Mavericks vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying face-off as the Dallas Mavericks gallop into the Target Center, ready to lock horns with the Minnesota Timberwolves in what promises to be a thrilling first-round NBA playoff game. After a series of blowouts in the opening games, tonight’s clash, tipping off at 8:30 PM EST, is set to dial up the intensity. Both teams are neck and neck in the Western Conference, making every play, every shot, and every decision critical. With the Mavericks looking to rebound from a recent stumble and the Timberwolves riding the momentum of a narrow victory, the stakes are sky-high. The betting lines are buzzing, the fans are on the edge of their seats, and the over/under hints at a showdown that could swing either way. So, as the Mavericks aim to lasso victory from the jaws of defeat, it’s the Timberwolves who will be howling to defend their turf. Tonight, we find out who truly leads the pack!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 30, 2024 08:30PM EST

Location: Target Center, Minnesota

Vegas Odds

	DAL ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+115	-150	209.5	4.0/-4.0
Recent	+155	-180	210.5	4.5/-4.5
Difference	+40	-30	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

24W-15L

39.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

29W-10L

60.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
05/28/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	27	22	29	27	105	Under
05/28/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	20	29	24	27	100	Under
05/26/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	28	24	35	20	107	Over
05/26/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	33	27	27	29	116	Over
05/24/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	22	31	30	109	Over
05/24/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	28	26	22	108	Over
05/22/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	32	23	26	108	Over
05/22/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	33	29	21	22	105	Over
01/31/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	21	27	22	17	87	Under
01/31/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	24	28	31	38	121	Under
01/07/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	27	26	26	108	Over
01/07/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	30	31	24	115	Over
12/28/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	30	35	19	110	Over
12/28/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	37	24	37	20	118	Over
12/14/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	26	33	28	32	119	Over
12/14/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	30	22	19	101	Over
02/13/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	33	32	35	24	124	Over
02/13/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	31	28	39	121	Over
12/21/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	29	22	24	29	104	Under
12/21/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	31	21	22	25	99	Under
12/19/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	14	30	32	106	Over
12/19/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	21	36	37	22	116	Over
03/25/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	22	28	17	28	95	Over
03/25/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	26	35	28	27	116	Over
03/21/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	25	27	27	108	Over
03/21/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	37	26	24	110	Over
12/21/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	35	15	28	24	102	Over
12/21/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	27	27	26	114	Over
12/19/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	25	38	17	105	Over
12/19/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	27	29	30	25	111	Over

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ DET	89-107L	49	20	20	83
04/10	vs MIA	111-92W	39	27	7	87
04/09	vs CHA	130-104W	55	35	14	93
04/07	@ HOU	147-136W	47	21	17	85
04/05	@ GSW	108-106W	41	30	17	84
04/04	@ ATL	109-95W	53	20	14	94
04/02	vs GSW	100-104L	42	27	15	89
03/31	vs HOU	125-107W	47	24	13	93
03/29	vs SAC	107-103W	42	24	10	76
03/26	vs SAC	132-96W	49	34	9	92

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ ATL	109-106W	44	29	14	79
04/10	vs DEN	107-116L	35	23	9	82
04/09	@ WAS	130-121W	44	30	8	90
04/07	vs LAL	127-117W	46	29	14	97
04/05	vs PHX	87-97L	44	23	18	85
04/03	@ TOR	133-85W	50	37	9	96
04/02	@ HOU	113-106W	39	29	17	77
03/31	@ CHI	101-109L	37	28	13	81
03/29	vs DEN	111-98W	39	28	7	75
03/27	@ DET	106-91W	40	28	12	82

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luka Doncic SG	65.0	61.8	59.5	100%	59.8
Daniel Gafford C	24.0	22.4	24.1	100%	24.5
Kyrie Irving PG	44.0	35.3	42.2	100%	42.6
Derrick Jones Jr. SF	21.0	21.9	17.3	100%	17.6
PJ Washington PF	30.0	25.2	28.0	100%	28.3

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	30.0	28.2	28.3	100%	28.8
Anthony Edwards SG	56.0	45.6	46.6	100%	46.9
Rudy Gobert C	38.0	29.0	35.9	100%	36.2
Jaden McDaniels SF	25.0	29.1	22.1	100%	22.5
Karl-Anthony Towns PF	42.0	34.9	36.2	100%	36.5

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 2.9pts, 3.1reb, 1.2ast, 12.0 minutes. Last game: 05/26/24. Impact: 0.6
AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 2.4pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 05/15/24. Impact: 0.5

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Monte Morris (PG): Avg: 4.5pts, 1.5reb, 1.8ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 05/24/24. Impact: 1.0
Jordan McLaughlin (PG/SG): Avg: 3.3pts, 1.3reb, 1.9ast, 10.9 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 1.1
Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 1.0
Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.6reb, 0.3ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 0.6
Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.3ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 0.3

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Anthony Edwards	MIN	Pts	27.5	31.8	+4.3	0%	20%	33%	33%	DAL	-0.6	#13
Kyrie Irving	DAL	Pts	22.5	25.1	+2.6	40%	30%	40%	40%	MIN	-1.3	#7
Rudy Gobert	MIN	Reb	11.5	13.0	+1.5	20%	30%	47%	47%	DAL	-1.5	#4
Karl-Anthony Towns	MIN	Reb	7.5	8.9	+1.4	60%	50%	53%	53%	DAL	+0.2	#17
Luka Doncic	DAL	Ast	8.5	9.7	+1.2	60%	60%	67%	67%	MIN	-0.5	#5
Mike Conley	MIN	Ast	5.5	6.3	+0.8	0%	50%	53%	53%	DAL	-0.4	#9
Naz Reid	MIN	3Pt	1.5	2.0	+0.5	40%	40%	47%	47%	DAL	-0.5	#9

View All Player Prop Projections

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#6	#4	#8	#3	-13.8%
PF	#11	#5	#11	#10	-3.7%
PG	#26	#11	#27	#27	14.9%
SF	#16	#17	#24	#22	5.5%
SG	#13	#28	#9	#15	-1.2%

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#26	#19	#23	#24	6.6%
PF	#1	#4	#2	#1	-16.4%
PG	#1	#30	#8	#7	-12.9%
SF	#18	#4	#1	#5	-16.4%
SG	#7	#6	#5	#1	-9.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.5

111.7

Rebounds per Game

45.2

42.7

Assists per Game

26.6

27.5

Steals per Game

7.0

8.7

Blocks per Game

6.0

6.1

Shots per Game

89.0

86.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.7

13.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

58.5

54.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.0

37.7

Turnovers per Game

12.4

11.4

Fouls per Game

17.4

17.6

Recent Trends

Luka Doncic (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.7% to 16.9, 24.4 min average previous 3 games.
Kyle Anderson (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 74.2% to 18.2, 10.4 min average previous 3 games.
Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.4% to 15.3, 23.4 min average previous 3 games.
Naz Reid (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.9% to 28.3, 21.3 min average previous 3 games.