Cavaliers vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Mar 22nd 2024

Alright, hoop-heads, strap in and get ready for a clash of titans tonight! Our 42W-27L Cleveland Cavaliers are galloping all the way to the Target Center, ready to cross swords with the 47W-22L Minnesota Timberwolves. It’s a battle of the beasts, folks, and it’s going down at 08:00PM EST sharp! Now, the Cavs are trailing by a mere 2.5 games in the East, while the Wolves are just 1.5 games behind in the West. Talk about a nail-biter! And if you’re a betting man, the over/under is sitting pretty at 207.0, with the Cavs at 6.0 and the Wolves at -6.0. But remember, both teams are licking their wounds from recent losses. The Wolves took a hit 112-115 against the Nuggets on the 19th, and the Cavs fell short 104-107 against the Heat on the 20th. So, who’s ready to see if the Cavs can ‘wolf’ down the competition, or if the Timberwolves will ‘cavalierly’ fend off the attack?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 22, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Target Center, Minnesota

Vegas Odds

	CLE ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+200	-240	209.5	6.0/-6.0
Recent	+240	-290	207.0	7.5/-7.5
Difference	+40	-50	-2.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

20W-12L

29.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

22W-9L

70.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
03/08/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	23	27	30	17	7	104	Over
03/08/24	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	25	29	25	18	16	113	Over
01/14/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	25	29	26	22		102	Over
01/14/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	27	22	28	33		110	Over
11/13/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	40	27	37	25		129	Over
11/13/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	20	30	34	40		124	Over
02/28/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	26	38	37	26		127	Over
02/28/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	37	24	27	34		122	Over
12/10/21	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	34	31	27	31		123	Over
12/10/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	20	24	27	35		106	Over

Cavaliers Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Cavaliers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/20	@ MIA	104-107L	37	30	11	75
03/18	vs IND	108-103W	39	27	14	80
03/16	vs HOU	103-117L	45	22	15	82
03/13	vs NOP	116-95W	46	38	9	92
03/11	@ PHX	111-117L	37	30	12	86
03/10	@ BRO	101-120L	31	25	12	76
03/08	@ MIN	113-104W	46	27	12	90
03/06	vs ATL	101-114L	42	27	13	89
03/05	@ BOS	105-104W	42	28	8	90
03/03	@ NYK	98-107L	39	31	10	87

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/19	@ DEN	112-115L	37	25	7	88
03/18	vs UTA	114-104W	35	27	9	91
03/16	vs UTA	119-100W	44	31	8	93
03/12	vs LAC	118-100W	48	26	9	94
03/10	vs LAL	109-120L	38	27	11	97
03/08	vs CLE	104-114L	45	25	12	94
03/07	vs IND	113-111W	48	23	9	98
03/04	@ POR	119-114W	40	28	11	80
03/03	@ LAC	88-89L	54	24	15	80
03/01	@ SAC	120-124L	44	29	12	85

Starting Lineups

Cleveland Cavaliers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jarrett Allen C	40.3	36.5	37.3	100%	36.1
Darius Garland PG	38.7	39.8	32.4	100%	30.8
Caris LeVert SG	39.4	41.6	29.3	13%	41.8
Georges Niang PF	24.4	21.9	16.2	27%	25.5
Isaac Okoro SF	24.0	18.6	19.7	57%	20.9

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Kyle Anderson PF	28.8	26.6	19.3	30%	25.2
Mike Conley PG	25.5	27.1	25.6	100%	26.1
Anthony Edwards SG	49.9	56.9	45.5	93%	46.0
Rudy Gobert C	40.8	41.4	38.6	100%	37.9
Jaden McDaniels SF	23.2	21.9	19.8	100%	19.4

Cavaliers Notable Injuries

Donovan Mitchell (PG/SG): Avg: 27.4pts, 5.3reb, 6.1ast, 35.4 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 6.8
Dean Wade (PF): Avg: 5.3pts, 4.0reb, 0.8ast, 20.1 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 2.2
Damian Jones (C): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.8reb, 0.4ast, 7.1 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 1.9
Isaiah Mobley (C): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.8reb, 0.7ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 1.1
Pete Nance (PF): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.3reb, 0.0ast, 2.5 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 0.1

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Luka Garza (C): Avg: 4.1pts, 1.4reb, 0.2ast, 5.6 minutes. Last game: 03/19/24. Impact: 1.5
Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.9pts, 1.1reb, 0.6ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.7
Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.6reb, 0.2ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.6
Daishen Nix (PG): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.1reb, 0.2ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 0.5
Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.1ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.3

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jaden McDaniels	MIN	Pts	10.5	12.3	+1.8	20%	40%	40%	40%	CLE	-3.8	#3
Rudy Gobert	MIN	Pts	13.5	15.0	+1.5	40%	30%	47%	47%	CLE	-1.8	#9
Georges Niang	CLE	Reb	4.5	4.9	+0.4	40%	30%	27%	27%	MIN	-0.3	#13
Anthony Edwards	MIN	Ast	4.5	5.5	+1.0	80%	50%	53%	53%	CLE	+0.3	#17

View All Player Prop Projections

Cavaliers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#9	#20	#1	#9	-6.6%
PF	#24	#16	#13	#22	3.9%
PG	#8	#5	#9	#4	-14.0%
SF	#3	#22	#4	#4	-14.7%
SG	#14	#16	#17	#18	1.9%

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#28	#25	#2	#22	6.2%
PF	#7	#23	#4	#6	-9.4%
PG	#1	#30	#22	#14	-0.7%
SF	#22	#13	#5	#13	-2.1%
SG	#4	#17	#18	#10	-6.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

108.4

110.6

Rebounds per Game

41.6

44.4

Assists per Game

29.5

26.2

Steals per Game

6.4

7.9

Blocks per Game

5.1

7.0

Shots per Game

84.0

89.7

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.6

12.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.6

52.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.0

36.1

Turnovers per Game

12.2

11.1

Fouls per Game

16.8

17.7

Recent Trends

Monte Morris (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.3% to 16.3, 12.0 min average previous 3 games.
Max Strus (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 73.5% to 33.7, 19.4 min average previous 3 games.
Dean Wade (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 60.2% to 28.1, 17.5 min average previous 3 games.