Cavaliers vs Thunder Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying face-off as the Cleveland Cavaliers gallop into Oklahoma City to clash with the Thunder at the Paycom Center tonight at 8:30 PM EST. Both teams have been tearing up their conferences this season, with the Cavs and Thunder barely a whisper apart in their standings. With the playoff air crackling with intensity after a series of blowouts, tonight’s matchup, boasting an over/under of 232.5, promises to dial up the drama. The Cavs trotted past the Pacers recently, while the Thunder rolled thunderously over Philadelphia. As they prepare to storm the court, will the Cavaliers ride the lightning, or will the Thunder bring the boom?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 16, 2025 08:30PM EST

Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Vegas Odds

	CLE ML	OKL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+125	-145	233.0	3.0/-3.0
Recent	+120	-140	232.5	3.0/-3.0
Difference	-5	+5	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

9W-1L

AWAY

33W-22L

45.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

9W-1L

HOME

45W-9L

54.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/08/25	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	27	43	20	122	Over
01/08/25	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	25	37	41	26	129	Over
11/08/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	29	28	30	33	120	Over
11/08/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	36	34	29	29	128	Over
10/27/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	31	21	27	29	108	Under
10/27/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	26	16	33	30	105	Under
01/27/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	25	29	24	22	100	Under
01/27/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	20	31	34	112	Under
12/10/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	24	26	30	102	Under
12/10/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	28	31	23	28	110	Under
01/22/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	23	23	19	87	Under
01/22/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	24	23	31	16	94	Under
01/15/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	24	22	37	24	107	Under
01/15/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	24	29	17	102	Under

Cavaliers Vs Over/Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Cavaliers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/14	vs IND	127-117W	49	25	14	89
01/12	@ IND	93-108L	44	24	13	83
01/09	@ TOR	132-126W	42	31	11	89
01/08	@ OKL	129-122W	40	36	15	90
01/03	vs DAL	134-122W	46	38	7	98
12/31	vs LAL	122-110W	48	32	11	93
12/30	vs GSW	113-95W	54	25	16	96
12/27	vs DEN	149-135W	38	40	10	96
12/21	@ PHI	126-99W	49	31	13	90
12/20	@ MIL	124-101W	48	30	15	91

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/14	vs PHI	118-102W	38	32	17	81
01/12	vs WAS	136-95W	56	26	13	95
01/10	vs NYK	126-101W	46	20	15	89
01/08	vs CLE	122-129L	38	35	13	90
01/03	@ NYK	117-107W	41	27	13	84
01/02	@ LAC	116-98W	35	29	9	86
12/31	@ MIN	113-105W	37	25	9	89
12/29	@ MEM	130-106W	45	35	10	103
12/28	vs CHA	106-94W	49	29	15	88
12/26	vs IND	120-114W	45	20	3	95

Starting Lineups

Cleveland Cavaliers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jarrett Allen C	36.0	37.9	32.5	100%	32.9
Darius Garland PG	36.0	39.0	37.9	100%	38.3
Donovan Mitchell SG	37.0	35.0	39.5	100%	39.9
Evan Mobley PF	39.0	45.7	38.1	100%	38.5
Dean Wade SF	16.0	15.4	16.9	67%	19.3

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	23.0	18.4	22.9	100%	23.2
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	56.0	50.7	52.2	100%	52.6
Cason Wallace SG	20.0	23.8	19.6	73%	21.0
Jalen Williams PF	42.0	40.0	41.2	100%	41.6
Jaylin Williams C GTD	29.0	17.8	14.9	3%	32.5

Cavaliers Notable Injuries

Craig Porter Jr. (PG): Avg: 4.4pts, 1.7reb, 1.9ast, 10.8 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 0.9
Tristan Thompson (C): Avg: 2.8pts, 3.0reb, 0.9ast, 9.9 minutes. Last game: 01/12/25. Impact: 1.0
JT Thor (PF): Avg: 3.0pts, 2.1reb, 0.4ast, 11.2 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 1.4
Jaylon Tyson (SG/SF): Avg: 1.8pts, 1.6reb, 0.7ast, 6.7 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 0.6

Thunder Notable Injuries

Isaiah Hartenstein (C): Avg: 8.6pts, 9.0reb, 3.0ast, 26.6 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 5.9
Alex Caruso GTD (PG/SF): Avg: 9.1pts, 3.6reb, 3.2ast, 26.8 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 3.2
Ajay Mitchell (PG): Avg: 6.5pts, 1.8reb, 1.8ast, 16.8 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 2.2
Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.2pts, 3.4reb, 1.7ast, 13.2 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 2.6
Ousmane Dieng (PF/C): Avg: 3.3pts, 1.8reb, 0.9ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 01/02/25. Impact: 1.0
Dillon Jones (PF): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.9reb, 0.7ast, 8.2 minutes. Last game: 01/02/25. Impact: 0.9
Branden Carlson (C): Avg: 1.5pts, 1.2reb, 0.3ast, 3.8 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 0.7

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jarrett Allen	CLE	Pts	13.5	15.7	+2.2	60%	50%	40%	40%	OKL	-1.1	#11
Luguentz Dort	OKL	Pts	9.5	11.1	+1.6	40%	50%	53%	53%	CLE	-1.6	#4
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	OKL	Reb	5.5	5.9	+0.4	20%	30%	40%	40%	CLE	-0.7	#3
Darius Garland	CLE	Reb	2.5	2.7	+0.2	20%	40%	40%	40%	OKL	-0.1	#16

View All Player Prop Projections

Cavaliers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#16	#28	#22	#19	5.0%
PF	#25	#26	#20	#25	6.3%
PG	#12	#3	#11	#5	-6.5%
SF	#19	#30	#25	#22	4.8%
SG	#4	#6	#11	#4	-8.0%

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#11	#27	#12	#9	-4.3%
PF	#16	#7	#3	#4	-7.7%
PG	#9	#16	#2	#2	-10.7%
SF	#1	#9	#12	#2	-13.1%
SG	#2	#17	#2	#2	-11.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

121.3

117.5

Rebounds per Game

45.6

43.4

Assists per Game

29.0

26.7

Steals per Game

7.6

11.1

Blocks per Game

4.3

4.9

Shots per Game

90.1

90.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

16.2

13.3

2-Pt Percentage per Game

57.7

57.1

3-Pt Percentage per Game

39.3

35.9

Turnovers per Game

12.5

11.5

Fouls per Game

18.1

20.2

Recent Trends

Isaac Okoro (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.3% to 10.8, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
Jaylin Williams (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.5% to 17.6, 12.6 min average previous 3 games.
Kenrich Williams (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 48.6% to 18.0, 12.1 min average previous 3 games.