Mavericks vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the Target Center tonight as the Dallas Mavericks, boasting a solid 9-4 record, saddle up to duel the Minnesota Timberwolves, who are hot on their heels at 8-4, in what promises to be a nail-biter of a playoff game. After a series of first-round blowouts, the stakes and tensions are sky-high, with both teams locked identically in their conference standings and hungry for a win. The Mavericks are itching to rebound from a recent stumble, while the Timberwolves look to keep their winning momentum going. With the over/under tantalizingly set at 208 and the lines drawing a battleground at Mavericks +5 and Timberwolves -5, tonight’s clash is not just a game—it’s a showdown of strategic prowess and raw power. So, as the clock ticks down to the 8:30 PM EST tipoff, let’s see if the Mavericks can lasso the Wolves in their own den!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 24, 2024 08:30PM EST

Location: Target Center, Minnesota

Vegas Odds

	DAL ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+135	-180	207.0	5.0/-5.0
Recent	+200	-240	208.0	6.0/-6.0
Difference	+65	-60	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

24W-15L

33.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

29W-10L

66.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
05/22/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	32	23	26	108	Over
05/22/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	33	29	21	22	105	Over
01/31/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	21	27	22	17	87	Push
01/31/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	24	28	31	38	121	Push
01/07/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	27	26	26	108	Over
01/07/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	30	31	24	115	Over
12/28/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	30	35	19	110	Over
12/28/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	37	24	37	20	118	Over
12/14/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	26	33	28	32	119	Over
12/14/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	30	22	19	101	Over
02/13/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	33	32	35	24	124	Over
02/13/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	31	28	39	121	Over
12/21/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	29	22	24	29	104	Under
12/21/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	31	21	22	25	99	Under
12/19/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	14	30	32	106	Over
12/19/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	21	36	37	22	116	Over
03/25/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	22	28	17	28	95	Over
03/25/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	26	35	28	27	116	Over
03/21/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	25	27	27	108	Over
03/21/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	37	26	24	110	Over
12/21/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	35	15	28	24	102	Over
12/21/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	27	27	26	114	Over
12/19/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	25	38	17	105	Over
12/19/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	27	29	30	25	111	Over

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ DET	89-107L	49	20	20	83
04/10	vs MIA	111-92W	39	27	7	87
04/09	vs CHA	130-104W	55	35	14	93
04/07	@ HOU	147-136W	47	21	17	85
04/05	@ GSW	108-106W	41	30	17	84
04/04	@ ATL	109-95W	53	20	14	94
04/02	vs GSW	100-104L	42	27	15	89
03/31	vs HOU	125-107W	47	24	13	93
03/29	vs SAC	107-103W	42	24	10	76
03/26	vs SAC	132-96W	49	34	9	92

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ ATL	109-106W	44	29	14	79
04/10	vs DEN	107-116L	35	23	9	82
04/09	@ WAS	130-121W	44	30	8	90
04/07	vs LAL	127-117W	46	29	14	97
04/05	vs PHX	87-97L	44	23	18	85
04/03	@ TOR	133-85W	50	37	9	96
04/02	@ HOU	113-106W	39	29	17	77
03/31	@ CHI	101-109L	37	28	13	81
03/29	vs DEN	111-98W	39	28	7	75
03/27	@ DET	106-91W	40	28	12	82

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luka Doncic SG	63.0	56.9	59.8	100%	60.1
Daniel Gafford C	25.0	22.2	25.0	100%	25.3
Kyrie Irving PG	42.0	32.0	41.4	100%	41.8
Derrick Jones Jr. SF	21.0	24.2	16.9	100%	17.3
PJ Washington PF	30.0	30.7	27.9	100%	28.3

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	30.0	28.1	28.2	100%	28.6
Anthony Edwards SG	56.0	47.6	46.3	100%	46.6
Rudy Gobert C	39.0	32.4	36.2	100%	36.5
Jaden McDaniels SF	25.0	30.2	22.5	100%	22.9
Karl-Anthony Towns PF	44.0	36.9	36.6	100%	35.7

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 2.9pts, 3.1reb, 1.2ast, 12.1 minutes. Last game: 05/15/24. Impact: 0.6
AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 2.4pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 05/15/24. Impact: 0.5

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Jordan McLaughlin (PG/SG): Avg: 3.3pts, 1.3reb, 1.9ast, 10.9 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 1.1
T.J. Warren (SF/PF): Avg: 2.9pts, 1.8reb, 0.7ast, 9.7 minutes. Last game: 05/10/24. Impact: 0.9
Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 1.0
Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.6reb, 0.3ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 0.6
Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.3ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 0.3

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Anthony Edwards	MIN	Pts	26.5	31.9	+5.4	40%	60%	53%	53%	DAL	-0.2	#16
Luka Doncic	DAL	Pts	28.5	31.9	+3.4	60%	60%	67%	67%	MIN	-1.9	#4
Daniel Gafford	DAL	Reb	5.5	6.6	+1.1	80%	70%	47%	47%	MIN	+0.5	#22
Rudy Gobert	MIN	Reb	12.5	13.3	+0.8	40%	40%	60%	60%	DAL	-1.5	#2
Tim Hardaway Jr.	DAL	Ast	0.5	0.6	+0.1	40%	50%	60%	60%	MIN	-0.6	#6

View All Player Prop Projections

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#2	#10	#5	-11.1%
PF	#13	#3	#11	#10	-4.0%
PG	#26	#4	#30	#26	11.5%
SF	#15	#23	#25	#23	8.4%
SG	#16	#29	#9	#15	0.4%

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#27	#22	#28	#25	7.2%
PF	#2	#4	#2	#1	-14.4%
PG	#1	#30	#9	#7	-12.1%
SF	#11	#13	#1	#7	-10.8%
SG	#4	#7	#6	#2	-10.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

117.2

111.3

Rebounds per Game

44.7

43.0

Assists per Game

26.2

27.4

Steals per Game

7.3

8.7

Blocks per Game

6.1

6.6

Shots per Game

89.4

86.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.8

13.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

58.4

53.8

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.5

37.7

Turnovers per Game

12.2

11.6

Fouls per Game

17.1

17.4

Recent Trends

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.0% to 16.7, 29.8 min average previous 3 games.
Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.4% to 15.3, 23.4 min average previous 3 games.