Cavaliers vs Pacers Game Breakdown

Buckle up, sports fans, because tonight’s NBA playoff face-off at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is anything but ordinary! The high-flying Cleveland Cavaliers, boasting a stellar 33-5 record, are storming into Indianapolis to challenge the gritty 22-18 Indiana Pacers. With the first round of the playoffs delivering more blowouts than a bad hair day, this 8:00 PM EST showdown promises to dial up the intensity. The odds-makers have the over/under tantalizingly set at 232, and with the Cavs favored to win by 7.5 points, all eyes will be on whether the Pacers can flip the script from their last victorious encounter. As the Pacers aim to “pace” themselves against the Cavaliers’ gallop, tonight’s game is set to be a true battle of speed and strategy!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 14, 2025 08:00PM EST

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana

Vegas Odds

	CLE ML	IND ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-300	+250	229.0	-7.5/7.5
Recent	-235	+195	232.0	-8.0/8.0
Difference	+65	-55	+3.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

9W-1L

AWAY

32W-22L

70.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

35W-19L

29.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/12/25	Indiana Pacers IND	21	19	37	31	108	Under
01/12/25	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	19	34	18	22	93	Under
04/12/24	Indiana Pacers IND	26	33	35	26	120	Over
04/12/24	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	35	35	27	32	129	Over
03/18/24	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	25	29	36	18	108	Under
03/18/24	Indiana Pacers IND	34	20	29	20	103	Under
11/03/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	26	27	34	29	116	Over
11/03/23	Indiana Pacers IND	36	34	18	33	121	Over
10/28/23	Indiana Pacers IND	31	29	31	34	125	Over
10/28/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	37	9	38	26	110	Over
04/02/23	Indiana Pacers IND	28	33	26	18	105	Under
04/02/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	28	31	27	29	115	Under
02/05/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	27	35	36	24	122	Under
02/05/23	Indiana Pacers IND	25	21	38	19	103	Under
12/29/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	34	34	28	30	126	Over
12/29/22	Indiana Pacers IND	29	35	35	36	135	Over
12/16/22	Indiana Pacers IND	31	30	33	18	112	Under
12/16/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	29	25	29	35	118	Under
03/08/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	32	31	27	37	127	Over
03/08/22	Indiana Pacers IND	24	39	35	26	124	Over
02/11/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	28	35	25	32	120	Over
02/11/22	Indiana Pacers IND	47	27	22	17	113	Over
02/06/22	Indiana Pacers IND	27	20	21	17	85	Under
02/06/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	12	24	25	37	98	Under
01/02/22	Indiana Pacers IND	30	26	28	20	104	Under
01/02/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	30	28	30	20	108	Under

Cavaliers Vs Over/Under

Pacers Vs Over/Under

Cavaliers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/12	@ IND	93-108L	44	24	13	83
01/09	@ TOR	132-126W	42	31	11	89
01/08	@ OKL	129-122W	40	36	15	90
01/03	vs DAL	134-122W	46	38	7	98
12/31	vs LAL	122-110W	48	32	11	93
12/30	vs GSW	113-95W	54	25	16	96
12/27	vs DEN	149-135W	38	40	10	96
12/21	@ PHI	126-99W	49	31	13	90
12/20	@ MIL	124-101W	48	30	15	91
12/13	@ WAS	115-105W	50	27	11	91

Pacers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/12	vs CLE	108-93W	50	30	10	92
01/10	@ GSW	108-96W	48	27	15	82
01/08	@ CHI	129-113W	46	37	8	100
01/06	vs BRO	113-99W	35	22	10	79
01/04	@ PHX	126-108W	47	35	6	96
01/02	vs MIA	128-115W	39	35	6	96
12/31	@ MIL	112-120L	50	26	16	90
12/29	vs BOS	123-114W	50	27	9	87
12/27	vs BOS	105-142L	39	27	12	91
12/26	@ OKL	114-120L	51	28	11	89

Starting Lineups

Cleveland Cavaliers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jarrett Allen C	33.0	41.8	32.6	100%	33.0
Darius Garland PG	37.0	40.3	37.6	100%	37.9
Donovan Mitchell SG	37.0	30.9	38.9	100%	39.3
Evan Mobley PF	38.0	43.8	38.4	100%	38.7
Dean Wade SF	16.0	17.8	17.1	67%	19.5

Indiana Pacers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bennedict Mathurin SF	34.0	27.6	28.3	100%	28.7
Andrew Nembhard PG	31.0	25.8	26.4	100%	26.6
Ben Sheppard SG	17.0	11.8	12.0	27%	11.2
Pascal Siakam PF	38.0	35.2	35.5	100%	35.9
Myles Turner C	34.0	33.5	30.6	100%	30.9

Cavaliers Notable Injuries

Ty Jerome (PG): Avg: 10.4pts, 2.2reb, 3.2ast, 17.1 minutes. Last game: 01/09/25. Impact: 3.0
Tristan Thompson (C): Avg: 2.8pts, 3.0reb, 0.9ast, 9.9 minutes. Last game: 01/12/25. Impact: 1.0
JT Thor (PF): Avg: 3.0pts, 2.1reb, 0.4ast, 11.2 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 1.4

Pacers Notable Injuries

Tyrese Haliburton (PG): Avg: 19.0pts, 3.9reb, 9.7ast, 33.1 minutes. Last game: 01/12/25. Impact: 6.9
James Johnson (PF/C): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.5reb, 0.6ast, 4.2 minutes. Last game: 01/10/25. Impact: 0.5
RayJ Dennis (PG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.8 minutes. Last game: 01/10/25. Impact: -0.1

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Myles Turner	IND	Pts	14.5	16.8	+2.3	60%	50%	47%	47%	CLE	+0.9	#20
T.J. McConnell	IND	Pts	10.5	12.2	+1.7	0%	10%	33%	33%	CLE	+0.7	#20
Evan Mobley	CLE	Reb	8.5	9.2	+0.7	80%	50%	67%	67%	IND	+0.4	#19
Bennedict Mathurin	IND	Reb	5.5	6.1	+0.6	40%	50%	53%	53%	CLE	-0.5	#6
Jarrett Allen	CLE	Ast	1.5	2.2	+0.7	60%	60%	53%	53%	IND	-0.3	#11

View All Player Prop Projections

Cavaliers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#20	#29	#26	#23	7.2%
PF	#21	#27	#20	#24	5.0%
PG	#20	#3	#7	#6	-6.2%
SF	#18	#28	#26	#22	4.8%
SG	#8	#6	#17	#7	-6.7%

Pacers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#25	#19	#11	#16	0.9%
PF	#25	#30	#6	#25	6.1%
PG	#18	#8	#21	#15	0.5%
SF	#25	#23	#30	#29	9.4%
SG	#11	#2	#15	#5	-8.1%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

122.1

115.7

Rebounds per Game

45.1

42.3

Assists per Game

29.4

28.6

Steals per Game

7.7

8.3

Blocks per Game

4.3

5.3

Shots per Game

90.3

88.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

16.5

12.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

57.6

56.8

3-Pt Percentage per Game

40.0

37.3

Turnovers per Game

12.5

12.9

Fouls per Game

18.0

18.8

Recent Trends

Thomas Bryant (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 72.0% to 21.3, 12.4 min average previous 3 games.
Isaiah Jackson (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 91.6% to 20.9, 10.9 min average previous 3 games.
Isaac Okoro (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 41.9% to 12.9, 22.2 min average previous 3 games.