Mavericks vs Pistons: Underdogs Eye Upset in High-Stakes Showdown!

thefield
Dallas Mavericks

Mavericks

35W-28L

Dallas Mavericks

March 09, 2024

08:00PM EST

Odds: 235.0 o/u

Pistons

10W-52L

Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons

Alright, hoop-heads, buckle up! Tonight, the Dallas Mavericks (35W-28L) are riding into the Motor City, all set to take on the Detroit Pistons (10W-52L) at Little Caesars Arena. Yes, you read it right, it’s the clash of the titans and the underdogs, and the tipoff is at 08:00PM EST. The Mavs, just 3.0 games back in the Western conference, are looking to lasso this one, while the Pistons, a whopping 30.5 games back in the Eastern conference, are hoping to throw a wrench in Dallas’ plans. The over/under is looking spicy at 235.0, with the Mavericks line at -7.0, and the Pistons line at 7.0. Both teams are coming off wins, with the Pistons surprising BRO 118-112 and the Mavericks taking down MIA 114-108. So, who’s ready for some high-flying, three-point-slinging, rim-rattling action?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 09, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Vegas Odds

DAL ML DET ML Over/Under Line
Open -270 +220 235.5 -7.0/7.0
Recent -235 +195 235.0 -8.0/8.0
Difference +35 -25 -0.5

Team Performance

dal Team Logo
LAST 10
5W-5L
AWAY
15W-13L

70.1% Win Probability

det Team Logo
LAST 10
2W-8L
HOME
5W-25L

29.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Final O/U ATS
01/30/23 Detroit Pistons DET 27 30 27 21 105 Under
Dallas Mavericks DAL 30 23 30 28 111
12/01/22 Dallas Mavericks DAL 36 24 29 28 8 125 Over
Detroit Pistons DET 36 25 38 18 14 131
04/06/22 Dallas Mavericks DAL 32 33 34 32 131 Over
Detroit Pistons DET 34 24 28 27 113
02/08/22 Detroit Pistons DET 26 25 20 15 86 Under
Dallas Mavericks DAL 36 29 33 18 116

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Pistons Vs Over/Under

Starting Lineups

Mavericks Notable Injuries

  • Dereck Lively II (C): Avg: 8.8pts, 7.0reb, 1.1ast, 24.8 minutes. Last game: 03/07/24. Impact: 3.0
  • Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.8reb, 0.6ast, 7.8 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 0.7
  • Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.7reb, 0.6ast, 8.9 minutes. Last game: 02/25/24. Impact: 0.9
  • AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 3.2pts, 0.9reb, 0.4ast, 7.2 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 0.7

Pistons Notable Injuries

  • Quentin Grimes (SG/SF): Avg: 7.2pts, 2.0reb, 1.2ast, 20.3 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 2.6
  • Tosan Evbuomwan (PF): Avg: 2.8pts, 2.7reb, 1.0ast, 15.0 minutes. Last game: 02/26/24. Impact: 1.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Mavericks Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #30 #6 #23 #24 8.0%
PF #15 #18 #12 #14 -2.0%
PG #17 #11 #30 #24 4.3%
SF #2 #22 #14 #9 -6.7%
SG #26 #25 #20 #26 6.6%

Pistons Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #17 #21 #19 #22 6.8%
PF #25 #19 #20 #27 9.1%
PG #12 #17 #14 #15 -0.3%
SF #17 #4 #18 #11 -3.7%
SG #16 #1 #14 #15 -3.1%
Team Logo

Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points per Game
120.4
108.7
Rebounds per Game
45.1
44.0
Assists per Game
24.9
25.9
Steals per Game
7.1
7.5
Blocks per Game
6.1
4.8
Shots per Game
90.8
90.3
3-Pointers Made per Game
14.1
11.6
2-Pt Percentage per Game
58.5
50.3
3-Pt Percentage per Game
37.4
35.3
Turnovers per Game
11.4
14.4
Fouls per Game
16.9
20.8

Recent Trends

  • Luka Doncic (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 4 consecutive games.
  • Luka Doncic (PG) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 35.0 pts, 11.0 reb, 11.0 ast against MIA
  • Evan Fournier (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.2% to 17.9, 13.2 min average previous 3 games.
  • Daniel Gafford (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 47.6% to 18.4, 12.5 min average previous 3 games.
  • Quentin Grimes (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 33.6% to 17.4, 26.2 min average previous 3 games.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.5% to 16.1, 23.8 min average previous 3 games.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 59.0% to 16.5, 10.4 min average previous 3 games.
  • The Mavericks have a 1-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 1-game winning streak. The Pistons have a 1-game winning streak at home. Overall, they are on a 1-game winning streak.
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