Cavaliers vs Pacers Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Mar 18th 2024

Cavaliers
41W-26L

March 18, 2024
07:00PM EST
Odds: 225.5 o/u
Pacers
38W-30L


Alright hoop heads, it’s time to buckle up and get ready for a clash of titans as the Cleveland Cavaliers, boasting a 41W-26L record, are packing their bags and heading to the heartland to face the 38W-30L Indiana Pacers at the iconic Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The clock’s ticking down to a 07:00PM EST tipoff, and the tension’s building faster than a LeBron James fast break. With the Cavs trailing by a mere 2.5 games and the Pacers lagging behind by 6.0 in the Eastern conference, it’s safe to say that every shot, every rebound, and every free throw is gonna count tonight. The bookies have set the over/under at a tantalizing 225.5, with the Cavs line at 7.5 and the Pacers favored at -7.5. The Pacers are strutting off a 121-100 victory over BRO, while the Cavs are looking to bounce back from a 103-117 setback against HOU. So, whether you’re a Cavalier looking to ride into victory or a Pacer setting the pace, tonight’s game is sure to be a slam dunk of excitement!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 18, 2024 07:00PM EST
Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana
Vegas Odds
CLE ML | IND ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +250 | -300 | 224.0 | 7.5/-7.5 |
Recent | +220 | -270 | 225.5 | 6.5/-6.5 |
Difference | -30 | +30 | +1.5 | – |
Team Performance

31.2% Win Probability

68.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/03/23 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 26 | 27 | 34 | 29 | 116 | Over | ![]() |
|
Indiana Pacers IND | 36 | 34 | 18 | 33 | 121 | ||||
10/28/23 | Indiana Pacers IND | 31 | 29 | 31 | 34 | 125 | Over | ![]() |
|
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 37 | 9 | 38 | 26 | 110 | ||||
04/02/23 | Indiana Pacers IND | 28 | 33 | 26 | 18 | 105 | Under | ![]() |
|
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 28 | 31 | 27 | 29 | 115 | ||||
02/05/23 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 27 | 35 | 36 | 24 | 122 | Under | ![]() |
|
Indiana Pacers IND | 25 | 21 | 38 | 19 | 103 | ||||
12/29/22 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 34 | 34 | 28 | 30 | 126 | Over | ![]() |
|
Indiana Pacers IND | 29 | 35 | 35 | 36 | 135 | ||||
12/16/22 | Indiana Pacers IND | 31 | 30 | 33 | 18 | 112 | Over | ![]() |
|
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 29 | 25 | 29 | 35 | 118 | ||||
03/08/22 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 32 | 31 | 27 | 37 | 127 | Over | ![]() |
|
Indiana Pacers IND | 24 | 39 | 35 | 26 | 124 | ||||
02/11/22 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 28 | 35 | 25 | 32 | 120 | Over | ![]() |
|
Indiana Pacers IND | 47 | 27 | 22 | 17 | 113 | ||||
02/06/22 | Indiana Pacers IND | 27 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 85 | Under | ![]() |
|
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 12 | 24 | 25 | 37 | 98 | ||||
01/02/22 | Indiana Pacers IND | 30 | 26 | 28 | 20 | 104 | Under | ![]() |
|
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 30 | 28 | 30 | 20 | 108 |
Cavaliers Vs Over/Under
Pacers Vs Over/Under
Cavaliers Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/16 | vs HOU | 103-117L | 45 | 22 | 15 | 82 |
03/13 | vs NOP | 116-95W | 46 | 38 | 9 | 92 |
03/11 | @ PHX | 111-117L | 37 | 30 | 12 | 86 |
03/10 | @ BRO | 101-120L | 31 | 25 | 12 | 76 |
03/08 | @ MIN | 113-104W | 46 | 27 | 12 | 90 |
03/06 | vs ATL | 101-114L | 42 | 27 | 13 | 89 |
03/05 | @ BOS | 105-104W | 42 | 28 | 8 | 90 |
03/03 | @ NYK | 98-107L | 39 | 31 | 10 | 87 |
03/01 | vs DET | 110-100W | 53 | 25 | 15 | 83 |
02/28 | vs CHI | 123-105W | 39 | 37 | 12 | 96 |
Pacers Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/16 | @ BRO | 121-100W | 50 | 21 | 10 | 105 |
03/13 | @ CHI | 129-132L | 47 | 30 | 8 | 99 |
03/12 | vs OKL | 108-111L | 40 | 32 | 8 | 89 |
03/10 | vs ORL | 111-97W | 46 | 20 | 12 | 81 |
03/07 | @ MIN | 111-113L | 39 | 26 | 15 | 82 |
03/05 | vs DAL | 137-120W | 43 | 34 | 8 | 94 |
03/03 | vs SAS | 105-117L | 42 | 20 | 10 | 93 |
03/01 | vs NOP | 102-129L | 44 | 25 | 16 | 95 |
02/28 | @ NOP | 123-114W | 50 | 34 | 8 | 102 |
02/26 | @ TOR | 122-130L | 43 | 27 | 10 | 100 |
Starting Lineups
Cleveland Cavaliers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
43.7 | 38.3 | 36.9 | 100% | 35.7 | |
40.8 | 40.5 | 32.4 | 100% | 30.8 | |
Caris LeVert
SG
|
39.9 | 35.4 | 28.6 | 7% | 34.6 |
24.1 | 25.9 | 16.7 | 20% | 26.5 | |
Isaac Okoro
SF
|
26.9 | 22.8 | 20.2 | 57% | 21.8 |
Indiana Pacers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
44.6 | 41.0 | 40.7 | 100% | 40.4 | |
19.6 | 16.1 | 21.1 | 83% | 21.4 | |
26.4 | 26.6 | 24.5 | 100% | 23.4 | |
41.0 | 39.1 | 37.4 | 100% | 36.1 | |
36.3 | 33.5 | 30.3 | 100% | 30.3 |
Cavaliers Notable Injuries
- Donovan Mitchell (PG/SG): Avg: 27.4pts, 5.3reb, 6.1ast, 35.4 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 6.8
- Evan Mobley (PF/C): Avg: 15.6pts, 10.0reb, 3.1ast, 30.7 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 6.3
- Max Strus (SG/SF): Avg: 11.9pts, 4.8reb, 3.7ast, 31.7 minutes. Last game: 03/03/24. Impact: 3.8
- Dean Wade (PF): Avg: 5.3pts, 4.0reb, 0.8ast, 20.1 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 2.2
- Isaiah Mobley (C): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.8reb, 0.7ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 1.1
- Pete Nance (PF): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.3reb, 0.0ast, 2.5 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 0.1
Pacers Notable Injuries
- Bennedict Mathurin (SF): Avg: 14.9pts, 4.1reb, 2.0ast, 26.2 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 4.5
- Isaiah Jackson (C): Avg: 7.0pts, 4.1reb, 0.8ast, 13.4 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 2.5
- Kendall Brown (SG/SF): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.2reb, 0.3ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.4
- Quenton Jackson (PG/SG): Avg: 0.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.8 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 2.1
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Myles Turner | IND | Pts | 16.5 | 18.7 | +2.2 | 40% | 30% | 40% | 40% | CLE | -1.8 | #8 |
Georges Niang | CLE | Pts | 10.5 | 12.6 | +2.1 | 80% | 50% | 40% | 40% | IND | -0.7 | #13 |
Jarrett Allen | CLE | Reb | 11.5 | 12.5 | +1.0 | 20% | 40% | 33% | 33% | IND | +2.5 | #29 |
Isaac Okoro | CLE | Reb | 3.5 | 4.2 | +0.7 | 80% | 60% | 47% | 47% | IND | -0.8 | #9 |
Pascal Siakam | IND | Ast | 3.5 | 4.7 | +1.2 | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% | CLE | -1.1 | #3 |
Andrew Nembhard | IND | Ast | 3.5 | 4.1 | +0.6 | 20% | 30% | 47% | 47% | CLE | +0.3 | #19 |
Cavaliers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #8 | #22 | #2 | #10 | -6.4% |
PF | #24 | #14 | #16 | #22 | 6.5% |
PG | #9 | #5 | #10 | #4 | -14.6% |
SF | #3 | #21 | #3 | #4 | -15.1% |
SG | #14 | #21 | #19 | #22 | 3.2% |
Pacers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #11 | #29 | #12 | #19 | 3.1% |
PF | #9 | #8 | #28 | #9 | -5.2% |
PG | #25 | #10 | #1 | #8 | -9.0% |
SF | #13 | #9 | #28 | #15 | -0.3% |
SG | #28 | #28 | #2 | #20 | 2.3% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Sam Merrill (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.8% to 25.8, 19.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Max Strus (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 73.5% to 33.7, 19.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Dean Wade (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 60.2% to 28.1, 17.5 min average previous 3 games.
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