Mavericks vs Pelicans Game Breakdown
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Mavericks
25W-22L
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January 29, 2025
09:00PM EST
Odds: 233.0 o/u
Pelicans
12W-35L
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Get ready to saddle up and dive into a sizzling showdown as the Dallas Mavericks gallop into the Smoothie King Center to face off against the New Orleans Pelicans in what promises to be a feathery fracas of NBA Playoff basketball! With the Mavericks looking to lasso a win to bolster their mid-pack Western conference stance and the Pelicans desperate to claw up from the depths, tonight’s tipoff at 9 PM EST is where the rubber meets the road. Both teams are coming in with opposite vibes – Dallas soaring from a recent triumph, while New Orleans is picking feathers after a recent tumble. With the stakes sky-high and the over/under promising a high-flying score-fest, fans are perched on the edge of their seats. So, who will rule the roost? Will the Mavericks ride off into the sunset, or will the Pelicans swoop in for a surprise victory? It’s a true battle of wings versus wins tonight!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: January 29, 2025 09:00PM EST
Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Vegas Odds
DAL ML | NOP ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -145 | +125 | 232.0 | -3.0/3.0 |
Recent | -125 | +105 | 233.0 | -1.5/1.5 |
Difference | +20 | -20 | +1.0 | – |
Team Performance
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55.6% Win Probability
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44.4% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/15/25 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 27 | 34 | 30 | 25 | 00 | 116 | Over | ![]() |
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 33 | 30 | 24 | 32 | 00 | 119 | |||
11/19/24 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 29 | 22 | 18 | 22 | 00 | 91 | Under | ![]() |
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 44 | 19 | 34 | 35 | 00 | 132 | |||
01/15/24 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 17 | 42 | 40 | 21 | 00 | 120 | Over | ![]() |
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 33 | 26 | 33 | 33 | 00 | 125 | |||
01/13/24 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 29 | 20 | 39 | 30 | 00 | 118 | Under | ![]() |
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 20 | 34 | 27 | 27 | 00 | 108 | |||
11/14/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 26 | 28 | 31 | 25 | 00 | 110 | Over | ![]() |
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 33 | 37 | 44 | 17 | 00 | 131 | |||
11/12/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 34 | 33 | 42 | 27 | 00 | 136 | Over | ![]() |
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 27 | 27 | 31 | 39 | 00 | 124 | |||
03/08/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 24 | 19 | 22 | 41 | 00 | 106 | Under | ![]() |
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 24 | 35 | 24 | 30 | 00 | 113 | |||
02/02/23 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 22 | 21 | 33 | 30 | 00 | 106 | Under | ![]() |
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 40 | 30 | 25 | 16 | 00 | 111 | |||
01/07/23 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 15 | 31 | 35 | 36 | 00 | 117 | Over | ![]() |
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 34 | 29 | 34 | 30 | 00 | 127 | |||
10/25/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 31 | 33 | 25 | 22 | 00 | 111 | Under | ![]() |
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 40 | 26 | 21 | 26 | 00 | 113 | |||
02/17/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 45 | 26 | 34 | 20 | 00 | 125 | Over | ![]() |
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 27 | 31 | 23 | 37 | 00 | 118 | |||
12/03/21 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 14 | 30 | 35 | 28 | 00 | 107 | Under | ![]() |
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 19 | 29 | 20 | 23 | 00 | 91 | |||
12/01/21 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 41 | 26 | 35 | 37 | 00 | 139 | Over | ![]() |
New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 23 | 23 | 29 | 32 | 00 | 107 | |||
11/08/21 | New Orleans Pelicans NOP | 27 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 00 | 92 | Under | ![]() |
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 22 | 29 | 27 | 30 | 00 | 108 |
Mavericks Vs Over/Under
Pelicans Vs Over/Under
Mavericks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/27 | @ WAS | 130-108W | 51 | 39 | 11 | 92 |
01/23 | vs OKL | 121-115W | 43 | 25 | 20 | 74 |
01/22 | @ MIN | 114-115L | 38 | 24 | 13 | 90 |
01/20 | vs CHA | 105-110L | 51 | 19 | 14 | 88 |
01/17 | @ OKL | 106-98W | 43 | 25 | 17 | 75 |
01/15 | vs NOP | 116-119L | 45 | 27 | 15 | 90 |
01/14 | @ DEN | 99-118L | 30 | 27 | 12 | 90 |
01/12 | @ DEN | 101-112L | 37 | 27 | 12 | 85 |
01/09 | @ POR | 117-111W | 53 | 26 | 14 | 88 |
01/07 | @ LAL | 118-97W | 44 | 29 | 10 | 86 |
Pelicans Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/27 | vs TOR | 104-113L | 46 | 21 | 12 | 89 |
01/24 | vs MEM | 126-139L | 35 | 30 | 12 | 83 |
01/20 | @ UTA | 123-119W | 45 | 28 | 12 | 92 |
01/17 | @ UTA | 136-123W | 56 | 34 | 13 | 100 |
01/15 | @ DAL | 119-116W | 49 | 24 | 10 | 97 |
01/14 | vs CHI | 119-113W | 46 | 32 | 10 | 96 |
01/12 | vs BOS | 119-120L | 42 | 24 | 9 | 86 |
01/10 | vs PHI | 123-115W | 44 | 31 | 12 | 91 |
01/08 | @ POR | 100-119L | 41 | 19 | 17 | 90 |
01/07 | @ MIN | 97-104L | 46 | 23 | 14 | 94 |
Starting Lineups
Dallas Mavericks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
31.0 | 27.1 | 25.8 | 47% | 31.7 | |
40.0 | 39.5 | 25.5 | 33% | 36.5 | |
Kyrie Irving
PG
|
43.0 | 42.0 | 40.9 | 100% | 41.2 |
22.0 | 20.7 | 24.1 | 100% | 24.4 | |
36.0 | 40.5 | 32.1 | 100% | 32.2 |
New Orleans Pelicans | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
CJ McCollum
SG
|
34.0 | 40.0 | 36.0 | 100% | 36.3 |
24.0 | 18.9 | 25.6 | 100% | 24.7 | |
38.0 | 40.4 | 36.0 | 93% | 36.9 | |
41.0 | 45.5 | 41.9 | 100% | 42.3 | |
41.0 | 45.1 | 43.9 | 100% | 44.3 |
Mavericks Notable Injuries
- Dereck Lively II (C): Avg: 8.9pts, 7.2reb, 1.6ast, 23.4 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 4.8
- Maxi Kleber (PF): Avg: 4.0pts, 3.1reb, 1.5ast, 19.6 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 2.1
- Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 2.4pts, 2.7reb, 1.1ast, 10.6 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 0.9
- Markieff Morris (C): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.3reb, 0.5ast, 7.3 minutes. Last game: 01/27/25. Impact: 0.7
- Brandon Williams (PG): Avg: 2.4pts, 0.6reb, 1.0ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 01/27/25. Impact: 1.1
Pelicans Notable Injuries
- Brandon Boston Jr. (SG/SF): Avg: 7.7pts, 2.3reb, 1.3ast, 16.8 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 2.2
- Jamal Cain (SF): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.9reb, 0.5ast, 11.3 minutes. Last game: 01/24/25. Impact: 1.5
- Karlo Matkovic (C): Avg: 1.1pts, 2.1reb, 0.3ast, 7.4 minutes. Last game: 01/24/25. Impact: 1.1
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Dejounte Murray | NOP | Pts | 16.5 | 19.9 | +3.4 | 80% | 80% | 60% | 60% | DAL | +1.4 | #27 |
PJ Washington | DAL | Pts | 15.5 | 16.5 | +1.0 | 80% | 60% | 53% | 53% | NOP | +0.6 | #19 |
Trey Murphy III | NOP | Reb | 5.5 | 6.1 | +0.6 | 80% | 60% | 53% | 53% | DAL | +0.3 | #20 |
CJ McCollum | NOP | Reb | 3.5 | 3.8 | +0.3 | 60% | 50% | 47% | 47% | DAL | +0.3 | #20 |
Daniel Gafford | DAL | Ast | 1.5 | 2.1 | +0.6 | 100% | 70% | 53% | 53% | NOP | -0.6 | #4 |
Jordan Hawkins | NOP | Ast | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | 60% | 50% | 60% | 60% | DAL | -0.3 | #11 |
Mavericks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #23 | #19 | #18 | #20 | 4.3% |
PF | #17 | #8 | #21 | #13 | -0.9% |
PG | #27 | #15 | #10 | #26 | 3.9% |
SF | #13 | #17 | #29 | #22 | 3.8% |
SG | #10 | #20 | #11 | #11 | -2.9% |
Pelicans Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #19 | #30 | #17 | #27 | 8.1% |
PF | #30 | #24 | #4 | #27 | 7.0% |
PG | #14 | #28 | #27 | #28 | 6.2% |
SF | #19 | #9 | #14 | #19 | 2.3% |
SG | #23 | #18 | #24 | #25 | 5.3% |
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Team Comparison
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Recent Trends
- Brandon Boston Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 54.8% to 10.5, 23.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Quentin Grimes (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.2% to 29.4, 22.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Jaden Hardy (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.4% to 13.4, 21.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 80.9% to 23.6, 13.1 min average previous 3 games. The Pelicans have a 3-game winning streak at home.
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