Mavericks vs Thunder Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the Paycom Center tonight as the Dallas Mavericks saddle up to challenge the high-flying Oklahoma City Thunder in a first-round NBA Playoff clash that promises more fireworks than the Fourth of July! With the Mavericks looking to lasso a much-needed victory after a nail-biting loss and the Thunder riding the lightning of their recent triumph, tonight’s showdown at 09:00PM EST is set to be a barn burner. The stakes are sky-high and the odds are stacked, making every dribble and dunk count in this Western conference showdown. So, will the Mavericks corral the Thunder, or will Oklahoma City storm past Dallas? Tune in as the Mavericks try to weather the Thunder in what’s sure to be a clash of titans!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 23, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Vegas Odds

	DAL ML	OKL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+500	-750	219.0	13.0/-13.0
Recent	+225	-310	221.5	13.0/-13.0
Difference	-275	+440	+2.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

34W-27L

30.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

48W-9L

69.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
12/10/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	24	30	19	31	00	104	Over
12/10/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	25	33	28	00	118	Over
01/17/25	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	26	17	33	22	00	98	Under
01/17/25	Dallas Mavericks DAL	22	41	14	29	00	106	Under
11/17/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	39	27	31	24	00	121	Over
11/17/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	34	24	34	27	00	119	Over
04/14/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	22	19	16	29	00	86	Under
04/14/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	39	43	26	27	00	135	Under
03/14/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	36	24	32	00	119	Over
03/14/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	32	30	31	00	126	Over
02/10/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	30	32	27	22	00	111	Over
02/10/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	47	24	39	36	00	146	Over
12/02/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	39	35	19	00	126	Over
12/02/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	29	28	36	00	120	Over
01/08/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	21	28	26	00	109	Over
01/08/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	36	27	24	00	120	Over
12/12/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	24	38	24	00	114	Over
12/12/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	43	31	24	00	121	Over
10/29/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	19	26	27	180	117	Over
10/29/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	26	20	28	120	111	Over
02/02/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	30	21	34	18	170	120	Over
02/02/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	23	25	27	110	114	Over
01/17/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	24	18	30	30	00	102	Under
01/17/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	33	20	24	27	00	104	Under
01/02/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	25	22	22	00	95	Under
01/02/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	17	25	22	00	86	Under
12/12/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	28	24	23	00	103	Under
12/12/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	19	25	13	00	84	Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/22	@ MIN	114-115L	38	24	13	90
01/20	vs CHA	105-110L	51	19	14	88
01/17	@ OKL	106-98W	43	25	17	75
01/15	vs NOP	116-119L	45	27	15	90
01/14	@ DEN	99-118L	30	27	12	90
01/12	@ DEN	101-112L	37	27	12	85
01/09	@ POR	117-111W	53	26	14	88
01/07	@ LAL	118-97W	44	29	10	86
01/06	vs MEM	104-119L	50	25	15	98
01/03	@ CLE	122-134L	53	29	12	100

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/22	@ UTA	123-114W	39	20	10	95
01/19	@ BRO	127-101W	43	37	11	87
01/17	vs DAL	98-106L	46	24	15	91
01/16	@ CLE	134-114W	39	25	6	105
01/14	vs PHI	118-102W	38	32	17	81
01/12	vs WAS	136-95W	56	26	13	95
01/10	vs NYK	126-101W	46	20	15	89
01/08	vs CLE	122-129L	38	35	13	90
01/03	@ NYK	117-107W	41	27	13	84
01/02	@ LAC	116-98W	35	29	9	86

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Daniel Gafford C	43.0	40.2	25.4	27%	37.5
Quentin Grimes SG	23.0	15.4	23.3	37%	26.2
Kyrie Irving PG	47.0	41.6	41.5	100%	41.9
Klay Thompson SF	23.0	21.8	23.7	100%	24.0
PJ Washington PF	36.0	33.0	30.4	100%	30.4

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	24.0	20.9	22.5	100%	22.9
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	52.0	58.9	54.3	100%	54.7
Cason Wallace SG	27.0	26.4	20.5	77%	21.8
Jalen Williams PF	41.0	36.6	40.6	100%	41.0
Jaylin Williams C GTD	25.0	21.4	15.1	13%	23.7

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Dereck Lively II (C): Avg: 8.9pts, 7.2reb, 1.6ast, 23.4 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 4.8
Jaden Hardy (PG/SG): Avg: 7.2pts, 1.6reb, 1.4ast, 13.3 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 3.1
Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 2.4pts, 2.7reb, 1.1ast, 10.6 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 0.9
Brandon Williams (PG): Avg: 2.4pts, 0.6reb, 0.8ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 01/22/25. Impact: 0.9

Thunder Notable Injuries

Isaiah Hartenstein (C): Avg: 8.6pts, 9.0reb, 3.0ast, 26.6 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 5.9
Alex Caruso GTD (PG/SF): Avg: 9.0pts, 3.6reb, 3.2ast, 26.4 minutes. Last game: 01/22/25. Impact: 3.2
Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.4pts, 3.6reb, 1.7ast, 13.6 minutes. Last game: 01/22/25. Impact: 3.3

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Daniel Gafford	DAL	Pts	14.5	17.6	+3.1	40%	20%	27%	27%	OKL	-0.5	#14
Kyrie Irving	DAL	Pts	24.5	26.9	+2.4	60%	50%	53%	53%	OKL	+0.4	#17
PJ Washington	DAL	Reb	7.5	8.0	+0.5	60%	60%	40%	40%	OKL	-0.3	#8

View All Player Prop Projections

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#19	#19	#19	#19	4.2%
PF	#17	#8	#21	#14	-0.1%
PG	#27	#9	#18	#26	5.4%
SF	#13	#17	#28	#19	3.3%
SG	#13	#26	#9	#15	-1.1%

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#13	#24	#9	#10	-4.3%
PF	#14	#6	#2	#3	-9.7%
PG	#17	#16	#5	#5	-6.8%
SF	#1	#8	#14	#3	-13.4%
SG	#2	#17	#12	#2	-11.0%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

113.4

118.8

Rebounds per Game

44.8

43.5

Assists per Game

24.9

26.8

Steals per Game

8.4

10.7

Blocks per Game

6.5

4.6

Shots per Game

87.1

91.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.4

14.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.3

57.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.3

37.0

Turnovers per Game

14.8

11.4

Fouls per Game

17.8

20.4

Recent Trends

Kyrie Irving (PG/SG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Daniel Gafford (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.7% to 28.9, 21.3 min average previous 3 games.
Jaylin Williams (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 49.8% to 25.8, 17.2 min average previous 3 games.