Mavericks vs Nuggets Game Breakdown

Get ready for a high-octane showdown as the Dallas Mavericks gallop into Ball Arena to face off against the Denver Nuggets in a sizzling first-round NBA Playoff clash tonight! With both teams neck-and-neck in the Western conference standings and fresh off dominating victories, this game is set to light up the scoreboard and defy the playoff trend of one-sided games. With the stakes sky-high and the over/under teasing a score fest at 226.5, fans are in for a treat at 11:00 PM EST. As the Mavericks look to lasso a win in Denver territory, and the Nuggets aim to strike gold on their home court, this matchup promises to be more than just a game—it’s a gold rush meets rodeo under the bright lights of playoff basketball!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 22, 2024 11:00PM EST

Location: Ball Arena, Denver

Vegas Odds

	DAL ML	DEN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+140	-165	229.5	4.0/-4.0
Recent	+110	-145	226.5	3.0/-3.0
Difference	-30	+20	-3.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

26W-19L

47.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

36W-10L

52.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
11/10/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	29	34	31	26	120	Over
11/10/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	35	25	37	25	122	Over
03/17/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	34	27	18	26	105	Under
03/17/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	28	26	23	107	Under
12/18/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	20	39	21	24	104	Over
12/18/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	40	30	32	130	Over
11/03/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	24	31	32	27	114	Over
11/03/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	40	30	32	23	125	Over
02/15/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	19	30	35	109	Over
02/15/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	26	35	31	26	118	Over
12/06/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	28	27	25	116	Over
12/06/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	29	28	29	115	Over
11/20/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	25	30	24	19	98	Under
11/20/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	31	18	23	97	Under
11/18/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	27	28	28	16	99	Under
11/18/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	29	44	32	22	127	Under
01/03/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	20	17	26	26	89	Under
01/03/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	24	22	23	34	103	Under
11/15/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	32	26	25	18	101	Under
11/15/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	35	14	30	32	111	Under
10/29/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	21	23	12	19	75	Under
10/29/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	25	33	19	106	Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/19	@ NOP	132-91W	48	26	11	93
11/17	vs OKL	121-119W	53	18	16	84
11/16	@ SAS	110-93W	53	26	14	94
11/14	vs UTA	113-115L	30	25	17	85
11/12	vs GSW	117-120L	40	26	17	84
11/10	vs DEN	120-122L	42	29	10	90
11/08	@ PHX	113-114L	39	18	11	80
11/06	@ CHI	119-99W	47	33	15	93
11/03	@ ORL	108-85W	53	25	18	85
10/31	@ HOU	102-108L	37	21	10	85

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/19	vs MEM	122-110W	53	29	18	100
11/17	vs MEM	90-105L	39	23	14	84
11/15	vs NOP	94-101L	38	26	7	87
11/10	@ DAL	122-120W	45	35	10	89
11/08	@ MIA	135-122W	39	37	17	81
11/06	@ OKL	124-122W	55	34	18	89
11/01	vs MIN	116-119L	46	30	13	92
10/29	vs BRO	144-139W	43	31	5	89
10/28	vs TOR	127-125W	52	29	16	96
10/26	@ LAC	104-109L	37	20	10	87

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Quentin Grimes SG	19.0	21.6	14.0	7%	23.9
Kyrie Irving PG	49.0	41.0	39.1	100%	39.5
Dereck Lively II C	24.0	21.9	22.1	13%	20.8
Klay Thompson SF	28.0	23.3	27.5	83%	27.1
PJ Washington PF	29.0	26.4	28.1	100%	28.1

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Christian Braun SG	26.0	30.9	20.0	43%	28.6
Nikola Jokic C	68.0	74.7	64.0	100%	64.4
Jamal Murray PG	40.0	40.5	37.7	100%	38.0
Michael Porter Jr. SF	34.0	35.6	31.1	100%	31.5
Peyton Watson PF	21.0	26.2	13.9	20%	26.2

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Luka Doncic (PG): Avg: 32.1pts, 9.1reb, 9.3ast, 38.1 minutes. Last game: 11/19/24. Impact: 8.5
Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.7reb, 0.4ast, 7.1 minutes. Last game: 11/19/24. Impact: 0.9
Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.4reb, 0.6ast, 7.5 minutes. Last game: 11/16/24. Impact: 0.6
Brandon Williams (PG): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.6reb, 0.8ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 11/19/24. Impact: 0.4
Kessler Edwards (SG/SF): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.7reb, 0.3ast, 4.9 minutes. Last game: 11/08/24. Impact: 0.5

Nuggets Notable Injuries

DeAndre Jordan (C): Avg: 3.8pts, 4.1reb, 0.6ast, 10.8 minutes. Last game: 11/19/24. Impact: 1.3
Hunter Tyson (SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 3.8 minutes. Last game: 11/17/24. Impact: 0.5
Trey Alexander (PG/SG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 4.1 minutes. Last game: 11/19/24. Impact: 0.2
PJ Hall (C): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.4 minutes. Last game: 11/17/24. Impact: 0.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Kyrie Irving	DAL	Pts	25.5	28.0	+2.5	20%	40%	33%	33%	DEN	-3.3	#3
Nikola Jokic	DEN	Pts	27.5	30.0	+2.5	60%	60%	60%	60%	DAL	-2.1	#7

View All Player Prop Projections

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#7	#4	#18	#4	-9.9%
PF	#14	#6	#9	#9	-3.2%
PG	#10	#14	#15	#7	-3.2%
SF	#18	#17	#13	#18	2.6%
SG	#12	#29	#12	#18	-1.0%

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#18	#21	#11	#17	1.1%
PF	#10	#4	#12	#8	-3.3%
PG	#3	#10	#4	#1	-16.5%
SF	#26	#30	#26	#30	13.0%
SG	#4	#12	#26	#8	-4.0%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.0

115.1

Rebounds per Game

44.8

44.6

Assists per Game

25.9

30.1

Steals per Game

7.5

8.0

Blocks per Game

5.8

5.5

Shots per Game

89.3

89.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.1

12.3

2-Pt Percentage per Game

57.8

54.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.5

38.9

Turnovers per Game

12.4

12.0

Fouls per Game

18.9

18.1

Recent Trends

Nikola Jokic (C) is on an impressive streak, exceeding 12 assists in 5 consecutive games.
Nikola Jokic (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 37.0 pts, 18.0 reb, 15.0 ast against DAL
Russell Westbrook (PG) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 12.0 pts, 10.0 reb, 14.0 ast against MEM
Spencer Dinwiddie (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.4% to 13.9, 20.0 min average previous 3 games.