Cavaliers vs Heat Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Mar 24th 2024

thefield
Cleveland Cavaliers

Cavaliers

42W-28L

Cleveland Cavaliers

March 24, 2024

06:00PM EST

Odds: 203.5 o/u

Heat

38W-32L

Miami Heat
Miami Heat

Alright, hoop-heads, buckle up for a sizzling showdown in South Beach! Our 42-win Cleveland Cavaliers are packing their bags and heading down to the Kaseya Center, set to lock horns with the Miami Heat, who are sitting pretty with 38 notches on their win column. The Cavs are breathing down the necks of the Eastern conference leaders, just three games behind, while the Heat are nipping at their heels, a mere half-game further back. As the clock strikes 6:00PM EST, the ball will be up in the air and the action will hit fever pitch. The bookies have crunched the numbers, setting the over/under at a tantalizing 203.5, with the Cavs getting a 4-point head start and the Heat favored to overcome a 4-point deficit. Both teams are looking to bounce back from recent stumbles; the Heat got a bit too close to the Pelicans and got singed, while the Cavs couldn’t quite tame the Timberwolves. So, as the Cavaliers try to bring the Heat down to a simmer and Miami looks to turn up the temperature on Cleveland, we’re all set for a game that promises to be hotter than a habanero in a heatwave!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 24, 2024 06:00PM EST
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami

Vegas Odds

CLE ML MIA ML Over/Under Line
Open +145 -170 203.0 4.0/-4.0
Recent +150 -175 203.5 4.0/-4.0
Difference +5 -5 +0.5

Team Performance

cle Team Logo
LAST 10
4W-6L
AWAY
20W-13L

40.0% Win Probability

mia Team Logo
LAST 10
4W-6L
HOME
17W-16L

60.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Final O/U ATS
12/08/23 Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 17 36 35 23 111 Over
Miami Heat MIA 25 27 23 24 99
03/20/24 Miami Heat MIA 31 30 22 24 107 Over
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 30 27 18 29 104
11/22/23 Miami Heat MIA 37 32 32 28 129 Over
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 26 29 24 17 96
03/10/23 Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 26 33 30 26 115 Over
Miami Heat MIA 27 23 32 37 119
03/08/23 Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 26 31 30 17 104 Over
Miami Heat MIA 30 23 29 18 100
01/31/23 Miami Heat MIA 24 31 24 21 100 Under
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 26 26 27 18 97
11/20/22 Miami Heat MIA 27 15 22 23 87 Under
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 28 31 36 18 113
03/11/22 Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 18 39 15 33 105 Over
Miami Heat MIA 28 30 27 32 117
12/13/21 Miami Heat MIA 25 19 29 21 94 Under
Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 23 32 23 27 105
12/01/21 Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 31 30 26 24 111 Under
Miami Heat MIA 16 27 20 22 85

Cavaliers Vs Over/Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

Cavaliers Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
03/22 vs MIN 91-104L 41 22 12 80
03/20 @ MIA 104-107L 37 30 11 75
03/18 vs IND 108-103W 39 27 14 80
03/16 vs HOU 103-117L 45 22 15 82
03/13 vs NOP 116-95W 46 38 9 92
03/11 @ PHX 111-117L 37 30 12 86
03/10 @ BRO 101-120L 31 25 12 76
03/08 @ MIN 113-104W 46 27 12 90
03/06 vs ATL 101-114L 42 27 13 89
03/05 @ BOS 105-104W 42 28 8 90

Heat Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
03/22 @ NOP 88-111L 34 22 4 87
03/20 vs CLE 107-104W 37 19 7 83
03/18 vs PHI 91-98L 49 23 15 89
03/17 vs DET 104-101W 47 24 9 89
03/15 vs DET 108-95W 44 23 8 93
03/13 @ DEN 88-100L 42 18 8 81
03/10 @ WAS 108-110L 51 20 13 96
03/08 vs OKL 100-107L 43 24 10 83
03/07 vs DAL 108-114L 37 30 10 82
03/05 @ DET 118-110W 42 27 9 85

Starting Lineups

Cavaliers Notable Injuries

  • Donovan Mitchell (PG/SG): Avg: 27.4pts, 5.3reb, 6.1ast, 35.4 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 6.8
  • Damian Jones (C): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.8reb, 0.4ast, 7.1 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 1.9
  • Isaiah Mobley (C): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.8reb, 0.7ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 1.1
  • Pete Nance (PF): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.3reb, 0.0ast, 2.5 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 0.1

Heat Notable Injuries

  • Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): Avg: 13.4pts, 2.5reb, 3.0ast, 28.1 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 4.2
  • Jamal Cain (SF): Avg: 4.8pts, 1.8reb, 0.3ast, 12.8 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 1.4
  • Cole Swider (PF): Avg: 3.2pts, 0.5reb, 0.3ast, 6.1 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 0.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Cavaliers Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #6 #22 #2 #8 -6.1%
PF #23 #13 #11 #20 3.1%
PG #9 #4 #10 #6 -12.1%
SF #4 #23 #2 #3 -18.9%
SG #17 #21 #19 #20 2.9%

Heat Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #2 #28 #8 #2 -13.4%
PF #5 #24 #7 #9 -4.4%
PG #16 #20 #3 #9 -5.4%
SF #28 #7 #10 #25 8.9%
SG #13 #11 #17 #13 -2.3%
Team Logo

Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points per Game
107.2
105.1
Rebounds per Game
42.1
41.6
Assists per Game
28.9
24.0
Steals per Game
6.3
7.7
Blocks per Game
5.1
4.4
Shots per Game
84.6
85.4
3-Pointers Made per Game
14.4
11.5
2-Pt Percentage per Game
53.0
51.9
3-Pt Percentage per Game
37.1
35.7
Turnovers per Game
11.9
10.4
Fouls per Game
16.5
15.5

Recent Trends

  • Bam Adebayo (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.5% to 33.1, 22.9 min average previous 3 games.
  • Jimmy Butler (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.0% to 34.9, 26.1 min average previous 3 games.
  • Haywood Highsmith (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.8% to 17.8, 12.7 min average previous 3 games.
  • Nikola Jovic (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.6% to 22.5, 16.8 min average previous 3 games.
  • Patty Mills (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 53.5% to 19.7, 12.8 min average previous 3 games.
  • Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.2% to 30.9, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
  • Max Strus (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 73.5% to 33.7, 19.4 min average previous 3 games.
  • Dean Wade (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 60.2% to 28.1, 17.5 min average previous 3 games.
  • Delon Wright (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.6% to 17.8, 13.6 min average previous 3 games.

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