Mavericks vs Heat Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 10th 2024

Hold onto your cowboy hats folks, because the Dallas Mavericks are saddling up and heading to the Sunshine State for a showdown at the Kaseya Center against the Miami Heat. The Mavs are packing a 49W-30L record and are nipping at the heels of the Western conference leaders, while the Heat, although a tad cooler at 44W-35L, are only a couple of games back in the East. Tipoff’s at 07:30PM EST and the bookies have crunched the numbers, setting the over/under at 213.5, and marking the Mavericks as 5-point favorites. Both teams are riding high on recent wins, with the Heat scorching ATL 117-111 and the Mavericks lassoing a 130-104 victory against CHA. So, buckle up for a game that’s sure to have more heat than a Texas BBQ and more tricks than a rodeo show. After all, when the Mavericks take on the Heat, it’s not just about the score, it’s about who can handle the sizzle!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 10, 2024 07:30PM EST

Location: Kaseya Center, Miami

Vegas Odds

Team Performance

LAST 10

9W-1L

AWAY

23W-15L

59.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

20W-18L

40.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U	ATS
03/07/24	Miami Heat MIA	36	22	25	25		108	Over
	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	26	37	23		114
04/01/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	33	32	26		122	Over
	Miami Heat MIA	44	32	26	27		129
01/20/23	Miami Heat MIA	19	32	16	23		90	Under
	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	29	32	23		115
02/15/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	28	30	26		107	Under
	Miami Heat MIA	28	31	19	21		99
11/02/21	Miami Heat MIA	24	46	29	26		125	Over
	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	32	26	22		110

Starting Lineups

Mavericks Notable Injuries

• Dereck Lively II (C): Avg: 8.9pts, 6.8reb, 1.1ast, 23.6 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 3.2
• Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.7reb, 0.6ast, 7.1 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.4
• Brandon Williams (PG): Avg: 1.9pts, 0.5reb, 0.9ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.5

Heat Notable Injuries

• Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): Avg: 12.7pts, 2.5reb, 2.8ast, 27.6 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 2.8
• Thomas Bryant (C): Avg: 5.2pts, 3.4reb, 0.6ast, 11.0 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 3.0
• Patty Mills (PG/SG): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.1reb, 1.1ast, 13.2 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 2.1
• Jamal Cain (SF): Avg: 4.2pts, 1.6reb, 0.4ast, 11.1 minutes. Last game: 04/05/24. Impact: 0.9
• Orlando Robinson (C): Avg: 2.6pts, 2.3reb, 1.0ast, 8.2 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.7
• Cole Swider (PF): Avg: 2.8pts, 0.5reb, 0.3ast, 5.5 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.6
• Alondes Williams (PG): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.2reb, 0.0ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Recent Trends

• Luka Doncic (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
• Luka Doncic (PG) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 39.0 pts, 12.0 reb, 10.0 ast against CHA
• Dante Exum (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 43.4% to 29.5, 20.6 min average previous 3 games.
• Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.9% to 23.6, 17.4 min average previous 3 games.
• Caleb Martin (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.6% to 30.8, 21.3 min average previous 3 games.
• Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.4% to 17.5, 27.1 min average previous 3 games.
Overall, they are on a 4-game winning streak.