Mavericks vs Hornets Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 9th 2024

Get ready for a buzz of action as the high-flying Dallas Mavericks, boasting a solid 48-30 record, swoop into the Spectrum Center to sting the struggling Charlotte Hornets, who are sitting at a less-than-ideal 19-59. The showdown kicks off at 07:00 PM EST, so don’t be late! In the wild, wild West, the Mavs are breathing down the necks of the conference leaders, while over in the East, the Hornets are buzzing a whole 27 games behind the pace. The bookies have the over/under at a tantalizing 223.5, with the Mavericks tipped to clip the Hornets’ wings by a cool 10 points. The Hornets are still smarting from a narrow 118-121 defeat to OKL, while the Mavericks are riding high after a whopping 147-136 victory over HOU. So, will the Mavs continue to gallop or will the Hornets manage to inject some venom into their game? No matter what, it’s sure to be a game of “Horse vs. Hornet”, where only the strongest swarm survives!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 09, 2024 07:00PM EST

Location: Spectrum Center, Charlotte

Vegas Odds

	DAL ML	CHA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-625	+430	221.5	-10.0/10.0
Recent	-250	+185	223.5	-13.0/13.0
Difference	+375	-245	+2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

9W-1L

AWAY

22W-15L

71.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

10W-28L

28.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
11/05/23	Charlotte Hornets CHA	31	31	22	34	118	Over
11/05/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	24	33	41	124	Over
03/26/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	16	32	24	32	104	Under
03/26/23	Charlotte Hornets CHA	30	25	26	29	110	Under
03/24/23	Charlotte Hornets CHA	37	32	26	22	117	Over
03/24/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	29	32	22	109	Over
03/19/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	24	28	28	28	108	Over
03/19/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	35	26	41	27	129	Over
12/13/21	Charlotte Hornets CHA	20	23	26	27	96	Under
12/13/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	37	33	21	29	120	Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Hornets Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/07	@ HOU	147-136W	47	21	17	85
04/05	@ GSW	108-106W	41	30	17	84
04/04	@ ATL	109-95W	53	20	14	94
04/02	vs GSW	100-104L	42	27	15	89
03/31	vs HOU	125-107W	47	24	13	93
03/29	vs SAC	107-103W	42	24	10	76
03/26	vs SAC	132-96W	49	34	9	92
03/25	vs UTA	115-105W	47	31	6	92
03/21	@ UTA	113-98W	43	33	13	87
03/19	vs SAS	113-107W	40	31	9	91

Hornets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/07	@ OKL	118-121L	36	29	18	83
04/05	@ ORL	124-115W	36	29	18	72
04/03	@ POR	86-89L	36	22	9	78
04/01	@ BOS	104-118L	40	28	6	91
03/31	@ LAC	118-130L	31	32	9	88
03/29	@ GSW	97-115L	41	23	11	84
03/27	@ CLE	118-111W	38	30	15	76
03/25	vs CLE	92-115L	33	22	11	80
03/23	vs ATL	91-132L	39	25	13	84
03/19	vs ORL	92-112L	30	19	17	79

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luka Doncic SG	68.1	65.3	64.8	100%	65.2
Daniel Gafford C	33.2	23.9	27.5	73%	31.3
Kyrie Irving PG	46.1	45.9	43.1	100%	43.5
Derrick Jones Jr. SF	17.8	15.9	13.0	70%	15.1
PJ Washington PF	30.4	39.5	26.5	83%	27.1

Charlotte Hornets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Miles Bridges PF	41.6	42.5	39.0	100%	39.3
Tre Mann SG	27.5	25.0	23.1	80%	27.8
Vasilije Micic PG	27.3	33.1	23.2	57%	28.8
Brandon Miller SF	36.2	35.5	32.9	100%	33.2
Grant Williams C	32.5	34.4	25.7	30%	30.0

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Dereck Lively II (C): Avg: 8.9pts, 6.8reb, 1.1ast, 23.6 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 3.2
Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.7reb, 0.6ast, 7.2 minutes. Last game: 04/04/24. Impact: 0.4
Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.4reb, 0.5ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.6
Brandon Williams (PG): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.5reb, 0.9ast, 4.6 minutes. Last game: 04/04/24. Impact: 0.6

Hornets Notable Injuries

Leaky Black (PF): Avg: 2.3pts, 1.7reb, 0.8ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 04/03/24. Impact: 1.7
Marques Bolden (C): Avg: 2.1pts, 2.7reb, 0.0ast, 7.8 minutes. Last game: 04/05/24. Impact: 0.9
Amari Bailey (PG): Avg: 0.9pts, 0.2reb, 0.2ast, 3.9 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Luka Doncic	DAL	Pts	31.5	34.9	+3.4	40%	40%	47%	47%	CHA	-2.0	#4
Brandon Miller	CHA	Pts	18.5	20.6	+2.1	80%	70%	60%	60%	DAL	+5.0	#25
Daniel Gafford	DAL	Reb	8.5	8.8	+0.3	20%	20%	20%	20%	CHA	+1.9	#28
Tre Mann	CHA	Reb	4.5	4.6	+0.1	20%	20%	33%	33%	DAL	+0.6	#26
Kyrie Irving	DAL	Ast	4.5	5.3	+0.8	40%	50%	60%	60%	CHA	+1.0	#27
PJ Washington	DAL	Ast	1.5	2.1	+0.6	80%	60%	47%	47%	CHA	+2.2	#27
Derrick Jones Jr.	DAL	3Pt	0.5	1.1	+0.6	60%	50%	47%	47%	CHA	+0.9	#22

View All Player Prop Projections

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#3	#18	#22	#6	-7.7%
PF	#12	#8	#8	#14	-3.2%
PG	#15	#6	#2	#12	-13.0%
SF	#25	#6	#18	#18	6.2%
SG	#9	#26	#13	#14	-2.4%

Hornets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#28	#28	#1	#27	6.4%
PF	#28	#11	#30	#27	5.7%
PG	#13	#20	#28	#19	5.2%
SF	#8	#4	#27	#6	-23.8%
SG	#4	#25	#27	#18	0.1%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.5

102.9

Rebounds per Game

45.9

37.4

Assists per Game

27.5

25.2

Steals per Game

7.4

7.0

Blocks per Game

6.1

3.9

Shots per Game

88.7

83.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.8

12.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

57.4

56.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.2

33.2

Turnovers per Game

12.5

12.8

Fouls per Game

18.1

15.6

Recent Trends

Leaky Black (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.4% to 22.8, 17.4 min average previous 3 games.
Dante Exum (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.3% to 30.2, 20.7 min average previous 3 games.
Derrick Jones Jr. (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.7% to 30.0, 20.4 min average previous 3 games.
Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 47.0% to 22.7, 15.4 min average previous 3 games.