Mavericks vs Hawks Game Breakdown

Get ready for some high-flying action as the Dallas Mavericks saddle up and gallop into State Farm Arena to duel with the Atlanta Hawks tonight at 08:30 PM EST! These two teams are itching to claw back up their respective conference ladders, with the Mavericks trying to lasso their way closer in the West and the Hawks flapping to rise in the East. After a series of first-round blowouts in the 2024 NBA Playoffs, we’re all set for a nail-biter, especially with the stakes sky-high and the score predictions soaring to a whopping 236.5 points. Both teams are shaking off recent tumbles, and tonight’s matchup is their chance to spread their wings and sharpen their spurs. So, will the Mavericks ride the victory trail, or will the Hawks soar to new heights? One thing’s for sure, it’s going to be a showdown that’s more thrilling than a hawk chasing a maverick in the wild skies!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 25, 2024 08:30PM EST

Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta

Vegas Odds

	DAL ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+115	-135	237.5	2.5/-2.5
Recent	+130	-150	236.5	3.0/-3.0
Difference	+15	-15	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

27W-20L

43.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

24W-22L

56.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
04/04/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	31	26	24	14	00	95	Under
04/04/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	40	28	16	00	109	Under
01/26/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	39	42	40	00	148	Over
01/26/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	31	35	36	41	00	143	Over
04/02/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	29	37	25	32	70	130	Over
04/02/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	37	33	24	29	90	132	Over
01/18/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	40	25	33	32	00	130	Over
01/18/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	37	25	35	25	00	122	Over
02/06/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	26	24	26	18	00	94	Under
02/06/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	29	25	26	23	00	103	Under
10/21/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	20	24	20	23	00	87	Under
10/21/21	Atlanta Hawks ATL	22	29	35	27	00	113	Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Hawks Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/24	vs MIA	118-123L	59	29	13	105
11/22	vs DEN	123-120W	44	24	13	91
11/19	@ NOP	132-91W	48	26	11	93
11/17	vs OKL	121-119W	53	18	16	84
11/16	@ SAS	110-93W	53	26	14	94
11/14	vs UTA	113-115L	30	25	17	85
11/12	vs GSW	117-120L	40	26	17	84
11/10	vs DEN	120-122L	42	29	10	90
11/08	@ PHX	113-114L	39	18	11	80
11/06	@ CHI	119-99W	47	33	15	93

Hawks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/22	vs CHI	122-136L	42	32	11	107
11/20	vs GSW	97-120L	65	27	17	105
11/18	vs SAC	109-108W	37	34	14	83
11/17	vs POR	110-114L	47	30	25	85
11/15	@ WAS	129-117W	55	28	16	98
11/12	vs BOS	117-116W	45	35	16	100
11/09	@ CHI	113-125L	39	31	13	89
11/08	vs DET	121-122L	44	30	17	97
11/06	@ NYK	121-116W	48	31	8	100
11/03	vs NOP	126-111W	41	29	16	88

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Quentin Grimes SG	21.0	21.3	14.8	13%	23.6
Kyrie Irving PG	46.0	37.9	38.7	100%	39.1
Dereck Lively II C	25.0	25.9	22.9	20%	24.5
Klay Thompson SF	24.0	19.9	27.4	83%	26.9
PJ Washington PF	33.0	34.0	27.8	100%	27.7

Atlanta Hawks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Clint Capela C	31.0	32.3	29.1	100%	29.4
Dyson Daniels SG	31.0	34.2	25.8	53%	32.4
Jalen Johnson PF	42.0	48.9	41.3	100%	40.9
Zaccharie Risacher SF	17.0	19.8	21.6	88%	23.7
Trae Young PG	46.0	42.0	44.8	100%	45.2

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Luka Doncic (PG): Avg: 32.1pts, 9.1reb, 9.3ast, 38.1 minutes. Last game: 11/19/24. Impact: 8.5
Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.7reb, 0.4ast, 7.1 minutes. Last game: 11/19/24. Impact: 0.9
Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.4reb, 0.6ast, 7.5 minutes. Last game: 11/16/24. Impact: 0.6
Brandon Williams (PG): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.6reb, 0.8ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 11/19/24. Impact: 0.4

Hawks Notable Injuries

Larry Nance Jr. (PF/C): Avg: 6.0pts, 4.9reb, 1.8ast, 19.4 minutes. Last game: 11/17/24. Impact: 2.7
David Roddy (PF): Avg: 6.4pts, 3.1reb, 1.2ast, 17.4 minutes. Last game: 11/20/24. Impact: 1.6
Keaton Wallace (PG): Avg: 4.5pts, 1.3reb, 1.8ast, 15.8 minutes. Last game: 11/17/24. Impact: 1.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Daniel Gafford	DAL	Pts	9.5	11.6	+2.1	100%	100%	80%	80%	ATL	-0.5	#11
Dereck Lively II	DAL	Pts	8.5	9.5	+1.0	60%	50%	53%	53%	ATL	-1.1	#9
Kyrie Irving	DAL	Reb	4.5	5.0	+0.5	40%	50%	47%	47%	ATL	+0.6	#24
Dyson Daniels	ATL	Ast	3.5	4.0	+0.5	60%	40%	33%	33%	DAL	-0.2	#15
PJ Washington	DAL	3Pt	1.5	2.2	+0.7	20%	20%	40%	40%	ATL	+0.8	#29

View All Player Prop Projections

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#7	#5	#17	#4	-9.7%
PF	#14	#7	#10	#10	-2.6%
PG	#10	#14	#15	#9	-3.2%
SF	#13	#9	#12	#7	-3.1%
SG	#12	#29	#10	#17	-1.2%

Hawks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#9	#12	#8	#11	-3.3%
PF	#11	#13	#23	#16	1.6%
PG	#28	#24	#26	#29	9.4%
SF	#29	#11	#20	#29	10.4%
SG	#26	#17	#21	#24	5.1%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.7

113.6

Rebounds per Game

45.2

44.2

Assists per Game

25.9

28.2

Steals per Game

7.5

8.6

Blocks per Game

5.7

4.9

Shots per Game

89.5

90.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.9

13.5

2-Pt Percentage per Game

57.4

53.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.1

36.4

Turnovers per Game

12.5

13.8

Fouls per Game

19.3

19.1

Recent Trends

Clint Capela (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.8% to 25.8, 19.6 min average previous 3 games.
Spencer Dinwiddie (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 71.6% to 20.5, 12.0 min average previous 3 games.
Jaden Hardy (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.3% to 13.9, 21.6 min average previous 3 games.
Keaton Wallace (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 64.4% to 21.2, 12.9 min average previous 3 games.
PJ Washington (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.1% to 33.6, 25.3 min average previous 3 games.