Mavericks vs Rockets Game Breakdown

Strap in, sports fans! Tonight’s NBA playoff face-off is set to ignite as the Dallas Mavericks gallop into the Toyota Center, ready to duel with the Houston Rockets. With both teams looking to bounce back from recent stumbles and climb the Western conference ladder, this 9 PM EST showdown promises high stakes and even higher excitement. With the Mavericks chasing closely behind and the Rockets aiming to solidify their lead, the betting lines are buzzing, and the scoreboard is set for a sizzling 222-point over/under. So, as the Mavericks try to lasso a win and the Rockets prepare for liftoff, who will rocket to victory and who will just be seeing stars?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 01, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: Toyota Center, Houston

Vegas Odds

	DAL ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+180	-220	221.5	5.5/-5.5
Recent	+120	-160	222.0	5.0/-5.0
Difference	-60	+60	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

34W-23L

45.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

36W-18L

54.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
10/31/24	Houston Rockets HOU	34	23	31	20	00	108	Under
10/31/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	21	23	28	30	00	102	Under
04/07/24	Houston Rockets HOU	42	29	35	23	70	136	Over
04/07/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	39	32	31	180	147	Over
03/31/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	30	25	34	00	125	Over
03/31/24	Houston Rockets HOU	24	21	28	34	00	107	Over
12/22/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	17	22	21	36	00	96	Under
12/22/23	Houston Rockets HOU	23	33	33	33	00	122	Under
11/28/23	Houston Rockets HOU	22	28	38	27	00	115	Over
11/28/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	29	25	30	37	00	121	Over
01/02/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	18	26	39	28	00	111	Under
01/02/23	Houston Rockets HOU	26	29	32	19	00	106	Under
12/29/22	Houston Rockets HOU	30	21	28	35	00	114	Over
12/29/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	29	34	30	00	129	Over
12/23/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	31	20	31	00	112	Under
12/23/22	Houston Rockets HOU	24	26	34	22	00	106	Under
11/16/22	Houston Rockets HOU	31	26	19	25	00	101	Under
11/16/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	23	23	18	00	92	Under
03/23/22	Houston Rockets HOU	21	32	19	19	00	91	Under
03/23/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	27	30	28	00	110	Under
03/11/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	36	29	17	00	113	Under
03/11/22	Houston Rockets HOU	23	21	28	28	00	100	Under
01/07/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	43	37	30	20	00	130	Over
01/07/22	Houston Rockets HOU	23	37	26	20	00	106	Over
10/26/21	Houston Rockets HOU	31	29	28	18	00	106	Push
10/26/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	30	34	25	00	116	Push

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Rockets Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/30	vs SAC	100-110L	36	17	17	76
12/28	vs POR	122-126L	40	20	13	89
12/27	vs PHX	98-89W	41	24	15	80
12/25	@ MIN	99-105L	43	15	12	87
12/21	@ LAC	113-97W	43	25	11	88
12/19	@ LAC	95-118L	40	21	13	86
12/15	vs GSW	143-133W	47	36	15	87
12/10	vs OKL	104-118L	44	25	18	80
12/07	vs TOR	125-118W	52	21	18	81
12/05	vs WAS	137-101W	58	27	15	89

Rockets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/29	@ MIA	100-104L	52	24	12	97
12/27	@ MIN	112-113L	48	19	14	92
12/26	vs NOP	128-111W	54	19	15	97
12/22	vs TOR	114-110W	53	18	21	89
12/19	@ NOP	133-113W	42	34	11	87
12/14	vs OKL	96-111L	49	17	16	96
12/11	@ GSW	91-90W	36	23	16	83
12/08	vs LAC	117-106W	50	23	15	82
12/05	vs GSW	93-99L	45	20	8	93
12/03	vs SAC	111-120L	53	14	15	93

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Spencer Dinwiddie PG	32.0	30.0	18.0	13%	38.3
Kyrie Irving SG	42.0	41.8	40.6	100%	40.9
Dereck Lively II C	29.0	30.3	26.0	53%	26.3
Klay Thompson SF	29.0	27.2	26.2	100%	26.6
PJ Washington PF	33.0	26.5	28.6	100%	28.7

Houston Rockets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dillon Brooks SG	27.0	32.2	24.6	100%	24.9
Jalen Green SF	31.0	35.3	30.7	100%	31.2
Alperen Sengun C	46.0	46.3	42.5	100%	42.8
Jabari Smith Jr. PF	27.0	22.6	24.0	100%	24.4
Fred VanVleet PG	39.0	37.2	36.9	100%	37.2

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Luka Doncic (PG): Avg: 31.8pts, 9.1reb, 9.3ast, 37.8 minutes. Last game: 12/25/24. Impact: 9.4
Naji Marshall (SF/PF): Avg: 7.9pts, 3.5reb, 1.9ast, 20.1 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 3.2
Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.3reb, 0.5ast, 7.4 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 0.6
Brandon Williams (PG/SG): Avg: 2.2pts, 0.6reb, 0.8ast, 5.6 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 0.7
Kessler Edwards (SF/PF): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.7reb, 0.2ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 0.1
Jazian Gortman (PG): Avg: 1.4pts, 0.4reb, 0.4ast, 3.4 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 0.5

Rockets Notable Injuries

Amen Thompson (SG/SF): Avg: 10.1pts, 6.6reb, 2.4ast, 23.6 minutes. Last game: 12/29/24. Impact: 4.6
Jeff Green (PF/C): Avg: 6.3pts, 2.2reb, 0.9ast, 15.9 minutes. Last game: 12/26/24. Impact: 1.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Dereck Lively II	DAL	Pts	7.5	10.6	+3.1	60%	40%	47%	47%	HOU	-4.2	#2
Klay Thompson	DAL	Pts	14.5	17.1	+2.6	40%	50%	47%	47%	HOU	-0.7	#10
Jabari Smith Jr.	HOU	Reb	6.5	7.3	+0.8	40%	50%	60%	60%	DAL	+0.9	#25
Spencer Dinwiddie	DAL	Reb	3.5	3.6	+0.1	20%	20%	20%	20%	HOU	+0.8	#26
Fred VanVleet	HOU	Ast	6.5	7.6	+1.1	40%	40%	40%	40%	DAL	-0.5	#10
PJ Washington	DAL	Ast	1.5	2.2	+0.7	40%	50%	47%	47%	HOU	-1.1	#1

View All Player Prop Projections

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#15	#20	#29	#21	3.6%
PF	#12	#25	#26	#19	2.3%
PG	#10	#6	#10	#10	-2.7%
SF	#15	#9	#21	#15	0.6%
SG	#17	#20	#15	#15	-0.9%

Rockets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#2	#27	#1	#5	-9.3%
PF	#8	#1	#11	#3	-11.8%
PG	#18	#26	#8	#23	3.9%
SF	#2	#27	#1	#4	-10.9%
SG	#10	#14	#7	#11	-4.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.9

112.9

Rebounds per Game

45.3

49.9

Assists per Game

24.8

22.7

Steals per Game

8.5

8.8

Blocks per Game

6.2

5.7

Shots per Game

87.2

93.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.2

11.7

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.9

52.4

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.6

32.9

Turnovers per Game

14.9

13.3

Fouls per Game

18.4

19.5

Recent Trends

Daniel Gafford (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 85.0% to 28.2, 15.3 min average previous 3 games.
Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 67.9% to 29.4, 17.5 min average previous 3 games.
Amen Thompson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.1% to 33.8, 25.6 min average previous 3 games.