Mavericks vs Warriors Game Breakdown

Get ready for a high-stakes showdown at the Chase Center tonight as the Dallas Mavericks gallop into enemy territory to face off against the Golden State Warriors in what promises to be a sizzling start to the 2024 NBA Playoff series. With the Mavericks just a step behind in the Western conference chase and the Warriors holding their ground, this matchup is set to tip off at 09:30 PM EST, under a spotlight of high expectations and even higher stakes. Both teams are itching to rebound from narrow defeats, setting the stage for a battle that’s more than just about advancing in the playoffs. The betting lines are buzzing with a razor-thin margin, and with an over/under of 229.5, we’re expecting nothing short of a scoreboard bonanza. So, as the Mavericks try to lasso a victory and the Warriors aim to strike gold, tonight’s game is shaping up to be an epic clash of hoops and dreams!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 15, 2024 09:30PM EST

Location: Chase Center, Golden State

Vegas Odds

	DAL ML	GSW ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-120	+100	234.0	-1.0/1.0
Recent	-150	+130	229.5	-3.0/3.0
Difference	-30	+30	-4.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

32W-21L

60.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

26W-23L

40.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
11/12/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	36	26	28	117	Over
11/12/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	33	26	37	24	120	Over
04/05/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	32	22	22	30	106	Under
04/05/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	21	27	29	108	Under
03/13/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	15	28	29	99	Under
03/13/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	21	28	33	109	Under
04/02/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	22	25	26	100	Under
04/02/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	28	21	31	24	104	Under
12/30/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	29	38	31	132	Over
12/30/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	26	28	35	33	122	Over
03/22/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	30	35	31	31	127	Over
03/22/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	33	30	30	32	125	Over
02/04/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	35	28	27	113	Over
02/04/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	40	33	29	17	119	Over
11/29/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	24	30	33	26	113	Under
11/29/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	19	37	24	116	Under
03/03/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	27	37	22	113	Over
03/03/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	38	30	31	23	122	Over
02/27/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	24	24	26	33	107	Under
02/27/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	37	23	28	13	101	Under
01/25/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	20	31	27	14	92	Under
01/25/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	34	34	33	130	Under
01/05/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	21	18	28	15	82	Under
01/05/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	21	29	20	29	99	Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/10	vs OKL	104-118L	44	25	18	80
12/07	vs TOR	125-118W	52	21	18	81
12/05	vs WAS	137-101W	58	27	15	89
12/03	@ MEM	121-116W	49	24	25	81
12/01	vs POR	137-131W	33	33	13	87
11/30	vs UTA	106-94W	48	30	15	90
11/25	vs ATL	129-119W	51	24	17	94
11/24	vs MIA	118-123L	59	29	13	105
11/22	vs DEN	123-120W	44	24	13	91
11/19	@ NOP	132-91W	48	26	11	93

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/11	vs HOU	90-91L	39	22	15	84
12/08	@ MIN	114-106W	45	28	11	90
12/06	@ MIN	90-107L	41	21	22	82
12/05	@ HOU	99-93W	54	19	10	86
12/03	vs DEN	115-119L	48	36	14	95
11/30	vs PHX	105-113L	43	28	9	92
11/25	@ BRO	120-128L	43	32	12	93
11/23	vs SAS	94-104L	49	29	10	95
11/22	vs NOP	112-108W	52	27	16	87
11/20	@ ATL	120-97W	54	36	15	101

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luka Doncic PG	54.0	61.8	55.6	100%	55.9
Kyrie Irving SG	40.0	40.5	38.8	100%	39.1
Dereck Lively II C	30.0	27.8	24.2	40%	25.0
Klay Thompson SF	22.0	23.1	25.6	100%	25.2
PJ Washington PF	30.0	32.0	29.5	100%	29.5

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Stephen Curry PG	46.0	41.4	42.8	100%	43.2
Draymond Green C	34.0	27.2	28.0	100%	27.2
Buddy Hield SG	26.0	21.6	19.5	13%	31.9
Jonathan Kuminga PF	35.0	34.6	27.3	57%	29.4
Andrew Wiggins SF	31.0	28.5	29.4	100%	29.7

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Naji Marshall (SF/PF): Avg: 7.9pts, 3.5reb, 2.0ast, 20.2 minutes. Last game: 12/10/24. Impact: 3.9
Maxi Kleber (PF/C): Avg: 4.0pts, 3.2reb, 1.4ast, 19.3 minutes. Last game: 12/05/24. Impact: 1.3
Jaden Hardy (PG/SG): Avg: 6.8pts, 1.5reb, 1.4ast, 12.7 minutes. Last game: 12/05/24. Impact: 2.4
Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.4reb, 0.5ast, 7.5 minutes. Last game: 12/05/24. Impact: 0.7
Jazian Gortman (PG): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.2reb, 0.0ast, 2.3 minutes. Last game: 12/10/24. Impact: 0.3

Warriors Notable Injuries

Moses Moody (PG/SG): Avg: 7.9pts, 2.7reb, 0.8ast, 17.0 minutes. Last game: 12/08/24. Impact: 1.7
Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.9pts, 0.3reb, 1.0ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 12/11/24. Impact: 0.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Dereck Lively II	DAL	Pts	7.5	11.1	+3.6	20%	40%	40%	40%	GSW	+0.5	#18
Stephen Curry	GSW	Pts	24.5	26.5	+2.0	20%	30%	40%	40%	DAL	-0.9	#10
Spencer Dinwiddie	DAL	Reb	1.5	1.8	+0.3	60%	80%	60%	60%	GSW	-0.0	#13
PJ Washington	DAL	Ast	1.5	2.0	+0.5	60%	60%	67%	67%	GSW	-0.1	#12

View All Player Prop Projections

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#3	#13	#4	-8.6%
PF	#8	#9	#9	#8	-3.6%
PG	#10	#8	#8	#9	-5.1%
SF	#12	#13	#17	#12	-2.0%
SG	#8	#28	#16	#12	-1.8%

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#18	#20	#23	#18	2.6%
PF	#18	#7	#5	#13	-0.9%
PG	#2	#13	#3	#2	-14.3%
SF	#8	#21	#12	#10	-2.6%
SG	#5	#22	#26	#16	-0.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.5

113.4

Rebounds per Game

46.1

47.5

Assists per Game

25.9

29.6

Steals per Game

8.2

8.8

Blocks per Game

5.9

5.5

Shots per Game

88.6

90.7

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.9

15.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.1

54.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.3

38.0

Turnovers per Game

13.7

13.9

Fouls per Game

19.3

19.7

Recent Trends

Jaden Hardy (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 43.3% to 10.9, 19.2 min average previous 3 games.
De’Anthony Melton (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.1% to 23.7, 16.7 min average previous 3 games.
Gary Payton II (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.2% to 20.7, 14.9 min average previous 3 games.