | 35 | 6 | 96 |
| 01/02 | vs MIA | 128-115W | 39 | 35 | 6 | 96 |
| 12/31 | @ MIL | 112-120L | 50 | 26 | 16 | 90 |
| 12/29 | vs BOS | 123-114W | 50 | 27 | 9 | 87 |
| 12/27 | vs BOS | 105-142L | 39 | 27 | 12 | 91 |
| 12/26 | @ OKL | 114-120L | 51 | 28 | 11 | 89 |
Starting Lineups
| Cleveland Cavaliers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.0 | 41.8 | 32.6 | 100% | 33.0 | |
| 37.0 | 40.3 | 37.6 | 100% | 37.9 | |
| 37.0 | 30.9 | 38.9 | 100% | 39.3 | |
|
Evan Mobley
PF
|
38.0 | 43.8 | 38.4 | 100% | 38.7 |
|
Dean Wade
SF
|
16.0 | 17.8 | 17.1 | 67% | 19.5 |
| Indiana Pacers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34.0 | 27.6 | 28.3 | 100% | 28.7 | |
| 31.0 | 25.8 | 26.4 | 100% | 26.6 | |
|
Ben Sheppard
SG
|
17.0 | 11.8 | 12.0 | 27% | 11.2 |
| 38.0 | 35.2 | 35.5 | 100% | 35.9 | |
| 34.0 | 33.5 | 30.6 | 100% | 30.9 |
Cavaliers Notable Injuries
- Ty Jerome (PG): Avg: 10.4pts, 2.2reb, 3.2ast, 17.1 minutes. Last game: 01/09/25. Impact: 3.0
- Tristan Thompson (C): Avg: 2.8pts, 3.0reb, 0.9ast, 9.9 minutes. Last game: 01/12/25. Impact: 1.0
- JT Thor (PF): Avg: 3.0pts, 2.1reb, 0.4ast, 11.2 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 1.4
Pacers Notable Injuries
- Tyrese Haliburton (PG): Avg: 19.0pts, 3.9reb, 9.7ast, 33.1 minutes. Last game: 01/12/25. Impact: 6.9
- James Johnson (PF/C): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.5reb, 0.6ast, 4.2 minutes. Last game: 01/10/25. Impact: 0.5
- RayJ Dennis (PG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.8 minutes. Last game: 01/10/25. Impact: -0.1
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Myles Turner | IND | Pts | 14.5 | 16.8 | +2.3 | 60% | 50% | 47% | 47% | CLE | +0.9 | #20 |
| T.J. McConnell | IND | Pts | 10.5 | 12.2 | +1.7 | 0% | 10% | 33% | 33% | CLE | +0.7 | #20 |
| Evan Mobley | CLE | Reb | 8.5 | 9.2 | +0.7 | 80% | 50% | 67% | 67% | IND | +0.4 | #19 |
| Bennedict Mathurin | IND | Reb | 5.5 | 6.1 | +0.6 | 40% | 50% | 53% | 53% | CLE | -0.5 | #6 |
| Jarrett Allen | CLE | Ast | 1.5 | 2.2 | +0.7 | 60% | 60% | 53% | 53% | IND | -0.3 | #11 |
Cavaliers Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #20 | #29 | #26 | #23 | 7.2% |
| PF | #21 | #27 | #20 | #24 | 5.0% |
| PG | #20 | #3 | #7 | #6 | -6.2% |
| SF | #18 | #28 | #26 | #22 | 4.8% |
| SG | #8 | #6 | #17 | #7 | -6.7% |
Pacers Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #25 | #19 | #11 | #16 | 0.9% |
| PF | #25 | #30 | #6 | #25 | 6.1% |
| PG | #18 | #8 | #21 | #15 | 0.5% |
| SF | #25 | #23 | #30 | #29 | 9.4% |
| SG | #11 | #2 | #15 | #5 | -8.1% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Thomas Bryant (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 72.0% to 21.3, 12.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Isaiah Jackson (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 91.6% to 20.9, 10.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Isaac Okoro (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 41.9% to 12.9, 22.2 min average previous 3 games. The Cavaliers have a 4-game winning streak on the road. The Pacers have a 2-game winning streak at home. Overall, they are on a 6-game winning streak.
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