Mavericks vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at the Target Center tonight as the Dallas Mavericks, fresh off a solid win, gallop into the Twin Cities to lock horns with the Minnesota Timberwolves, who also just added another notch to their win column. Both squads are sitting pretty with a 2-1 record in this nail-biting first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs, where up until now, the games have been about as suspenseful as a preschool naptime. With the betting lines drawn and the over/under hovering at 222, tonight’s clash at 7:30 PM EST is set to dial up the intensity. Will the Mavericks lasso the Wolves, or will Minnesota howl their way to victory in their own den? It’s time to find out if the Mavericks can truly corral the wild spirit of the Timberwolves in this hardwood showdown!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: October 29, 2024 07:30PM EST

Location: Target Center, Minnesota

Vegas Odds

	DAL ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+145	-170	225.5	4.0/-4.0
Recent	+125	-165	222.0	5.0/-5.0
Difference	-20	+5	-3.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

24W-16L

44.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

30W-10L

55.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/31/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	21	27	22	17	87	Under
01/31/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	24	28	31	38	121	Under
01/07/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	27	26	26	108	Over
01/07/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	30	31	24	115	Over
12/28/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	30	35	19	110	Over
12/28/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	37	24	37	20	118	Over
12/14/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	26	33	28	32	119	Under
12/14/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	30	22	19	101	Under
02/13/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	33	32	35	24	124	Over
02/13/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	31	28	39	121	Over
12/21/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	29	22	24	29	104	Under
12/21/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	31	21	22	25	99	Under
12/19/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	14	30	32	106	Push
12/19/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	21	36	37	22	116	Push
03/25/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	22	28	17	28	95	Under
03/25/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	26	35	28	27	116	Under
03/21/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	25	27	27	108	Under
03/21/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	37	26	24	110	Under
12/21/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	35	15	28	24	102	Under
12/21/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	27	27	26	114	Under
12/19/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	25	38	17	105	Under
12/19/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	27	29	30	25	111	Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
10/28	@ UTA	110-102W	50	27	13	95
10/26	vs PHX	102-114L	46	22	8	93
10/24	@ SAS	120-109W	50	27	9	102
05/28	@ MIN	100-105L	38	23	13	81
04/12	@ DET	89-107L	49	20	20	83
04/10	vs MIA	111-92W	39	27	7	87
04/09	vs CHA	130-104W	55	35	14	93
04/07	@ HOU	147-136W	47	21	17	85
04/05	@ GSW	108-106W	41	30	17	84
04/04	@ ATL	109-95W	53	20	14	94

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
10/26	@ TOR	112-101W	41	29	13	83
10/24	vs SAC	117-115W	42	24	16	86
10/22	vs LAL	103-110L	47	17	15	85
05/28	vs DAL	105-100W	40	23	14	74
04/12	@ ATL	109-106W	44	29	14	79
04/10	vs DEN	107-116L	35	23	9	82
04/09	@ WAS	130-121W	44	30	8	90
04/07	vs LAL	127-117W	46	29	14	97
04/05	vs PHX	87-97L	44	23	18	85
04/03	@ TOR	133-85W	50	37	9	96

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luka Doncic PG	58.0	57.8	59.1	100%	59.4
Daniel Gafford C	22.0	23.1	23.1	100%	23.4
Kyrie Irving SG	41.0	36.9	39.8	100%	40.1
Klay Thompson SF	27.0	33.7	29.7	53%	30.0
PJ Washington PF	24.0	26.1	28.8	100%	29.1

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	24.0	25.6	27.9	100%	28.4
Anthony Edwards SG	48.0	47.3	44.9	100%	45.3
Rudy Gobert C	40.0	28.8	34.3	100%	34.6
Jaden McDaniels SF	22.0	16.6	21.3	100%	21.7
Julius Randle PF	39.0	38.8	44.0	100%	43.1

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Maxi Kleber (PF/C): Avg: 4.5pts, 3.2reb, 1.6ast, 19.9 minutes. Last game: 10/26/24. Impact: 2.0
Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.6reb, 0.5ast, 7.0 minutes. Last game: 10/28/24. Impact: 0.7
Brandon Williams (PG): Avg: 1.9pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 10/28/24. Impact: 0.4
Kessler Edwards (SG/SF): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.8reb, 0.3ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 10/28/24. Impact: 0.7
Jazian Gortman (PG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.0 minutes. Last game: 10/26/24. Impact: -0.1

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Rudy Gobert	MIN	Pts	11.5	14.7	+3.2	60%	70%	53%	53%	DAL	-1.0	#10
Kyrie Irving	DAL	Pts	20.5	23.3	+2.8	60%	50%	47%	47%	MIN	-4.4	#2
Daniel Gafford	DAL	Reb	5.5	5.8	+0.3	80%	80%	73%	73%	MIN	-1.0	#3
Klay Thompson	DAL	Reb	2.5	3.1	+0.6	80%	80%	73%	73%	MIN	-0.5	#4
Mike Conley	MIN	Ast	4.5	5.1	+0.6	40%	50%	67%	67%	DAL	-0.1	#12

View All Player Prop Projections

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#10	#7	#10	#6	-8.5%
PF	#8	#7	#6	#6	-5.0%
PG	#15	#11	#29	#19	2.4%
SF	#23	#14	#16	#24	5.8%
SG	#13	#28	#12	#16	-0.2%

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#23	#13	#17	#18	3.2%
PF	#2	#3	#1	#1	-16.3%
PG	#2	#30	#3	#8	-5.9%
SF	#10	#10	#2	#4	-9.0%
SG	#3	#4	#9	#1	-9.2%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

117.1

112.6

Rebounds per Game

45.3

43.6

Assists per Game

26.2

26.7

Steals per Game

7.4

8.2

Blocks per Game

5.9

6.2

Shots per Game

89.7

86.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.2

13.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

57.4

53.9

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.9

38.1

Turnovers per Game

12.2

12.1

Fouls per Game

17.9

18.4

Recent Trends

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.8% to 21.1, 15.9 min average previous 3 games.
Quentin Grimes (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 33.8% to 11.2, 16.9 min average previous 3 games.