Mavericks vs Thunder Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Mar 14th 2024

thefield
Dallas Mavericks

Mavericks

38W-28L

Dallas Mavericks

March 14, 2024

10:00PM EST

Odds: 235.0 o/u

Thunder

45W-20L

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder

Hold onto your cowboy hats, sports fans, because tonight’s NBA face-off is more electrifying than a rodeo bull in a thunderstorm! The Dallas Mavericks, boasting a 38-28 record and trailing by just a hair (1.5 games, to be precise) in the Western conference, are saddling up to gallop into the heart of Tornado Alley, the Paycom Center. They’re set to duel the Oklahoma City Thunder, a storm front that’s been tearing up the court with a 45-20 record and just 0.5 games back in the conference. With a tipoff time set for the witching hour (10:00 PM EST), the Mavericks are ready to lasso the Thunder into submission. The bookies have set the over/under at a whopping 235.0, with the Mavericks as the 9.0 underdogs and the Thunder favored by -9.0. Now, the Thunder might be trying to shake off the chill from their last game, a 99-121 loss against the Pacers, while the Mavericks are still riding high on their 109-99 win against the Warriors. So, buckle up folks, ’cause when Mavericks meet Thunder, you can bet it’s gonna be a showdown that’ll make the Wild West look like a playground!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 14, 2024 10:00PM EST
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Vegas Odds

DAL ML OKL ML Over/Under Line
Open +295 -390 239.0 9.0/-9.0
Recent +265 -330 235.0 10.5/-10.5
Difference -30 +60 -4.0

Team Performance

dal Team Logo
LAST 10
5W-5L
AWAY
17W-13L

27.4% Win Probability

okl Team Logo
LAST 10
6W-4L
HOME
25W-6L

72.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Final O/U ATS
02/10/24 Oklahoma City Thunder OKL 30 32 27 22 111 Over
Dallas Mavericks DAL 47 24 39 36 146
12/02/23 Oklahoma City Thunder OKL 33 39 35 19 126 Over
Dallas Mavericks DAL 27 29 28 36 120
01/08/23 Dallas Mavericks DAL 34 21 28 26 109 Under
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL 33 36 27 24 120
12/12/22 Oklahoma City Thunder OKL 28 24 38 24 114 Push
Dallas Mavericks DAL 23 43 31 24 121
10/29/22 Oklahoma City Thunder OKL 27 19 26 27 18 117 Under
Dallas Mavericks DAL 25 26 20 28 12 111
02/02/22 Oklahoma City Thunder OKL 30 21 34 18 17 120 Under
Dallas Mavericks DAL 28 23 25 27 11 114
01/17/22 Oklahoma City Thunder OKL 24 18 30 30 102 Under
Dallas Mavericks DAL 33 20 24 27 104
01/02/22 Dallas Mavericks DAL 26 25 22 22 95 Under
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL 22 17 25 22 86
12/12/21 Dallas Mavericks DAL 28 28 24 23 103 Under
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL 27 19 25 13 84

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
03/13 @ GSW 109-99W 42 30 16 82
03/11 vs CHI 127-92W 49 33 6 93
03/09 vs DET 142-128W 36 29 14 92
03/07 @ MIA 114-108W 45 27 9 87
03/05 @ IND 120-137L 41 23 9 93
03/03 @ PHI 116-120L 45 20 17 86
03/01 vs BOS 110-138L 42 20 7 94
02/28 vs TOR 136-125W 50 32 14 99
02/27 vs CLE 119-121L 36 23 5 91
02/25 vs IND 111-133L 38 15 15 87

Thunder Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
03/12 @ IND 99-121L 47 22 12 96
03/10 @ MEM 124-93W 46 36 10 94
03/08 @ MIA 107-100W 45 28 9 89
03/06 vs POR 128-120W 39 23 18 75
03/04 vs LAL 104-116L 38 22 10 94
03/03 vs PHX 118-0W 41 21 5 31
02/29 vs SAS 118-132L 37 20 10 89
02/27 @ HOU 112-95W 55 19 13 93
02/25 vs HOU 123-110W 48 30 9 98
02/23 @ WAS 147-106W 56 30 15 92

Starting Lineups

Mavericks Notable Injuries

  • Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.8reb, 0.6ast, 7.8 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 0.7
  • Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.5reb, 0.6ast, 8.4 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 0.8
  • AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 3.1pts, 0.9reb, 0.4ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.6

Thunder Notable Injuries

  • Bismack Biyombo (C): Avg: 4.6pts, 5.5reb, 1.5ast, 21.5 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 1.3
  • Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 3.9pts, 3.3reb, 1.3ast, 12.6 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 2.2
  • Ousmane Dieng (PF): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.7reb, 1.1ast, 11.3 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 1.4
  • Olivier Sarr (C): Avg: 2.6pts, 2.5reb, 0.1ast, 7.0 minutes. Last game: 03/04/24. Impact: 1.1

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Mavericks Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #25 #9 #26 #18 2.4%
PF #22 #6 #8 #13 -2.7%
PG #12 #12 #30 #16 1.1%
SF #10 #26 #18 #16 1.7%
SG #26 #29 #12 #26 6.2%

Thunder Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #18 #18 #20 #16 2.0%
PF #27 #27 #26 #28 12.7%
PG #2 #27 #2 #1 -21.8%
SF #8 #2 #25 #6 -10.2%
SG #15 #9 #8 #11 -3.9%
Team Logo

Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points per Game
120.2
119.7
Rebounds per Game
43.2
43.9
Assists per Game
25.3
25.2
Steals per Game
7.7
8.7
Blocks per Game
6.6
7.0
Shots per Game
90.6
85.5
3-Pointers Made per Game
13.3
13.8
2-Pt Percentage per Game
60.3
55.6
3-Pt Percentage per Game
36.2
40.1
Turnovers per Game
11.4
11.2
Fouls per Game
16.7
17.3

Recent Trends

  • Dante Exum (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 50.5% to 20.6, 13.7 min average previous 3 games.
  • Daniel Gafford (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.5% to 24.4, 18.4 min average previous 3 games.
  • Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 40.3% to 12.6, 21.1 min average previous 3 games.
  • The Mavericks have a 2-game winning streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 4-game winning streak.

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