Cavaliers vs Pacers Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Mar 18th 2024

Alright hoop heads, it’s time to buckle up and get ready for a clash of titans as the Cleveland Cavaliers, boasting a 41W-26L record, are packing their bags and heading to the heartland to face the 38W-30L Indiana Pacers at the iconic Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The clock’s ticking down to a 07:00PM EST tipoff, and the tension’s building faster than a LeBron James fast break. With the Cavs trailing by a mere 2.5 games and the Pacers lagging behind by 6.0 in the Eastern conference, it’s safe to say that every shot, every rebound, and every free throw is gonna count tonight. The bookies have set the over/under at a tantalizing 225.5, with the Cavs line at 7.5 and the Pacers favored at -7.5. The Pacers are strutting off a 121-100 victory over BRO, while the Cavs are looking to bounce back from a 103-117 setback against HOU. So, whether you’re a Cavalier looking to ride into victory or a Pacer setting the pace, tonight’s game is sure to be a slam dunk of excitement!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 18, 2024 07:00PM EST

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana

Vegas Odds

	CLE ML	IND ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+250	-300	224.0	7.5/-7.5
Recent	+220	-270	225.5	6.5/-6.5
Difference	-30	+30	+1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

19W-12L

31.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

21W-12L

68.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
11/03/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	26	27	34	29	116	Over
11/03/23	Indiana Pacers IND	36	34	18	33	121	Over
10/28/23	Indiana Pacers IND	31	29	31	34	125	Over
10/28/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	37	9	38	26	110	Over
04/02/23	Indiana Pacers IND	28	33	26	18	105	Under
04/02/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	28	31	27	29	115	Under
02/05/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	27	35	36	24	122	Under
02/05/23	Indiana Pacers IND	25	21	38	19	103	Under
12/29/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	34	34	28	30	126	Over
12/29/22	Indiana Pacers IND	29	35	35	36	135	Over
12/16/22	Indiana Pacers IND	31	30	33	18	112	Over
12/16/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	29	25	29	35	118	Over
03/08/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	32	31	27	37	127	Over
03/08/22	Indiana Pacers IND	24	39	35	26	124	Over
02/11/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	28	35	25	32	120	Over
02/11/22	Indiana Pacers IND	47	27	22	17	113	Over
02/06/22	Indiana Pacers IND	27	20	21	17	85	Under
02/06/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	12	24	25	37	98	Under
01/02/22	Indiana Pacers IND	30	26	28	20	104	Under
01/02/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	30	28	30	20	108	Under

Cavaliers Vs Over/Under

Pacers Vs Over/Under

Cavaliers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/16	vs HOU	103-117L	45	22	15	82
03/13	vs NOP	116-95W	46	38	9	92
03/11	@ PHX	111-117L	37	30	12	86
03/10	@ BRO	101-120L	31	25	12	76
03/08	@ MIN	113-104W	46	27	12	90
03/06	vs ATL	101-114L	42	27	13	89
03/05	@ BOS	105-104W	42	28	8	90
03/03	@ NYK	98-107L	39	31	10	87
03/01	vs DET	110-100W	53	25	15	83
02/28	vs CHI	123-105W	39	37	12	96

Pacers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/16	@ BRO	121-100W	50	21	10	105
03/13	@ CHI	129-132L	47	30	8	99
03/12	vs OKL	108-111L	40	32	8	89
03/10	vs ORL	111-97W	46	20	12	81
03/07	@ MIN	111-113L	39	26	15	82
03/05	vs DAL	137-120W	43	34	8	94
03/03	vs SAS	105-117L	42	20	10	93
03/01	vs NOP	102-129L	44	25	16	95
02/28	@ NOP	123-114W	50	34	8	102
02/26	@ TOR	122-130L	43	27	10	100

Starting Lineups

Cleveland Cavaliers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jarrett Allen C	43.7	38.3	36.9	100%	35.7
Darius Garland PG	40.8	40.5	32.4	100%	30.8
Caris LeVert SG	39.9	35.4	28.6	7%	34.6
Georges Niang PF	24.1	25.9	16.7	20%	26.5
Isaac Okoro SF	26.9	22.8	20.2	57%	21.8

Indiana Pacers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Tyrese Haliburton PG	44.6	41.0	40.7	100%	40.4
Andrew Nembhard SG	19.6	16.1	21.1	83%	21.4
Aaron Nesmith SF	26.4	26.6	24.5	100%	23.4
Pascal Siakam PF	41.0	39.1	37.4	100%	36.1
Myles Turner C	36.3	33.5	30.3	100%	30.3

Cavaliers Notable Injuries

Donovan Mitchell (PG/SG): Avg: 27.4pts, 5.3reb, 6.1ast, 35.4 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 6.8
Evan Mobley (PF/C): Avg: 15.6pts, 10.0reb, 3.1ast, 30.7 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 6.3
Max Strus (SG/SF): Avg: 11.9pts, 4.8reb, 3.7ast, 31.7 minutes. Last game: 03/03/24. Impact: 3.8
Dean Wade (PF): Avg: 5.3pts, 4.0reb, 0.8ast, 20.1 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 2.2
Isaiah Mobley (C): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.8reb, 0.7ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 1.1
Pete Nance (PF): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.3reb, 0.0ast, 2.5 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 0.1

Pacers Notable Injuries

Bennedict Mathurin (SF): Avg: 14.9pts, 4.1reb, 2.0ast, 26.2 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 4.5
Isaiah Jackson (C): Avg: 7.0pts, 4.1reb, 0.8ast, 13.4 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 2.5
Kendall Brown (SG/SF): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.2reb, 0.3ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.4
Quenton Jackson (PG/SG): Avg: 0.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.8 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 2.1

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Myles Turner	IND	Pts	16.5	18.7	+2.2	40%	30%	40%	40%	CLE	-1.8	#8
Georges Niang	CLE	Pts	10.5	12.6	+2.1	80%	50%	40%	40%	IND	-0.7	#13
Jarrett Allen	CLE	Reb	11.5	12.5	+1.0	20%	40%	33%	33%	IND	+2.5	#29
Isaac Okoro	CLE	Reb	3.5	4.2	+0.7	80%	60%	47%	47%	IND	-0.8	#9
Pascal Siakam	IND	Ast	3.5	4.7	+1.2	20%	40%	40%	40%	CLE	-1.1	#3
Andrew Nembhard	IND	Ast	3.5	4.1	+0.6	20%	30%	47%	47%	CLE	+0.3	#19

View All Player Prop Projections

Cavaliers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#22	#2	#10	-6.4%
PF	#24	#14	#16	#22	6.5%
PG	#9	#5	#10	#4	-14.6%
SF	#3	#21	#3	#4	-15.1%
SG	#14	#21	#19	#22	3.2%

Pacers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#11	#29	#12	#19	3.1%
PF	#9	#8	#28	#9	-5.2%
PG	#25	#10	#1	#8	-9.0%
SF	#13	#9	#28	#15	-0.3%
SG	#28	#28	#2	#20	2.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

108.7

119.2

Rebounds per Game

42.1

44.3

Assists per Game

29.6

28.6

Steals per Game

6.6

7.6

Blocks per Game

5.4

5.9

Shots per Game

84.9

94.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.8

11.2

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.2

57.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.3

33.8

Turnovers per Game

12.2

10.8

Fouls per Game

16.3

19.2

Recent Trends

Sam Merrill (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.8% to 25.8, 19.6 min average previous 3 games.
Max Strus (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 73.5% to 33.7, 19.4 min average previous 3 games.
Dean Wade (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 60.2% to 28.1, 17.5 min average previous 3 games.