Cavaliers vs Heat Game Breakdown
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Cavaliers
37W-9L
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January 29, 2025
08:30PM EST
Odds: 227.0 o/u
Heat
23W-22L
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Get ready to turn up the heat and rock-n-roll into the NBA playoffs as the sizzling Cleveland Cavaliers bring their top-tier game to the sunny courts of Miami tonight! With the first round mostly dishing out one-sided affairs, tonight’s clash at the Kaseya Center promises a much-needed dose of nail-biting basketball action. The Cavaliers are strutting in with a stellar season record, ready to duke it out against a Miami Heat squad that’s been turning up the temperature lately. With the game tipping off at 8:30 PM EST and the stakes sky-high in the Eastern conference, the betting lines are buzzing and fans are in for an electrifying showdown. And as the Heat looks to melt the Cavaliers’ cool composure, we’re all set to see if Miami can truly put the ‘heat’ in ‘defeat’ or if the Cavs will ‘cavalierly’ ride the wave to victory!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: January 29, 2025 08:30PM EST
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami
Vegas Odds
CLE ML | MIA ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -330 | +265 | 227.5 | -8.0/8.0 |
Recent | -210 | +175 | 227.0 | -7.5/7.5 |
Difference | +120 | -90 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
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67.7% Win Probability
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32.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/08/24 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 25 | 26 | 29 | 33 | 00 | 113 | Over | ![]() |
Miami Heat MIA | 21 | 38 | 31 | 32 | 00 | 122 | |||
12/08/23 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 17 | 36 | 35 | 23 | 00 | 111 | Under | ![]() |
Miami Heat MIA | 25 | 27 | 23 | 24 | 00 | 99 | |||
03/24/24 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 22 | 17 | 18 | 27 | 00 | 84 | Under | ![]() |
Miami Heat MIA | 32 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 00 | 121 | |||
03/20/24 | Miami Heat MIA | 31 | 30 | 22 | 24 | 00 | 107 | Under | ![]() |
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 30 | 27 | 18 | 29 | 00 | 104 | |||
11/22/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 37 | 32 | 32 | 28 | 00 | 129 | Under | ![]() |
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 26 | 29 | 24 | 17 | 00 | 96 | |||
03/10/23 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 26 | 33 | 30 | 26 | 00 | 115 | Over | ![]() |
Miami Heat MIA | 27 | 23 | 32 | 37 | 00 | 119 | |||
03/08/23 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 26 | 31 | 30 | 17 | 00 | 104 | Under | ![]() |
Miami Heat MIA | 30 | 23 | 29 | 18 | 00 | 100 | |||
01/31/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 24 | 31 | 24 | 21 | 00 | 100 | Under | ![]() |
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 26 | 26 | 27 | 18 | 00 | 97 | |||
11/20/22 | Miami Heat MIA | 27 | 15 | 22 | 23 | 00 | 87 | Under | ![]() |
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 28 | 31 | 36 | 18 | 00 | 113 | |||
03/11/22 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 18 | 39 | 15 | 33 | 00 | 105 | Under | ![]() |
Miami Heat MIA | 28 | 30 | 27 | 32 | 00 | 117 | |||
12/13/21 | Miami Heat MIA | 25 | 19 | 29 | 21 | 00 | 94 | Under | ![]() |
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 23 | 32 | 23 | 27 | 00 | 105 | |||
12/01/21 | Cleveland Cavaliers CLE | 31 | 30 | 26 | 24 | 00 | 111 | Under | ![]() |
Miami Heat MIA | 16 | 27 | 20 | 22 | 00 | 85 |
Cavaliers Vs Over/Under
Heat Vs Over/Under
Cavaliers Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/27 | @ DET | 110-91W | 53 | 28 | 9 | 91 |
01/24 | vs PHI | 129-132L | 37 | 30 | 16 | 90 |
01/22 | vs HOU | 108-109L | 45 | 25 | 13 | 97 |
01/20 | @ PHX | 118-92W | 50 | 27 | 8 | 95 |
01/18 | vs MIN | 124-117W | 47 | 27 | 7 | 92 |
01/16 | vs OKL | 114-134L | 49 | 32 | 21 | 90 |
01/14 | vs IND | 127-117W | 49 | 25 | 14 | 89 |
01/12 | @ IND | 93-108L | 44 | 24 | 13 | 83 |
01/09 | @ TOR | 132-126W | 42 | 31 | 11 | 89 |
01/08 | @ OKL | 129-122W | 40 | 36 | 15 | 90 |
Heat Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/27 | @ ORL | 125-119W | 43 | 34 | 16 | 92 |
01/23 | vs MIL | 96-125L | 50 | 26 | 10 | 92 |
01/21 | @ POR | 107-116L | 45 | 26 | 8 | 93 |
01/19 | @ SAS | 128-107W | 49 | 35 | 11 | 95 |
01/17 | @ DEN | 113-133L | 41 | 30 | 8 | 91 |
01/15 | vs LAL | 108-117L | 37 | 25 | 19 | 73 |
01/13 | vs LAC | 98-109L | 49 | 22 | 15 | 85 |
01/11 | vs POR | 119-98W | 43 | 31 | 10 | 92 |
01/09 | vs UTA | 97-92W | 49 | 26 | 14 | 91 |
01/07 | vs GSW | 114-98W | 48 | 32 | 9 | 91 |
Starting Lineups
Cleveland Cavaliers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
34.0 | 31.8 | 32.2 | 100% | 32.6 | |
38.0 | 40.6 | 38.0 | 100% | 38.3 | |
41.0 | 46.5 | 40.2 | 100% | 40.5 | |
Evan Mobley
PF
|
39.0 | 35.2 | 37.3 | 100% | 37.6 |
Max Strus
SF
|
21.0 | 20.6 | 21.2 | 63% | 23.4 |
Miami Heat | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bam Adebayo
PF
|
43.0 | 34.8 | 38.1 | 100% | 38.5 |
Tyler Herro
PG
|
44.0 | 43.6 | 40.9 | 100% | 41.2 |
14.0 | 6.8 | 15.3 | 90% | 17.0 | |
24.0 | 29.1 | 20.8 | 70% | 22.7 | |
36.0 | 37.1 | 18.7 | 12% | 40.4 |
Cavaliers Notable Injuries
- Caris LeVert (PG/SG): Avg: 12.7pts, 3.7reb, 4.4ast, 27.0 minutes. Last game: 01/18/25. Impact: 3.4
- Isaac Okoro (SF/PF): Avg: 7.8pts, 2.5reb, 1.7ast, 24.5 minutes. Last game: 01/16/25. Impact: 1.8
- Dean Wade (SF/PF): Avg: 5.5pts, 4.3reb, 1.1ast, 21.1 minutes. Last game: 01/24/25. Impact: 3.0
- JT Thor (SF/PF): Avg: 3.0pts, 2.1reb, 0.4ast, 11.2 minutes. Last game: 01/20/25. Impact: 1.2
- Emoni Bates (PG): Avg: 2.0pts, 0.7reb, 0.5ast, 6.3 minutes. Last game: 01/27/25. Impact: 0.6
Heat Notable Injuries
- Jimmy Butler (SF): Avg: 19.4pts, 5.1reb, 4.8ast, 32.7 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 4.5
- Keshad Johnson (SF/PF): Avg: 1.8pts, 1.8reb, 0.3ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.7
- Josh Christopher (PG): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.7ast, 4.1 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 1.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Bam Adebayo | MIA | Pts | 15.5 | 18.9 | +3.4 | 40% | 40% | 47% | 47% | CLE | +0.4 | #18 |
Kel’el Ware | MIA | Pts | 13.5 | 16.8 | +3.3 | 80% | 50% | 40% | 40% | CLE | 0.0 | #15 |
Tyler Herro | MIA | Reb | 4.5 | 5.9 | +1.4 | 60% | 80% | 67% | 67% | CLE | -0.8 | #2 |
Terry Rozier | MIA | Ast | 2.5 | 3.1 | +0.6 | 100% | 70% | 60% | 60% | CLE | -0.7 | #5 |
Cavaliers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #15 | #22 | #23 | #18 | 2.9% |
PF | #18 | #23 | #27 | #23 | 3.6% |
PG | #24 | #3 | #5 | #9 | -3.3% |
SF | #16 | #28 | #2 | #11 | -1.4% |
SG | #5 | #2 | #12 | #5 | -7.9% |
Heat Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #4 | #26 | #4 | #5 | -8.8% |
PF | #7 | #18 | #30 | #17 | 0.6% |
PG | #8 | #19 | #25 | #18 | 0.0% |
SF | #21 | #29 | #22 | #26 | 7.1% |
SG | #17 | #4 | #13 | #10 | -3.2% |
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Team Comparison
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Recent Trends
- Jarrett Allen (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.6% to 32.3, 24.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Jimmy Butler (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 50.2% to 29.3, 19.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Ty Jerome (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.5% to 27.1, 19.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Sam Merrill (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 58.8% to 21.4, 13.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Josh Richardson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.4% to 21.2, 16.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Duncan Robinson (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.7% to 36.3, 25.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Dru Smith (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.6% to 30.0, 22.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Kel’el Ware (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 74.1% to 38.8, 22.3 min average previous 3 games. The Cavaliers have a 2-game losing streak on the road.
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