Mavericks vs Heat Game Breakdown

Get ready to turn up the heat and charge up your fantasy lineups as the Dallas Mavericks gallop into the Kaseya Center to face off against the Miami Heat in a sizzling first-round NBA Playoff clash tonight! With both teams looking to fan the flames of victory after their recent wins, and the stakes high in the conference rankings, this showdown is set to be anything but lukewarm. The clock’s ticking down to a 07:00 PM EST tipoff, and with the betting lines drawing a narrow path between victory and defeat, every play will count. Will the Mavericks ride their momentum to corral the Heat, or will Miami turn up the temperature and cook up a storm on their home court? It’s time to find out if the Heat can handle the sizzle or if the Mavericks will be left out in the cold!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 24, 2024 07:00PM EST

Location: Kaseya Center, Miami

Vegas Odds

	DAL ML	MIA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+120	-140	222.5	2.5/-2.5
Recent	+115	-135	221.5	3.0/-3.0
Difference	-5	+5	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

27W-19L

46.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

23W-21L

53.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
04/10/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	33	36	19	23	111	Under
04/10/24	Miami Heat MIA	24	23	27	18	92	Under
03/07/24	Miami Heat MIA	36	22	25	25	108	Over
03/07/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	26	37	23	114	Over
04/01/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	33	32	26	122	Over
04/01/23	Miami Heat MIA	44	32	26	27	129	Over
01/20/23	Miami Heat MIA	19	32	16	23	90	Under
01/20/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	29	32	23	115	Under
02/15/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	28	30	26	107	Under
02/15/22	Miami Heat MIA	28	31	19	21	99	Under
11/02/21	Miami Heat MIA	24	46	29	26	125	Over
11/02/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	32	26	22	110	Over

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/22	vs DEN	123-120W	44	24	13	91
11/19	@ NOP	132-91W	48	26	11	93
11/17	vs OKL	121-119W	53	18	16	84
11/16	@ SAS	110-93W	53	26	14	94
11/14	vs UTA	113-115L	30	25	17	85
11/12	vs GSW	117-120L	40	26	17	84
11/10	vs DEN	120-122L	42	29	10	90
11/08	@ PHX	113-114L	39	18	11	80
11/06	@ CHI	119-99W	47	33	15	93
11/03	@ ORL	108-85W	53	25	18	85

Heat Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/18	@ PHI	106-89W	53	26	13	87
11/17	vs IND	110-119L	38	21	10	90
11/15	vs IND	124-111W	36	27	10	87
11/12	vs DET	121-123L	43	25	10	101
11/10	vs MIN	95-94W	43	18	22	77
11/08	vs DEN	122-135L	33	33	11	94
11/06	vs PHX	112-115L	43	27	10	92
10/30	@ NYK	107-116L	39	27	10	81
10/28	@ DET	106-98W	44	24	9	88
10/26	vs CHA	114-106W	43	33	13	86

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Quentin Grimes SG	23.0	23.8	14.4	10%	25.4
Kyrie Irving PG	48.0	36.0	39.0	100%	39.4
Dereck Lively II C	24.0	21.4	22.3	17%	21.4
Klay Thompson SF	24.0	19.0	26.9	83%	26.3
PJ Washington PF	31.0	29.1	27.7	100%	27.6

Miami Heat	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bam Adebayo C	48.0	41.5	38.1	100%	38.6
Jimmy Butler SF	38.0	32.4	35.9	100%	36.2
Tyler Herro PG	40.0	42.5	36.0	93%	36.8
Haywood Highsmith PF	19.0	17.1	17.5	23%	16.3
Duncan Robinson SG	19.0	23.6	16.5	50%	20.0

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Luka Doncic (PG): Avg: 32.1pts, 9.1reb, 9.3ast, 38.1 minutes. Last game: 11/19/24. Impact: 8.5
Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.7reb, 0.4ast, 7.1 minutes. Last game: 11/19/24. Impact: 0.9
Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.4reb, 0.6ast, 7.5 minutes. Last game: 11/16/24. Impact: 0.6
Brandon Williams (PG): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.6reb, 0.8ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 11/19/24. Impact: 0.4

Heat Notable Injuries

Alec Burks (PG/SG): Avg: 10.6pts, 2.4reb, 1.3ast, 18.5 minutes. Last game: 11/18/24. Impact: 2.9
Dru Smith (PG): Avg: 4.2pts, 2.2reb, 1.6ast, 15.0 minutes. Last game: 11/18/24. Impact: 2.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Bam Adebayo	MIA	Pts	16.5	21.8	+5.3	60%	40%	53%	53%	DAL	-0.3	#15
Tyler Herro	MIA	Pts	19.5	22.5	+3.0	80%	80%	60%	60%	DAL	-0.8	#12
Kyrie Irving	DAL	Reb	4.5	5.2	+0.7	40%	60%	47%	47%	MIA	-0.6	#5

View All Player Prop Projections

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#7	#7	#17	#4	-8.8%
PF	#15	#4	#10	#9	-3.1%
PG	#12	#15	#16	#15	-1.3%
SF	#16	#11	#18	#14	0.0%
SG	#12	#29	#10	#14	-1.7%

Heat Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#6	#9	#18	#6	-8.6%
PF	#12	#26	#4	#10	-2.9%
PG	#5	#5	#29	#12	-1.7%
SF	#30	#6	#3	#24	5.5%
SG	#2	#20	#15	#4	-5.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.1

109.2

Rebounds per Game

45.0

42.2

Assists per Game

26.0

25.6

Steals per Game

7.5

8.5

Blocks per Game

5.7

3.5

Shots per Game

89.3

86.6

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.0

13.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

57.8

52.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.4

36.8

Turnovers per Game

12.6

10.7

Fouls per Game

19.2

16.3

Recent Trends

Alec Burks (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 43.7% to 14.4, 25.7 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Christopher (PG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.7% to 22.7, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
Nikola Jovic (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 51.1% to 22.9, 15.2 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Richardson (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.4% to 21.2, 16.2 min average previous 3 games.