Cavaliers vs Pelicans Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Mar 13th 2024

Grab your jerseys and your game face, folks, because the hardwood at the Smoothie King Center is about to be set ablaze as the Cleveland Cavaliers, with a respectable 40W-25L record, swoop in to challenge the New Orleans Pelicans, standing strong at 39W-25L. It’s a primetime showdown at 08:00 PM EST that’s got the East and West conference rankings teetering like a game of Jenga, with the Cavs trailing by a mere 1.5 games and the Pels perched comfortably at the top. The bookies are having a field day with this one, setting the over/under at a tantalizing 215.5, and the Cavs and Pels at 6.5 and -6.5 respectively. The Pels are still soaring from their 116-103 victory over ATL, while the Cavs are looking to bounce back from a 111-117 stumble against PHX. So, buckle up and prepare for a thrilling battle where the Cavs will try to conquer the nest, and the Pelicans will fight to keep their feathers unruffled!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 13, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans

Vegas Odds

	CLE ML	NOP ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+215	-260	217.0	6.5/-6.5
Recent	+130	-170	215.5	6.5/-6.5
Difference	-85	+90	-1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

18W-11L

43.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

17W-11L

56.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/21/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	36	30	28	29	123	Over
12/21/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	28	24	24	28	104	Over
02/10/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	38	35	28	17	118	Over
02/10/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	28	28	26	25	107	Over
01/16/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	25	25	31	22	103	Over
01/16/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	24	23	31	35	113	Over
01/31/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	19	20	27	24	90	Under
01/31/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	17	21	22	33	93	Under
12/28/21	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	39	19	25	21	104	Under
12/28/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	20	28	28	32	108	Under

Cavaliers Vs Over/Under

Pelicans Vs Over/Under

Cavaliers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/11	@ PHX	111-117L	37	30	12	86
03/10	@ BRO	101-120L	31	25	12	76
03/08	@ MIN	113-104W	46	27	12	90
03/06	vs ATL	101-114L	42	27	13	89
03/05	@ BOS	105-104W	42	28	8	90
03/03	@ NYK	98-107L	39	31	10	87
03/01	vs DET	110-100W	53	25	15	83
02/28	vs CHI	123-105W	39	37	12	96
02/27	@ DAL	121-119W	47	35	16	83
02/25	vs WAS	114-105W	47	35	10	84

Pelicans Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/10	vs ATL	116-103W	43	32	12	75
03/08	vs PHI	103-95W	48	22	12	83
03/05	vs TOR	139-98W	62	38	11	106
03/01	@ IND	129-102W	47	25	17	87
02/28	vs IND	114-123L	40	26	10	90
02/27	vs NYK	115-92W	44	23	14	78
02/25	@ CHI	106-114L	49	25	19	88
02/23	@ MIA	95-106L	54	20	11	105
02/22	@ HOU	127-107W	43	35	13	96
02/14	@ WAS	133-126W	39	36	10	89

Starting Lineups

Cleveland Cavaliers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jarrett Allen C	43.9	44.3	38.3	100%	37.1
Darius Garland PG	35.5	36.2	32.1	100%	30.4
Donovan Mitchell SG	41.7	44.0	49.2	93%	49.7
Georges Niang PF	19.3	24.3	16.3	13%	27.2
Isaac Okoro SF	25.0	27.1	19.9	57%	21.3

New Orleans Pelicans	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Brandon Ingram SF	39.4	37.5	38.1	100%	38.4
Herbert Jones SG	23.4	20.1	23.1	100%	23.6
CJ McCollum PG	33.4	27.2	32.8	100%	33.1
Jonas Valanciunas C	27.6	21.6	27.5	100%	27.9
Zion Williamson PF	44.5	39.9	38.3	100%	38.8

Cavaliers Notable Injuries

Evan Mobley (PF/C): Avg: 15.6pts, 10.0reb, 3.1ast, 30.7 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 6.3
Max Strus (SG/SF): Avg: 11.9pts, 4.8reb, 3.7ast, 31.7 minutes. Last game: 03/03/24. Impact: 3.8
Dean Wade (PF/C): Avg: 5.3pts, 4.0reb, 0.8ast, 20.1 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 2.2
Emoni Bates (SG/SF): Avg: 2.1pts, 1.1reb, 0.6ast, 7.1 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 0.8
Pete Nance (PF/C): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.3reb, 0.0ast, 2.5 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 0.1

Pelicans Notable Injuries

Matt Ryan (SG/SF): Avg: 7.7pts, 2.1reb, 0.8ast, 18.4 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 1.7
Cody Zeller (C): Avg: 2.0pts, 2.8reb, 1.0ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 1.1
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (C): Avg: 3.5pts, 2.2reb, 0.3ast, 9.2 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 1.0
Izaiah Brockington (SG): Avg: 4.0pts, 2.0reb, 0.0ast, 3.4 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 1.1
Dereon Seabron (PG): Avg: 2.3pts, 1.2reb, 0.8ast, 9.2 minutes. Last game: 02/27/24. Impact: 0.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jarrett Allen	CLE	Pts	16.5	18.9	+2.4	60%	60%	60%	60%	NOP	+0.3	#18
CJ McCollum	NOP	Pts	15.5	17.4	+1.9	40%	40%	60%	60%	CLE	+0.5	#18

View All Player Prop Projections

Cavaliers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#5	#25	#1	#6	-9.2%
PF	#24	#8	#17	#20	3.8%
PG	#9	#6	#10	#7	-9.9%
SF	#4	#15	#1	#3	-14.3%
SG	#18	#16	#14	#18	1.7%

Pelicans Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#18	#26	#3	#21	5.3%
PF	#14	#13	#13	#12	-2.5%
PG	#3	#14	#24	#4	-11.3%
SF	#11	#25	#17	#17	1.6%
SG	#13	#5	#11	#12	-3.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

109.4

115.7

Rebounds per Game

41.3

47.1

Assists per Game

29.9

27.5

Steals per Game

6.7

8.4

Blocks per Game

5.3

5.9

Shots per Game

85.1

88.7

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.3

14.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.6

40.5

Turnovers per Game

11.8

13.3

Fouls per Game

16.6

17.5

Recent Trends

Jordan Hawkins (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 37.5% to 11.4, 18.2 min average previous 3 games.
Max Strus (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 73.5% to 33.7, 19.4 min average previous 3 games.
Tristan Thompson (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.1% to 18.2, 13.5 min average previous 3 games.
Dean Wade (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 60.2% to 28.1, 17.5 min average previous 3 games.