Cavaliers vs Heat Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Mar 24th 2024

Alright, hoop-heads, buckle up for a sizzling showdown in South Beach! Our 42-win Cleveland Cavaliers are packing their bags and heading down to the Kaseya Center, set to lock horns with the Miami Heat, who are sitting pretty with 38 notches on their win column. The Cavs are breathing down the necks of the Eastern conference leaders, just three games behind, while the Heat are nipping at their heels, a mere half-game further back. As the clock strikes 6:00PM EST, the ball will be up in the air and the action will hit fever pitch. The bookies have crunched the numbers, setting the over/under at a tantalizing 203.5, with the Cavs getting a 4-point head start and the Heat favored to overcome a 4-point deficit. Both teams are looking to bounce back from recent stumbles; the Heat got a bit too close to the Pelicans and got singed, while the Cavs couldn’t quite tame the Timberwolves. So, as the Cavaliers try to bring the Heat down to a simmer and Miami looks to turn up the temperature on Cleveland, we’re all set for a game that promises to be hotter than a habanero in a heatwave!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 24, 2024 06:00PM EST

Location: Kaseya Center, Miami

Vegas Odds

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

20W-13L

40.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

17W-16L

60.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U	ATS
12/08/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	17	36	35	23		111	Over
	Miami Heat MIA	25	27	23	24		99
03/20/24	Miami Heat MIA	31	30	22	24		107	Over
	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	30	27	18	29		104
11/22/23	Miami Heat MIA	37	32	32	28		129	Over
	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	26	29	24	17		96
03/10/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	26	33	30	26		115	Over
	Miami Heat MIA	27	23	32	37		119
03/08/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	26	31	30	17		104	Over
	Miami Heat MIA	30	23	29	18		100
01/31/23	Miami Heat MIA	24	31	24	21		100	Under
	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	26	26	27	18		97
11/20/22	Miami Heat MIA	27	15	22	23		87	Under
	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	28	31	36	18		113
03/11/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	18	39	15	33		105	Over
	Miami Heat MIA	28	30	27	32		117
12/13/21	Miami Heat MIA	25	19	29	21		94	Under
	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	23	32	23	27		105
12/01/21	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	31	30	26	24		111	Under
	Miami Heat MIA	16	27	20	22		85

Starting Lineups

Cavaliers Notable Injuries

• Donovan Mitchell (PG/SG): Avg: 27.4pts, 5.3reb, 6.1ast, 35.4 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 6.8
• Damian Jones (C): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.8reb, 0.4ast, 7.1 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 1.9
• Isaiah Mobley (C): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.8reb, 0.7ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 1.1
• Pete Nance (PF): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.3reb, 0.0ast, 2.5 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 0.1

Heat Notable Injuries

• Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): Avg: 13.4pts, 2.5reb, 3.0ast, 28.1 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 4.2
• Jamal Cain (SF): Avg: 4.8pts, 1.8reb, 0.3ast, 12.8 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 1.4
• Cole Swider (PF): Avg: 3.2pts, 0.5reb, 0.3ast, 6.1 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 0.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Recent Trends

• Bam Adebayo (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.5% to 33.1, 22.9 min average previous 3 games.
• Jimmy Butler (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.0% to 34.9, 26.1 min average previous 3 games.
• Haywood Highsmith (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.8% to 17.8, 12.7 min average previous 3 games.
• Nikola Jovic (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.6% to 22.5, 16.8 min average previous 3 games.
• Patty Mills (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 53.5% to 19.7, 12.8 min average previous 3 games.
• Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.2% to 30.9, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
• Max Strus (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 73.5% to 33.7, 19.4 min average previous 3 games.
• Dean Wade (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 60.2% to 28.1, 17.5 min average previous 3 games.
• Delon Wright (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.6% to 17.8, 13.6 min average previous 3 games.