Mavericks vs Pistons: Underdogs Eye Upset in High-Stakes Showdown!
Mavericks
35W-28L
March 09, 2024
08:00PM EST
Odds: 235.0 o/u
Pistons
10W-52L
Alright, hoop-heads, buckle up! Tonight, the Dallas Mavericks (35W-28L) are riding into the Motor City, all set to take on the Detroit Pistons (10W-52L) at Little Caesars Arena. Yes, you read it right, it’s the clash of the titans and the underdogs, and the tipoff is at 08:00PM EST. The Mavs, just 3.0 games back in the Western conference, are looking to lasso this one, while the Pistons, a whopping 30.5 games back in the Eastern conference, are hoping to throw a wrench in Dallas’ plans. The over/under is looking spicy at 235.0, with the Mavericks line at -7.0, and the Pistons line at 7.0. Both teams are coming off wins, with the Pistons surprising BRO 118-112 and the Mavericks taking down MIA 114-108. So, who’s ready for some high-flying, three-point-slinging, rim-rattling action?
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 09, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Vegas Odds
DAL ML | DET ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -270 | +220 | 235.5 | -7.0/7.0 |
Recent | -235 | +195 | 235.0 | -8.0/8.0 |
Difference | +35 | -25 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
70.1% Win Probability
29.9% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/30/23 | Detroit Pistons DET | 27 | 30 | 27 | 21 | 105 | Under | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 30 | 23 | 30 | 28 | 111 | ||||
12/01/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 36 | 24 | 29 | 28 | 8 | 125 | Over | |
Detroit Pistons DET | 36 | 25 | 38 | 18 | 14 | 131 | |||
04/06/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 32 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 131 | Over | ||
Detroit Pistons DET | 34 | 24 | 28 | 27 | 113 | ||||
02/08/22 | Detroit Pistons DET | 26 | 25 | 20 | 15 | 86 | Under | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 36 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 116 |
Mavericks Vs Over/Under
Pistons Vs Over/Under
Starting Lineups
Dallas Mavericks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Luka Doncic
SG
|
72.0 | 68.5 | 67.3 | 100% | 67.6 |
27.5 | 20.6 | 26.5 | 70% | 29.6 | |
Kyrie Irving
PG
|
47.6 | 37.5 | 43.3 | 100% | 43.7 |
16.9 | 12.4 | 15.6 | 70% | 18.7 | |
27.4 | 30.9 | 25.0 | 47% | 24.9 |
Detroit Pistons | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
49.9 | 41.0 | 41.3 | 93% | 41.9 | |
38.3 | 31.6 | 34.2 | 93% | 34.6 | |
Jaden Ivey
SG
|
31.4 | 28.4 | 29.9 | 93% | 30.2 |
27.0 | 25.6 | 23.3 | 93% | 22.9 | |
30.1 | 30.3 | 21.7 | 43% | 26.6 |
Mavericks Notable Injuries
- Dereck Lively II (C): Avg: 8.8pts, 7.0reb, 1.1ast, 24.8 minutes. Last game: 03/07/24. Impact: 3.0
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.8reb, 0.6ast, 7.8 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 0.7
- Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.7reb, 0.6ast, 8.9 minutes. Last game: 02/25/24. Impact: 0.9
- AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 3.2pts, 0.9reb, 0.4ast, 7.2 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 0.7
Pistons Notable Injuries
- Quentin Grimes (SG/SF): Avg: 7.2pts, 2.0reb, 1.2ast, 20.3 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 2.6
- Tosan Evbuomwan (PF): Avg: 2.8pts, 2.7reb, 1.0ast, 15.0 minutes. Last game: 02/26/24. Impact: 1.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Cade Cunningham | DET | Pts | 22.5 | 26.3 | +3.8 | 60% | 60% | 47% | 47% | DAL | +2.0 | #26 |
Luka Doncic | DAL | Pts | 34.5 | 37.5 | +3.0 | 80% | 60% | 60% | 60% | DET | -0.2 | #16 |
Jalen Duren | DET | Reb | 10.5 | 12.8 | +2.3 | 20% | 40% | 53% | 53% | DAL | -2.0 | #6 |
Ausar Thompson | DET | Reb | 6.5 | 8.0 | +1.5 | 60% | 50% | 53% | 53% | DAL | +1.0 | #22 |
Kyrie Irving | DAL | Ast | 4.5 | 5.5 | +1.0 | 0% | 10% | 33% | 33% | DET | -0.2 | #14 |
Daniel Gafford | DAL | Ast | 0.5 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 40% | 50% | 53% | 53% | DET | +0.1 | #19 |
Mavericks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #30 | #6 | #23 | #24 | 8.0% |
PF | #15 | #18 | #12 | #14 | -2.0% |
PG | #17 | #11 | #30 | #24 | 4.3% |
SF | #2 | #22 | #14 | #9 | -6.7% |
SG | #26 | #25 | #20 | #26 | 6.6% |
Pistons Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #17 | #21 | #19 | #22 | 6.8% |
PF | #25 | #19 | #20 | #27 | 9.1% |
PG | #12 | #17 | #14 | #15 | -0.3% |
SF | #17 | #4 | #18 | #11 | -3.7% |
SG | #16 | #1 | #14 | #15 | -3.1% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Luka Doncic (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 4 consecutive games.
- Luka Doncic (PG) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 35.0 pts, 11.0 reb, 11.0 ast against MIA
- Evan Fournier (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.2% to 17.9, 13.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Daniel Gafford (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 47.6% to 18.4, 12.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Quentin Grimes (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 33.6% to 17.4, 26.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Tim Hardaway Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.5% to 16.1, 23.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Derrick Jones Jr. (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 59.0% to 16.5, 10.4 min average previous 3 games. The Mavericks have a 1-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 1-game winning streak. The Pistons have a 1-game winning streak at home. Overall, they are on a 1-game winning streak.
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