Mavericks vs Pelicans Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at the Smoothie King Center tonight as the Dallas Mavericks gallop into New Orleans to face off against the Pelicans in what promises to be a feathery fracas of NBA Playoff proportions! With the majority of the first-round games turning out to be blowouts, tonight’s match, tipping off at 9 PM EST, is poised to dial up the drama. The Mavericks are itching to rebound from a recent stumble, while the Pelicans, fresh off a victory, aim to continue their unexpected ascent. With the stakes sky-high and the scoreboard expected to light up past the 226 mark, fans are in for a treat. So, as the Mavericks look to lasso a win and the Pelicans spread their wings, who will soar and who will falter in this high-flying hardwood duel?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 15, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans

Vegas Odds

	DAL ML	NOP ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-145	+125	225.0	-2.5/2.5
Recent	-145	+125	226.0	-2.5/2.5
Difference	0	0	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

34W-25L

59.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

25W-31L

40.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
11/19/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	29	22	18	22	91	Under
11/19/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	44	19	34	35	132	Under
01/15/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	17	42	40	21	120	Over
01/15/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	33	26	33	33	125	Over
01/13/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	29	20	39	30	118	Push
01/13/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	20	34	27	27	108	Push
11/14/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	28	31	25	110	Over
11/14/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	33	37	44	17	131	Over
11/12/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	33	42	27	136	Over
11/12/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	27	27	31	39	124	Over
03/08/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	24	19	22	41	106	Under
03/08/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	24	35	24	30	113	Under
02/02/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	22	21	33	30	106	Under
02/02/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	40	30	25	16	111	Under
01/07/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	15	31	35	36	117	Over
01/07/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	29	34	30	127	Over
10/25/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	33	25	22	111	Under
10/25/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	40	26	21	26	113	Under
02/17/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	45	26	34	20	125	Over
02/17/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	27	31	23	37	118	Over
12/03/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	14	30	35	28	107	Under
12/03/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	19	29	20	23	91	Under
12/01/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	41	26	35	37	139	Over
12/01/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	23	23	29	32	107	Over
11/08/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	27	20	22	23	92	Under
11/08/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	22	29	27	30	108	Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Pelicans Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/14	@ DEN	99-118L	30	27	12	90
01/12	@ DEN	101-112L	37	27	12	85
01/09	@ POR	117-111W	53	26	14	88
01/07	@ LAL	118-97W	44	29	10	86
01/06	vs MEM	104-119L	50	25	15	98
01/03	@ CLE	122-134L	53	29	12	100
01/01	vs HOU	99-110L	38	19	20	75
12/30	vs SAC	100-110L	36	17	17	76
12/28	vs POR	122-126L	40	20	13	89
12/27	vs PHX	98-89W	41	24	15	80

Pelicans Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/14	vs CHI	119-113W	46	32	10	96
01/12	vs BOS	119-120L	42	24	9	86
01/10	vs PHI	123-115W	44	31	12	91
01/08	@ POR	100-119L	41	19	17	90
01/07	@ MIN	97-104L	46	23	14	94
01/03	@ WAS	132-120W	37	36	7	96
01/01	vs MIA	108-119L	31	25	10	80
12/30	@ LAC	113-116L	35	30	16	82
12/27	@ MEM	124-132L	45	30	17	96
12/26	@ HOU	111-128L	44	29	13	99

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Kyrie Irving PG	39.0	41.7	40.0	100%	40.4
Dereck Lively II C	29.0	28.9	26.6	77%	27.3
Naji Marshall SF	23.0	24.1	19.4	40%	20.5
Klay Thompson SG	27.0	23.4	23.7	100%	24.0
PJ Washington PF	33.0	35.1	29.6	100%	29.6

New Orleans Pelicans	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
CJ McCollum SG	42.0	28.4	35.3	100%	35.6
Yves Missi C	26.0	18.2	25.6	100%	24.7
Trey Murphy III SF	44.0	44.4	34.9	93%	35.7
Dejounte Murray PG	46.0	44.0	42.0	100%	42.4

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 2.4pts, 2.7reb, 1.1ast, 10.7 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 1.1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.7reb, 0.5ast, 7.2 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 1.3
Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.3pts, 1.3reb, 0.5ast, 7.3 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 0.7
Brandon Williams (PG): Avg: 2.6pts, 0.6reb, 0.7ast, 5.7 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 0.9
Jazian Gortman (PG): Avg: 1.4pts, 0.3reb, 0.4ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 0.5

Pelicans Notable Injuries

Zion Williamson (PF/C): Avg: 22.8pts, 6.0reb, 5.0ast, 31.2 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 7.2
Herbert Jones (C): Avg: 11.0pts, 3.7reb, 2.8ast, 31.1 minutes. Last game: 01/08/25. Impact: 4.0
Antonio Reeves (SG/SF): Avg: 5.1pts, 1.1reb, 0.7ast, 9.8 minutes. Last game: 01/08/25. Impact: 1.5
Karlo Matkovic (PF/C): Avg: 1.3pts, 2.3reb, 0.2ast, 7.4 minutes. Last game: 01/08/25. Impact: 1.3

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Dejounte Murray	NOP	Pts	17.5	22.3	+4.8	60%	30%	33%	33%	DAL	+0.7	#20
Klay Thompson	DAL	Pts	13.5	15.9	+2.4	40%	40%	60%	60%	NOP	+0.6	#20
Trey Murphy III	NOP	Reb	5.5	7.0	+1.5	40%	40%	40%	40%	DAL	+0.3	#25
CJ McCollum	NOP	Reb	3.5	4.7	+1.2	40%	40%	47%	47%	DAL	+0.3	#25
PJ Washington	DAL	Ast	1.5	2.2	+0.7	60%	50%	40%	40%	NOP	-0.1	#10

View All Player Prop Projections

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#16	#24	#26	#22	5.5%
PF	#21	#8	#23	#18	0.0%
PG	#20	#2	#12	#23	2.1%
SF	#7	#12	#29	#11	-2.6%
SG	#17	#25	#8	#15	-0.9%

Pelicans Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#20	#30	#18	#27	8.1%
PF	#28	#23	#6	#24	5.8%
PG	#16	#25	#26	#26	6.4%
SF	#27	#20	#10	#25	6.1%
SG	#20	#20	#21	#21	4.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.1

110.0

Rebounds per Game

45.7

42.0

Assists per Game

24.9

25.5

Steals per Game

8.4

10.3

Blocks per Game

6.5

5.3

Shots per Game

87.8

90.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.4

12.2

2-Pt Percentage per Game

52.9

51.8

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.3

33.8

Turnovers per Game

14.6

13.8

Fouls per Game

18.0

19.5

Recent Trends

Brandon Boston Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.5% to 13.2, 24.2 min average previous 3 games.
Jamal Cain (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 41.7% to 11.1, 19.1 min average previous 3 games.
Javonte Green (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.2% to 24.5, 17.6 min average previous 3 games.
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 63.3% to 21.0, 12.9 min average previous 3 games.
Daniel Theis (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.6% to 21.8, 15.3 min average previous 3 games.