Mavericks vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown
Mavericks
11W-5L
May 30, 2024
08:30PM EST
Odds: 210.5 o/u
Timberwolves
9W-6L
Get ready for an electrifying face-off as the Dallas Mavericks gallop into the Target Center, ready to lock horns with the Minnesota Timberwolves in what promises to be a thrilling first-round NBA playoff game. After a series of blowouts in the opening games, tonight’s clash, tipping off at 8:30 PM EST, is set to dial up the intensity. Both teams are neck and neck in the Western Conference, making every play, every shot, and every decision critical. With the Mavericks looking to rebound from a recent stumble and the Timberwolves riding the momentum of a narrow victory, the stakes are sky-high. The betting lines are buzzing, the fans are on the edge of their seats, and the over/under hints at a showdown that could swing either way. So, as the Mavericks aim to lasso victory from the jaws of defeat, it’s the Timberwolves who will be howling to defend their turf. Tonight, we find out who truly leads the pack!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: May 30, 2024 08:30PM EST
Location: Target Center, Minnesota
Vegas Odds
DAL ML | MIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +115 | -150 | 209.5 | 4.0/-4.0 |
Recent | +155 | -180 | 210.5 | 4.5/-4.5 |
Difference | +40 | -30 | +1.0 | – |
Team Performance
39.2% Win Probability
60.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05/28/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 27 | 22 | 29 | 27 | 00 | 105 | Under | |
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 20 | 29 | 24 | 27 | 00 | 100 | |||
05/26/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 24 | 35 | 20 | 00 | 107 | Over | |
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 33 | 27 | 27 | 29 | 00 | 116 | |||
05/24/24 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 26 | 22 | 31 | 30 | 00 | 109 | Over | |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 28 | 26 | 22 | 00 | 108 | |||
05/22/24 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 27 | 32 | 23 | 26 | 00 | 108 | Over | |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 33 | 29 | 21 | 22 | 00 | 105 | |||
01/31/24 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 21 | 27 | 22 | 17 | 00 | 87 | Under | |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 24 | 28 | 31 | 38 | 00 | 121 | |||
01/07/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 29 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 00 | 108 | Over | |
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 30 | 30 | 31 | 24 | 00 | 115 | |||
12/28/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 26 | 30 | 35 | 19 | 00 | 110 | Over | |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 37 | 24 | 37 | 20 | 00 | 118 | |||
12/14/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 26 | 33 | 28 | 32 | 00 | 119 | Over | |
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 30 | 30 | 22 | 19 | 00 | 101 | |||
02/13/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 33 | 32 | 35 | 24 | 00 | 124 | Over | |
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 23 | 31 | 28 | 39 | 00 | 121 | |||
12/21/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 29 | 22 | 24 | 29 | 00 | 104 | Under | |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 31 | 21 | 22 | 25 | 00 | 99 | |||
12/19/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 30 | 14 | 30 | 32 | 00 | 106 | Over | |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 21 | 36 | 37 | 22 | 00 | 116 | |||
03/25/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 22 | 28 | 17 | 28 | 00 | 95 | Over | |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 26 | 35 | 28 | 27 | 00 | 116 | |||
03/21/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 29 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 00 | 108 | Over | |
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 23 | 37 | 26 | 24 | 00 | 110 | |||
12/21/21 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 35 | 15 | 28 | 24 | 00 | 102 | Over | |
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 34 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 00 | 114 | |||
12/19/21 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 25 | 25 | 38 | 17 | 00 | 105 | Over | |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 27 | 29 | 30 | 25 | 00 | 111 |
Mavericks Vs Over/Under
Timberwolves Vs Over/Under
Mavericks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/12 | @ DET | 89-107L | 49 | 20 | 20 | 83 |
04/10 | vs MIA | 111-92W | 39 | 27 | 7 | 87 |
04/09 | vs CHA | 130-104W | 55 | 35 | 14 | 93 |
04/07 | @ HOU | 147-136W | 47 | 21 | 17 | 85 |
04/05 | @ GSW | 108-106W | 41 | 30 | 17 | 84 |
04/04 | @ ATL | 109-95W | 53 | 20 | 14 | 94 |
04/02 | vs GSW | 100-104L | 42 | 27 | 15 | 89 |
03/31 | vs HOU | 125-107W | 47 | 24 | 13 | 93 |
03/29 | vs SAC | 107-103W | 42 | 24 | 10 | 76 |
03/26 | vs SAC | 132-96W | 49 | 34 | 9 | 92 |
Timberwolves Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/12 | @ ATL | 109-106W | 44 | 29 | 14 | 79 |
04/10 | vs DEN | 107-116L | 35 | 23 | 9 | 82 |
04/09 | @ WAS | 130-121W | 44 | 30 | 8 | 90 |
04/07 | vs LAL | 127-117W | 46 | 29 | 14 | 97 |
04/05 | vs PHX | 87-97L | 44 | 23 | 18 | 85 |
04/03 | @ TOR | 133-85W | 50 | 37 | 9 | 96 |
04/02 | @ HOU | 113-106W | 39 | 29 | 17 | 77 |
03/31 | @ CHI | 101-109L | 37 | 28 | 13 | 81 |
03/29 | vs DEN | 111-98W | 39 | 28 | 7 | 75 |
03/27 | @ DET | 106-91W | 40 | 28 | 12 | 82 |
Starting Lineups
Dallas Mavericks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Luka Doncic
SG
|
65.0 | 61.8 | 59.5 | 100% | 59.8 |
24.0 | 22.4 | 24.1 | 100% | 24.5 | |
Kyrie Irving
PG
|
44.0 | 35.3 | 42.2 | 100% | 42.6 |
21.0 | 21.9 | 17.3 | 100% | 17.6 | |
30.0 | 25.2 | 28.0 | 100% | 28.3 |
Minnesota Timberwolves | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Conley
PG
|
30.0 | 28.2 | 28.3 | 100% | 28.8 |
56.0 | 45.6 | 46.6 | 100% | 46.9 | |
38.0 | 29.0 | 35.9 | 100% | 36.2 | |
25.0 | 29.1 | 22.1 | 100% | 22.5 | |
42.0 | 34.9 | 36.2 | 100% | 36.5 |
Mavericks Notable Injuries
- Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 2.9pts, 3.1reb, 1.2ast, 12.0 minutes. Last game: 05/26/24. Impact: 0.6
- AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 2.4pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 05/15/24. Impact: 0.5
Timberwolves Notable Injuries
- Monte Morris (PG): Avg: 4.5pts, 1.5reb, 1.8ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 05/24/24. Impact: 1.0
- Jordan McLaughlin (PG/SG): Avg: 3.3pts, 1.3reb, 1.9ast, 10.9 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 1.1
- Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 1.0
- Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.6reb, 0.3ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 0.6
- Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.3ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 0.3
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Anthony Edwards | MIN | Pts | 27.5 | 31.8 | +4.3 | 0% | 20% | 33% | 33% | DAL | -0.6 | #13 |
Kyrie Irving | DAL | Pts | 22.5 | 25.1 | +2.6 | 40% | 30% | 40% | 40% | MIN | -1.3 | #7 |
Rudy Gobert | MIN | Reb | 11.5 | 13.0 | +1.5 | 20% | 30% | 47% | 47% | DAL | -1.5 | #4 |
Karl-Anthony Towns | MIN | Reb | 7.5 | 8.9 | +1.4 | 60% | 50% | 53% | 53% | DAL | +0.2 | #17 |
Luka Doncic | DAL | Ast | 8.5 | 9.7 | +1.2 | 60% | 60% | 67% | 67% | MIN | -0.5 | #5 |
Mike Conley | MIN | Ast | 5.5 | 6.3 | +0.8 | 0% | 50% | 53% | 53% | DAL | -0.4 | #9 |
Naz Reid | MIN | 3Pt | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | 40% | 40% | 47% | 47% | DAL | -0.5 | #9 |
Mavericks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #6 | #4 | #8 | #3 | -13.8% |
PF | #11 | #5 | #11 | #10 | -3.7% |
PG | #26 | #11 | #27 | #27 | 14.9% |
SF | #16 | #17 | #24 | #22 | 5.5% |
SG | #13 | #28 | #9 | #15 | -1.2% |
Timberwolves Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #26 | #19 | #23 | #24 | 6.6% |
PF | #1 | #4 | #2 | #1 | -16.4% |
PG | #1 | #30 | #8 | #7 | -12.9% |
SF | #18 | #4 | #1 | #5 | -16.4% |
SG | #7 | #6 | #5 | #1 | -9.3% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Luka Doncic (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.7% to 16.9, 24.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Kyle Anderson (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 74.2% to 18.2, 10.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.4% to 15.3, 23.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Naz Reid (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.9% to 28.3, 21.3 min average previous 3 games. The Mavericks have a 2-game winning streak on the road.
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